Tom Curtis Memorial Regatta

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 110
2 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 223
3 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 233
4 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 242
5 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 261
6 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 299
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas A 4 1 2 5 2 2 3 3 22 Mateo Di Blasi '25
Eugénie Le Picart '22
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas B 3 4 5 3 1 4 5 1 26 Daniel Hughes '25
Elizabeth Fortunato '23
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials A 1 6 8 8 7 1 1 15 47 Owen Timms '23
Genevieve Mumma '24
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas C 7 2 7 9 5 14 8 10 62 John Patrick Panarella '22
Cates Doyle '23
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen A 2 3 3 7 17 10 14 12 68 Jack Carminati '22
Catherine Aitken '24
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains A 10 5 4 11 8 16 12 2 68 Brian Fox '23
Julia Burns '22
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs C 8 16 6 15 6 11 2 7 71 Andrew Ciszewski '25
Ethan Tutt '24
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials B 9 10 9 12 12 5 7 9 73 Jack Fisher '25
Annabelle O'Bryan '24
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red B 6 15 11 13 9 9 4 8 75 Lucija Ruzevic '24
Lilly Bjerke '25
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen C 16 13 1 2 11 15 11 6 75 Cooper Walshe '25
Maggie Schuler '25
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red A 5 8 17 6 4 17 15 4 76 J.J. Smith '24
Rocco Cappetta '24
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen B 14 7 10 16 3 18 6 16 90 Tanner Kelly '25
Robert Ziman '25
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs A 11 9 15 14 13 7 17 5 91 John Glenn '22
Isabelle Kanach '25
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red C 13 14 14 17 10 3 9 11 91 Lauren Ehnot '24
Isabel Dhar '23
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains C 15 12 12 1 14 6 16 18 94 Luke Hayes '22 [1-8]
Alexandria Brooks '22 [1-5]
Shelby Svilich '23 [6-8]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs B 12 11 16 10 15 8 13 14 99 Megan Geith '23
Jefferson Elkin '24
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials C 17 17 13 4 16 13 10 13 103 Avery Canavan '25
Sydney Register '22
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains B 18 18 18 18 18 12 18 17 137 Daniel Hodges '22
Liam Orr '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (20 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains11111111
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red22222222
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials33333333
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas44444444
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen66666666
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs55555555

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains77777777
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red88888888
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials99999999
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas1010101010101010
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen1212121212121212
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs1111111111111111

Division C

Team1C2C3C4C5C6C7C8C
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains1313131313131313
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red1414141414141414
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials1515151515151515
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas1616161616161616
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen1818181818181818
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs1717171717171717

Conditions — 10/02/2021 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 68%  ·  Pressure 1021.0 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 77°F   ↓ 58°F
Feels like 72°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.3 kn
avg  ·  max 4.8 kn
Gusts to 12.2 kn
From SSW (199°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover58% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity68% Pressure1021.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Georgetown: a typical day (−0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.09 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.09 ± 0.22)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Georgetown by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (27 labelled days at Georgetown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →