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Robert P. Arrigan Memorial Regatta

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 88
2 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 100
3 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 102
4 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 128
5 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 139
6 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 4 149
7 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 3 153
8 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 5 229
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 A 2 1 13 11 5 2 1 2 37 John Patrick Panarella '22
Louisa Buckingham '24
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 A 5 7 5 2 9 6 3 5 42 Cooper Walshe '25
Linnea Forsberg '25
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 A 1 8 1 4 10 1 11 10 46 Jack Carminati '22
Madeline Smith '24
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 4 B 4 9 3 3 1 14 8 8 50 Joe Coyne '23
Rebekah Morrison '23
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 B 6 6 7 6 11 4 5 6 51 Piper Holthus '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Luke Monnich '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Luke Monnich '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Piper Holthus '25 [3-4, 7-8]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks A 9 13 2 7 2 7 9 3 52 Charlie Anderson '25
Katherine Shermock '24
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 B 7 5 9 5 12 11 4 1 54 Tanner Kelly '25
Hunter Anderson '24
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 B 3 12 10 9 8 9 2 7 60 Caden Scheiblauer '23
Julia Christie '24
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 B 12 10 6 1 3 3 14 14 63 Alexander Mazzeo '22
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 3 A 15 4 4 12 14 5 7 9 70 Quinn Sheehan '23 [1, 4-5]
Daniel Hughes '25 [2-3, 6-8]
Elizabeth Fortunato '23 [1, 4-5]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 A 13 3 8 8 13 10 6 15 76 Patrick Murray '23
Marguerite Montagner '25
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks B 11 2 11 14 4 13 10 11 76 Benjamin Chitterling '25
Henry Haddon '25
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 3 B 10 14 14 10 6 12 13 4 83 Eva Fortunato '23
Grace Flanagan '23
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 4 A 14 15 15 13 7 8 15 12 99 Kathryn Winters '24
Audrey Fung '24
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 5 A 8 11 12 15 15 15 12 13 101 Anson Walker '25
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 5 B 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 128 Anson Walker '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (20 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 111111111
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 222222222
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 333333333
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 444444444
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 51818181818181818
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 166666666
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 277777777
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks55555555

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 188888888
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 299999999
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 31010101010101010
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 41111111111111111
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 51717171717171717
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 11313131313131313
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 21414141414141414
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks1212121212121212

Conditions — 04/30/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 29%  ·  Pressure 1021.0 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 47°F
Feels like 58°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.3 kn
avg  ·  max 4.3 kn
Gusts to 10.3 kn
From ESE (105°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover77% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity29% Pressure1021.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 5 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Georgetown: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.05 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.22 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Georgetown by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (27 labelled days at Georgetown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →