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Navy Women's

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 100
2 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 103
3 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 110
4 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 122
5 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 123
6 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 149
7 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 235
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen A 1 2 1 3 2 4 1 2 2 18 Eva Blauvelt '25
Julia Christie '24
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas A 2 5 4 8 3 8 2 5 1 38 Piper Holthus '25 [1-9]
Grace Flanagan '23 [1-2]
Addi Harris '24 [3-9]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks A 6 9 6 4 1 2 3 3 BKD 38 Leah Rickard '26
Rachel O'Neill '24
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials A 4 1 2 2 6 6 10 8 4 43 Emma Aubuchon '23
Ruby Gordon '23
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers A 3 11 7 7 4 3 RAF 1 3 54 Madeleine Rice '24 [1-9]
Eva Gonzalez-Whitehouse '26 [1-2]
Anna Hoffman '26 [3-9]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas B 11 4 10 1 8 11 5 7 5 62 Eva Fortunato '23 [1-9]
Addi Harris '24 [1-2]
Grace Flanagan '23 [3-9]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks B 9 3 8 5 9 1 9 12 9 65 Lily Flack '25
Lillian Newman '25
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs A 8 7 5 10 7 10 7 6 6 66 Elizabeth Gildea '24
Katherine Barton '23
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers B 12 10 9 6 5 7 8 4 7 68 Adra Ivancich '26 [1-9]
Caroline Dannacher '25 [1-2]
Claire Dubois '23 [3-9]
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials B 5 13 3 12 10 9 4 10 14 80 Islay Van Dusen '23 [1-6]
Avery Canavan '25 [7-9]
Zoe Barros O'Haren '24 [1-2]
Alexandra Lee '25 [3-9]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs B 7 6 13 9 11 12 6 9 10 83 Allison Volk '25 [1-4, 9]
Emma Friedauer '26 [5-8]
Emma Friedauer '26 [1-4, 9]
Allison Volk '25 [5-8]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen B 10 8 11 11 12 5 11 11 13 92 Isabella Fadullon '25 [1-2]
Aubin Hattendorf '24 [3-9]
Madeline Smith '24 [1-2]
Maggie Schuler '25 [3-9]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains A 13 12 14 14 14 13 12 14 11 117 Grace Watlington '26
Ellie Mcfall '24
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains B 14 14 12 13 13 14 13 13 12 118 Laura Smith '26
Grace Keene '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2018 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains111122223
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials2222111114
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas333344445
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen666655554
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs444433332
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers777788889
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks555566667

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains888877776
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials99991010101011
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas1010101099998
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen13131313141414141
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs111111111212121213
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers141414141313131312
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks121212121111111110

Conditions — 09/10/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 71%  ·  Pressure 1023.2 hPa

Temperature

75°F
↑ 78°F   ↓ 67°F
Feels like 78°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.2 kn
avg  ·  max 5.8 kn
Gusts to 14.6 kn
From SE (136°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover85% Sunshine10.6 hrs Humidity71% Pressure1023.2 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 7 kn* · SE 12 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Navy: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.10)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.06 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.04 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Navy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (114 labelled days at Navy).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →