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Oyster Bowl

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 107
2 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 128
3 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 135
4 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 153
5 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 167
6 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 196
7 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 2 206
8 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 1 208
9 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 242
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 B 2 3 6 10 4 2 5 8 3 43 Owen Hennessey '25
Sam Muir '22
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 B 9 6 9 1 13 1 7 3 4 53 Mateo Di Blasi '25 [1-2]
Enzo Menditto '26 [3-9]
Caro Gaston '25 [1-2]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 B 1 5 10 3 2 14 2 6 13 56 Edward Cook '23
Audrey Fung '24
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 A 3 1 5 DSQ 8 16 3 1 7 63 Trenton Shaw '24
Ellie Alex '26
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 A 7 7 2 12 11 12 4 4 5 64 Leo Boucher '22
Ellie Sekowski '23
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 A 15 14 11 2 1 9 6 12 1 71 Cooper Walshe '25
Linnea Forsberg '25
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 A 14 2 3 14 DSQ 6 1 7 6 72 Mariner Fagan '24
Emily Panarella '24
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 A 8 9 8 4 6 8 9 16 14 82 Diego Escobar '25 [1-2]
Daniel Hughes '25 [3-9]
Marguerite Montagner '25 [1-2]
Harper Cartwright '24 [3-8]
Vaughn Slatoff '26 [9]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 B 11 15 1 15 9 7 14 10 8 90 Eva Blauvelt '25
Julia Christie '24
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 2 B 4 8 16 6 5 10 11 17 18 95 Samuel Gavula '24
Hannah Bast '25
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 B 12 10 7 13 10 3 18 13 10 96 Jack Welburn '26
Margo Cicero '26
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs B 5 17 13 5 14 11 12 5 15 97 Diogo Silva '26
Asianna Acosta '26
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs A 16 16 4 7 12 18 13 11 2 99 Noyl Odom '24
Grace Wright '26
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 1 A 6 4 18 17 17 13 16 2 9 102 Jordan Bruce '24
Joshua Zeelander '24
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 1 B 13 13 17 8 3 17 10 9 16 106 Javier Garcon '25
Kiki Bruzzi '25
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 2 A 10 11 15 11 7 15 15 15 12 111 Christopher Sharpless '23
Eva Gonzalez-Whitehouse '26
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 B 17 12 14 16 16 5 8 14 17 119 Charlie Anderson '25
Zoe Hoctor '25
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 A 18 18 12 9 15 4 17 RAF 11 123 Keiran James Golden '24
Katherine Shermock '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (41 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 1111122223
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 22222111118
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1666655554
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2777788889
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs333344445
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers 1888877776
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers 299991010101011
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1444433332
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2555566667

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 11010101099998
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 2111111111212121213
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1151515151616161617
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2161616161515151514
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs121212121111111110
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers 117171717181818181
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers 2181818181717171716
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1131313131414141415
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2141414141313131312

Conditions — 09/24/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 50%  ·  Pressure 1018.4 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 69°F   ↓ 58°F
Feels like 62°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.0 kn
avg  ·  max 5.1 kn
Gusts to 12.4 kn
From W (268°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover73% Sunshine9.4 hrs Humidity50% Pressure1018.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 7 kn* · S 10 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at St. Mary's: a favourites’ day (+0.09)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.18 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.25 ± 0.24)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at St. Mary's by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (70 labelled days at St. Mary's).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →