Princeton Fall Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 1 12 15 27
2 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 17 19 36
3 Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers 33 14 47
4 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 2 28 32 60
5 Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 26 44 70
6 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 3 43 32 75
7 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 38 44 82
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 1 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 12 Asher Green '24
William Roberts '26
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 3 3 2 1 1 3 4 17 Maxwell Penders '25 [1-7]
Claire Miller '26 [1-4]
Laura Rhodes '24 [5-7]
Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 4 6 5 4 5 1 1 26 Patrick Cashin '24 [1-7]
Isabella Hughes '24 [1-4]
Maddie Woolley '24 [5-7]
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 2 1 2 4 7 4 4 6 28 Eddie O’Keefe '25
Virginia Cobbs '25
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers 5 5 3 3 6 DSQ 3 33 Cole Bender '26
Rachel Tetro '26
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 7 4 6 5 3 6 7 38 Nathaniel Adams '26 [1-7]
Charlotte Shaw '26 [1-2, 5-7]
Evelyn Carpenter '26 [3-4]
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 3 6 7 7 6 7 5 5 43 Evelyn Walsh '26
Kaitlyn Greppin '26
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers 1 2 2 4 3 1 1 14 Kayla Maguire '26
Kristen Mcdonough '25
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 1 4 1 1 3 2 2 2 15 Ossian Kamal '26 [1-7]
Ellen Toberman '25 [1-2, 5-7]
Hali Liu '25 [3-4]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 3 4 4 1 1 3 3 19 Lydia Sweeney '25 [1-7]
Sarah Besecky '23 [1-4]
Jonas Mendes '23 [5-7]
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 2 2 3 6 5 4 DNS 4 32 Carly Mraz '25
Tacy Guest '26
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 3 5 DNF 3 2 5 4 5 32 Calif Chen '23 [1-2, 5-7]
Robert Rubin '23 [3-4]
Bracklinn Williams '25 [1-2, 5-7]
Calif Chen '23 [3-4]
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 6 DNF 7 6 6 5 6 44 Sarah Schon '24
Chris Bahr '26
Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 7 5 5 7 7 6 7 44 Abigail Eck '24 [1-7]
Cheyenne Fair '25 [1-4]
Joseph Bitterman '25 [5-7]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons1133557
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Hawks2288664
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers 13355771
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers 24422886
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers 35577113
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Tigers6644228
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos8866442

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons2244668
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Hawks1177553
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers 14466882
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers 23311775
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers 36688224
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Tigers5533117
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos7755331
School / Team SkipperCrew
Drexel University Drexel University Nathaniel Adams '26 [1-7] Charlotte Shaw '26 [1-2, 5-7]
Evelyn Carpenter '26 [3-4]
Dragons Sarah Schon '24 Chris Bahr '26
Monmouth University Monmouth University Patrick Cashin '24 [1-7] Isabella Hughes '24 [1-4]
Maddie Woolley '24 [5-7]
Hawks Abigail Eck '24 [1-7] Cheyenne Fair '25 [1-4]
Joseph Bitterman '25 [5-7]
Princeton University Princeton University Asher Green '24 William Roberts '26
Tigers 1 Ossian Kamal '26 [1-7] Ellen Toberman '25 [1-2, 5-7]
Hali Liu '25 [3-4]
Princeton University Princeton University Eddie O’Keefe '25 Virginia Cobbs '25
Tigers 2 Carly Mraz '25 Tacy Guest '26
Princeton University Princeton University Evelyn Walsh '26 Kaitlyn Greppin '26
Tigers 3 Calif Chen '23 [1-2, 5-7]
Robert Rubin '23 [3-4]
Bracklinn Williams '25 [1-2, 5-7]
Calif Chen '23 [3-4]
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Cole Bender '26 Rachel Tetro '26
Tigers Kayla Maguire '26 Kristen Mcdonough '25
University of Virginia University of Virginia Maxwell Penders '25 [1-7] Claire Miller '26 [1-4]
Laura Rhodes '24 [5-7]
Wahoos Lydia Sweeney '25 [1-7] Sarah Besecky '23 [1-4]
Jonas Mendes '23 [5-7]

Conditions — 09/24/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 46%  ·  Pressure 1016.1 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 70°F   ↓ 50°F
Feels like 58°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.6 kn
avg  ·  max 6.3 kn
Gusts to 15.7 kn
From WNW (288°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover42% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity46% Pressure1016.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 8 kn · SW 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Princeton: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.10 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Princeton by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Princeton, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →