St. Mary's College of Maryland '22
How much better or worse boats do with this sailor crewing than their skipper's rating predicts, shown on the skipper scale so crews can be lined up across teams. Percentiles compare against rostered crews that season (league) or teammates (team).
How crew ratings work →Crew effect over their whole career, not scaled to a team: 83.41 percentile among ICSA crews with 30+ races. Uncertainty ±0.114 rating points from 37 races with rated skippers.
How crew ratings work →No season rating yet: needs 8+ crewed races in a season.
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.19 (fleet 3.09) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.05 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 33–59 (36%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2022 | 3 | 19–28 | — |
| Spring 2021 | 2 | 0–15 | — |
| Spring 2020 | 1 | 6–9 | — |
| Spring 2019 | 1 | 8–7 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 7 graded regattas (92 matches) the record is 33–59 against 41.0 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−8.0). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 5 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 15 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05-16 | College Sailing Team Race National Championship | skipper | 2.56 | 2.33 | 3–12 | 3.5 | −0.23 | 0.1 | 74% |
| 2022-04-02 | MAISA Women's Team Race Championship | skipper | 2.58 | 2.02 | 6–8 | 7.9 | −0.57 | 0.8 | 90% |
| 2022-03-26 | Seahawk Women's Team Race InterConference | skipper | 2.56 | 3.21 | 10–8 | 7.6 | +0.65 | 1.1 | 16% |
| 2021-03-14 | SMC Spring Fling Team Race | skipper | 2.49 | -0.51 | 0–10 | 4.5 | ≤−3.00 | 10.0 | >99% |
| 2021-03-07 | St. Mary's TR Opener | skipper | 2.38 | -0.62 | 0–5 | 1.4 | ≤−3.00 | 2.7 | >99% |
| 2020-02-29 | Tom Noble Team Race | skipper | 2.45 | 2.01 | 6–9 | 7.0 | −0.45 | 0.3 | 84% |
| 2019-03-23 | Seahawk Women's Team Race | skipper | 2.57 | 2.24 | 8–7 | 9.2 | −0.34 | 0.3 | 82% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| St. Mary's College Women's Interconference Women's | Skipper | A | 18 | 9.9 | 2.84 |
| Seahawk Women's Team Race InterConference Women's | Skipper | TR | 18 | 56% | — |
| College Sailing Women’s National Championship Women's | Skipper | B | 11 | 11.3 | 3.04 |
| College Sailing Women's Western Semifinal Women's | Skipper | A | 13 | 10.5 | 2.89 |
| College Sailing Team Race National Championship | Skipper | TR | 15 | 20% | — |
| College Sailing Open Eastern Semifinal | Skipper | B | 6 | 11.2 | 2.59 |
| ODU Women's Women's | Skipper | A | 13 | 5.7 | 1.92 |
| MAISA Women's Team Race Championship Women's | Skipper | TR | 14 | 43% | — |
| MAISA Spring Women's Championship Women's | Skipper | A | 14 | 6.0 | 3.07 |
| Fall 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's ACC's Round 1A Women's | Skipper | A | 13 | 9.5 | 3.03 |
| Stu Nelson Women's | Skipper | A | 12 | 6.8 | 3.20 |
| Navy Women's Women's | Skipper | A | 12 | 5.8 | 1.97 |
| MAISA Fall Women's Women's | Skipper | A | 10 | 5.3 | 3.31 |
| Chesapeake Invitational | Skipper | A | 8 | 7.1 | 3.93 |
| 2022 Rose Bowl Regatta | Skipper | B | 7 | 7.7 | 2.84 |
| 2021 Women's Atlantic Coast Championship Women's | Skipper | A | 18 | 12.5 | 2.86 |
| Spring 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| St. Mary's Spring Opener | Skipper | B | 6 | 9.5 | 1.61 |
| SMC Spring Fling Team Race | Skipper | TR | 10 | 0% | — |
| SMC Spring Fling | Skipper | A | 5 | 9.4 | 0.50 |
| The Seahawk Wave Showdown | Skipper | A | 5 | 7.6 | — |
| Seahawk Colonial Showdown | Skipper | B | 4 | 5.0 | 3.05 |
| 2021 College Sailing Women's Nationals Women's | Skipper | B | 16 | 6.0 | 3.65 |
| Navy Quad Fleet Race | Skipper | A | 4 | 11.8 | — |
| MAISA South Women's Championships Women's | Skipper | B | 8 | 5.1 | -0.11 |
| St. Mary's TR Opener | Skipper | TR | 5 | 0% | — |
| Spring 2020 Team page Season | |||||
| Tom Noble Team Race | Skipper | TR | 15 | 40% | — |
| Navy Spring Womens Women's | Skipper | B | 14 | 8.0 | 2.80 |
| Fall 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Showcase Tournament Women's | Skipper | B | 10 | 6.5 | 2.20 |
| Women's Showcase Qualifier A Women's | Skipper | A | 14 | 9.1 | 2.80 |
| Tom Curtis Memorial Regatta | Skipper | A | 8 | 9.8 | 2.73 |
| Riley Cup | Skipper | A | 6 | 6.0 | 3.09 |
| MAISA Women's Fall Dinghy Championships Women's | Skipper | B | 6 | 8.5 | 1.19 |
| Chesapeake Invitational Sat FJ | Skipper | A | 7 | 12.9 | 2.64 |
| Spring 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| St. Mary's Women's InterConference Women's | Skipper | B | 14 | 11.4 | 2.28 |
| Sperry Women's Western Semifinal Women's | Skipper | B | 12 | 7.7 | 3.15 |
| Sperry Women's National Championship Women's | Skipper | B | 6 | 13.5 | 2.28 |
| Seahawk Women's Team Race Women's | Skipper | TR | 15 | 53% | — |
| ODU Spring Women's Women's | Skipper | B | 12 | 2.9 | 4.05 |
| Navy Spring Women's Women's | Skipper | B | 11 | 9.0 | 2.81 |
| MAISA Spring Women's Dinghy Championship Women's | Skipper | B | 16 | 7.2 | 2.41 |
| Emily Wick Trophy Women's | Skipper | A | 14 | 12.9 | 2.25 |
| Fall 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Showcase Women's | Skipper | B | 8 | 10.2 | 2.09 |
| Women's Showcase Final B Women's | Skipper | B | 18 | 5.5 | 3.01 |
| Top 9 Regatta Women Women's | Skipper | B | 13 | 10.5 | 0.86 |
| Riley Cup | Skipper | B | 6 | 6.2 | 2.66 |
| MAISA Women's Championship Women's | Skipper | A | 10 | 6.2 | 3.04 |
| Chesapeake Invitational (Sunday) | Skipper | A | 4 | 10.2 | 3.56 |
| Chesapeake Invitational (Sat) | Skipper | A | 4 | 13.0 | 2.89 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Katherine Bennett |  Broadneck High School |
'18 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
