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ODU Women's

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 140
2 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 166
3 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 170
4 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 178
5 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 181
6 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 213
7 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 318
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 TOT Sailors
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials A 3 2 3 3 11 3 6 2 1 1 5 10 7 57 Chiara Perotti Correa '22 [1-13]
Allison Forsyth '22 [1-10]
Kaleigh Morgan '24 [11-13]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack A 2 8 1 1 1 2 5 11 2 6 7 8 10 64 Olivia Sowa '24
Annika Milstien '25
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears A 10 5 7 9 2 11 4 5 8 3 3 1 4 72 Emily Bornarth '24 [1-13]
Laura Slovensky '25 [1-11]
Leonora Krajewski '23 [12-13]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks A 1 3 10 5 4 4 7 12 11 7 4 5 1 74 Katherine Bennett '22
Emma Gronda '22
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen A 4 9 8 2 13 5 1 7 6 8 2 7 6 78 Eva Blauvelt '25
Madeline Smith '24
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials B 9 1 9 6 14 1 2 4 5 9 11 3 9 83 Emma Aubuchon '23 [1-13]
Ruby Gordon '23 [1-10]
Mikaela Smith '22 [11-13]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears B 7 7 2 11 3 7 12 9 12 2 10 9 3 94 Emma Snead '23 [1-4, 8-13]
Celia Houston '25 [5-7]
Mia Quinlan '24 [1-4, 8-13]
Leonora Krajewski '23 [5-7]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks B 5 13 6 4 10 12 11 1 10 12 8 2 2 96 Lily Flack '25
Zoe Hoctor '25
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs B 12 10 4 7 6 9 RAF 8 3 14 1 4 8 101 Megan Geith '24 [1-13]
Katherine Barton '23 [1-6, 9-13]
Alivia Markham '23 [7-8]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen B 8 11 11 8 12 10 3 6 4 4 6 6 14 103 Carlyn Blauvelt '23 [1-13]
Elizabeth Linsdell '23 [1-10, 12]
Maggie Schuler '25 [11, 13]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs A 11 4 12 10 8 6 9 3 7 5 12 13 12 112 Elizabeth Gildea '24
Allison Volk '25
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack B 6 12 5 12 9 8 8 10 9 10 9 11 5 114 Isabella Du Plessis '25
Abby Scudder '24
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos A 13 6 13 14 7 14 13 14 13 13 13 12 11 156 Hannah Mercurio '24
Kieran Mcmahon '22
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos B 14 14 14 13 5 13 10 13 14 11 14 14 13 162 Emma Sullivan '23 [1-4]
Lydia Sweeney '25 [5-13]
Laura Rhodes '24 [1-10]
Emma Sullivan '23 [11-13]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (49 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears8888888888888
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials4444444444444
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen3333333333333
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack13131313131313131313131313
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs6666666666666
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks1111111111111
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos10101010101010101010101010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears9999999999999
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials5555555555555
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen2222222222222
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack12121212121212121212121212
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs7777777777777
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks14141414141414141414141414
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos11111111111111111111111111

Conditions — 03/05/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 66%  ·  Pressure 1031.0 hPa

Temperature

56°F
↑ 64°F   ↓ 44°F
Feels like 52°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.5 kn
avg  ·  max 7.7 kn
Gusts to 15.2 kn
From ESE (115°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover82% Sunshine7.2 hrs Humidity66% Pressure1031.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 6 kn · S 20 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Old Dominion: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.09 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.10
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.37 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Old Dominion by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (76 labelled days at Old Dominion).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →