Eva Blauvelt

School U. S. Naval Academy '25
Regattas 49
Races 599

Rating History

Team Race Rating

Rating	Rank	vs fleet rating	Record
2.69 (fleet 3.91)	unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active)	−0.14 ± 0.15 about what the fleet rating predicts	as skipper 74–130 (36%)

Season	Regattas	Skipper W–L	Crew W–L
Spring 2025	5	28–47	—
Spring 2024	4	23–30	—
Spring 2023	5	18–44	—
Spring 2022	1	5–9	—

Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.

Team race surprisal: regatta by regatta

Over 15 graded regattas (204 matches) the record is 74–130 against 88.2 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−14.2). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 9 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 21 bits of surprise in all.

Date	Regatta	Role	Value	Perf.	Record	Exp. wins	Δ	Surprise (bits)	P(this good or better)
2025-04-12	MAISA Women's Team Race Championship	skipper	3.15	2.73	7–14	8.6	−0.42	0.5	86%
2025-04-05	Yale Women's Team Race	skipper	3.25	2.50	1–6	1.7	−0.75	0.3	88%
2025-03-22	Georgetown Women's Team Race	skipper	3.03	1.54	3–11	6.3	−1.49	3.4	99%
2025-03-08	Jen Harris Women's Team Race	skipper	3.09	2.68	8–8	9.0	−0.41	0.3	84%
2025-03-01	ODU Women's Team Race	skipper	2.98	4.05	9–8	6.4	+1.07	2.0	8%
2024-04-13	MAISA Women's Team Race Championships	skipper	2.92	3.61	7–7	5.3	+0.69	0.9	21%
2024-03-23	Seahawk Women's Team Race	skipper	2.94	2.40	6–12	7.7	−0.54	0.6	89%
2024-03-16	Graham Hall Team Race	skipper	3.05	2.87	7–3	7.3	−0.18	0.0	75%
2024-03-09	Jen Harris Women's Team Race	skipper	2.90	2.17	3–8	4.2	−0.73	0.6	91%
2023-04-15	MAISA Women’s Team Race Conference Championship	skipper	2.67	2.87	8–10	7.4	+0.19	0.1	47%
2023-04-01	Finger Lakes Women's Team Race	skipper	2.77	1.18	2–10	5.0	−1.58	3.2	99%
2023-03-25	Jen Harris Team Race	skipper	2.75	2.38	2–5	2.4	−0.37	0.1	80%
2023-03-11	Bob Bavier Open Team Race	skipper	2.89	1.14	4–12	9.0	−1.76	6.1	>99%
2023-03-04	ODU Women's Team Race	skipper	2.78	1.43	2–7	4.5	−1.36	2.3	99%
2022-04-02	MAISA Women's Team Race Championship	skipper	2.13	2.65	5–9	3.5	+0.52	0.6	26%

Regatta results

Regatta	Role	Div	Races	Avg	Rating
Spring 2025 Team page Season
Yale Women's Team Race Women's	Skipper	TR	7	14%	—
ODU Women's Team Race Women's	Skipper	TR	17	53%	—
MAISA Women's Team Race Championship Women's	Skipper	TR	21	33%	—
MAISA Spring Women's Fleet Race Championship Women's	Skipper	A	15	3.9	4.17
Jen Harris Women's Team Race Women's	Skipper	TR	16	50%	—
Georgetown Women's Team Race Women's	Skipper	TR	14	21%	—
Fall 2024 Team page Season
Yale Women's Interconference Women's	Skipper	A	13	6.9	3.75
Women's Atlantic Coast Championship Finals Women's	Skipper	A	16	8.4	4.09
Women's ACC's Round 1B Women's	Skipper	A	10	5.1	4.28
MAISA Top 9 Women's Women's	Skipper	A	16	6.4	2.51
Spring 2024 Team page Season
Women's Dinghy National Championship Women's	Skipper	A	17	10.0	3.72
Seahawk Women's Team Race Women's	Skipper	TR	18	33%	—
MAISA Women's Team Race Championships Women's	Skipper	TR	14	50%	—
MAISA Spring Women's Fleet Race Championship Women's	Skipper	A	10	5.5	3.37
Jen Harris Women's Team Race Women's	Skipper	TR	11	27%	—
Graham Hall Team Race	Skipper	TR	15	67%	—
Eastern Open National Semi-Final	Skipper	B	6	11.2	3.13
Eastern Women's National Semi-final Women's	Skipper	A	17	5.2	4.29
America Trophy - Conference Championship	Skipper	B	2	7.5	3.47
Fall 2023 Team page Season
Women's Atlantic Coast Championship Women's	Skipper	A	12	5.9	4.78
Women's ACC Round 1A Women's	Skipper	A	16	3.6	4.91
Open ACCs Round 1B	Skipper	B	8	6.4	4.59
MAISA Women's Fall Dinghy Championship Women's	Skipper	A	14	3.4	4.11
Atlantic Coast Open Championship Finals	Skipper	B	3	10.0	4.14
Spring 2023 Team page Season
College Sailing Women's Western Semifinal Women's	Skipper	A	8	4.5	4.71
College Sailing Women's National Championship Women's	Skipper	A	10	11.6	3.39
ODU Women's Team Race Women's	Skipper	TR	9	22%	—
Navy Women's Spring Fleet Race Women's	Skipper	A	11	7.1	3.42
MAISA Women’s Team Race Conference Championship Women's	Skipper	TR	18	44%	—
MAISA Women's Dinghy Championships Women's	Skipper	A	14	4.6	3.63
Jen Harris Team Race Women's	Skipper	TR	7	29%	—
Finger Lakes Women's Team Race Women's	Skipper	TR	12	17%	—
Bob Bavier Open Team Race	Skipper	TR	16	25%	—
Fall 2022 Team page Season
Yale Women's Interconference Women's	Skipper	A	8	4.9	4.48
Women's Atlantic Coast Dinghy Championship, Finals Women's	Skipper	A	9	6.3	4.64
Women's ACC Series, Round 1A Women's	Skipper	A	14	6.9	3.80
Oyster Bowl	Skipper	B	9	10.0	1.79
Navy Women's Women's	Skipper	A	9	2.0	4.43
MAISA Fall Women's Women's	Skipper	A	11	4.7	3.47
Spring 2022 Team page Season
College Sailing Women’s National Championship Women's	Skipper	B	11	9.4	3.50
College Sailing Women's Eastern Semifinals Women's	Skipper	B	13	5.7	3.85
ODU Women's Women's	Skipper	A	13	6.0	1.56
MAISA Women's Team Race Championship Women's	Skipper	TR	14	36%	—
MAISA Spring Women's Championship Women's	Skipper	B	14	4.3	3.49
Fall 2021 Team page Season
Women's ACC's Round 1B Women's	Skipper	B	17	11.2	1.91
Top 9W - Susan Rogers Memorial Women's	Skipper	B	14	12.4	-0.68
Navy Women's Women's	Skipper	B	12	7.4	1.54
MAISA Fall Women's Women's	Skipper	B	6	5.5	2.82
2021 Women's Atlantic Coast Championship Women's	Skipper	B	12	12.1	2.64

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

How do skipper ratings work?A log-strength fitted to every race at once, smoothed week to week.
What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
How does a crew rating work?A crew rating is small and uncertain; a worked example on one roster.
Play 1, Play 2, Play 4: how team races are wonHow often each play happens, how that shifts with breeze and level, and whether a star wins differently.

All notes →