GW Invite

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 113
2 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 145
3 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 186
4 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 1 220
5 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 2 271
6 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 272
7 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 321
8 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 376
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 A 1 8 1 2 2 2 3 1 1 3 1 3 7 5 40 Mateo Di Blasi '25
Caro Gaston '25
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 A 4 3 4 7 3 1 4 5 2 6 2 1 1 1 44 Louis Margay '22
Catherine Aitken '24
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 2 A 8 5 2 3 6 8 11 7 3 8 4 4 2 2 73 Ryan Janov '22
Jack Woodward '25
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 B 3 1 11 6 4 3 1 4 4 1 9 9 8 9 73 Daniel Hughes '25
Spencer Kriegstein '25
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 B 2 9 13 5 7 6 2 3 6 4 3 13 9 3 85 John Patrick Panarella '22
Elizabeth Fortunato '23
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 1 B 5 2 3 10 1 4 5 2 5 15 6 12 11 13 94 Anthony Minder '24
Elizabeth Ellis '24
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 A 6 7 9 4 9 7 6 6 9 10 8 8 4 8 101 Joe Coyne '23
Rebekah Morrison '23
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 B 9 4 8 13 8 12 10 8 8 2 7 2 3 7 101 Colin Macgillivray '23
Linnea Forsberg '25
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 1 A 7 13 7 12 11 9 8 10 10 11 13 5 6 4 126 Jack Fisher '25
Annabelle O'Bryan '24
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers B 14 12 5 14 5 5 7 11 7 7 14 10 10 12 133 George Hambleton '21
Kenna Reed '24
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers A 12 10 10 8 12 10 14 9 15 12 5 7 5 10 139 Evan Spalding '24 [1-9]
Payne Donaldson '24 [10-14]
Payne Donaldson '24 [1-9]
Evan Spalding '24 [10-14]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 B 16 6 6 1 14 15 13 12 11 5 12 14 12 6 143 Robert Ziman '25
Maggie Schuler '25
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 A 15 16 14 11 13 13 9 13 14 16 10 6 13 15 178 Aubin Hattendorf '24
Julia Christie '24
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks B 10 14 12 9 15 11 16 16 13 13 11 15 14 11 180 Lily Flack '25
Lillian Newman '25
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks A 11 15 16 16 16 14 12 14 16 9 16 11 16 14 196 Lucas Masiello '23
Henry Haddon '25
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 2 B 13 11 15 15 10 16 15 15 12 14 15 16 15 16 198 Kaleigh Morgan '24 [1-14]
Henry Mcpherson '25 [1-5, 8-14]
Sylvia Fresco '23 [6-7]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.250+0.25
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials 111111111111111
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials 222222222222222
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 133333333333333
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 244444444444444
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 166666666666666
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 277777777777777
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks55555555555555
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers88888888888888

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials 199999999999999
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials 21010101010101010101010101010
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 11111111111111111111111111111
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 21212121212121212121212121212
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 11414141414141414141414141414
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 21515151515151515151515151515
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks1313131313131313131313131313
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers1616161616161616161616161616

Conditions — 04/23/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 53%  ·  Pressure 1025.5 hPa

Temperature

68°F
↑ 75°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 66°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.3 kn
avg  ·  max 6.4 kn
Gusts to 15.2 kn
From SE (140°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover82% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity53% Pressure1025.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 9 kn · E 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at George Washington: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.05 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.00
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.51 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at George Washington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at George Washington, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →