Georgetown University '25
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.75 (fleet 3.79) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.01 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 18–0 (100%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2023 | 1 | 18–0 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 1 graded regattas (18 matches) the record is 18–0 against 17.4 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+0.6). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 1 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-18 | Washington College Team Race | skipper | 2.90 | 5.90 | 18–0 | 17.4 | ≥+3.00 | 0.8 | 55% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Washington College Team Race | Skipper | TR | 21 | 100% | — |
| 2023 Truxtun Umsted | Skipper | B | 4 | 7.2 | 3.12 |
| Fall 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Tom Curtis Memorial Regatta | Skipper | A | 8 | 2.4 | 5.05 |
| Riley Cup | Skipper | A | 13 | 5.7 | 3.38 |
| Oyster Bowl | Skipper | A | 7 | 9.3 | 2.21 |
| Spring 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Robert P. Arrigan Memorial Regatta | Skipper | A | 5 | 5.8 | 1.37 |
| GW Invite | Skipper | B | 14 | 5.2 | 1.99 |
| Fall 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| Tom Curtis Memorial Regatta | Skipper | B | 8 | 3.2 | 2.55 |
| Intrepid Trophy - MAISA Match Race Keelboat | Crew | A | 1 | 2.0 | — |
| Chesapeake Invitational | Skipper | B | 8 | 7.9 | 2.99 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Daniel Hughes |  Gulliver Preparatory School |
'21 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
