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MAISA South Women's Championships

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 66
2 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 81
3 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 94
4 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 96
5 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 134
6 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 161
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen A 1 1 1 7 1 6 9 3 29 Olivia De Olazarra '22
Sally Johnson '22
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs A 5 6 2 1 3 4 1 8 30 Bridget Groble '22
Katherine Barton '23
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen B 8 4 4 4 4 2 7 4 37 Carlyn Blauvelt '23
Elizabeth Linsdell '23
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials A 4 2 8 2 9 1 8 5 39 Chiara Perotti Correa '22
Allison Forsyth '22
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas B 3 10 7 3 2 3 4 7 39 Marley Mais '21 [1-3]
Morgan Sailer '22 [4-8]
Olivia Van Den Born '21 [1-3]
Maya Rabinowitz '21 [4-8]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks A 2 7 6 5 10 7 2 1 40 Gloria Kevliciute '21
Madison Bashaw '24
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks B 6 3 3 6 7 5 5 6 41 Katherine Bennett '22
Laura Dennison '21
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas A 7 8 5 10 5 8 3 9 55 Carly Broussard '21
Grace Flanagan '23
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials B 10 5 9 9 6 10 6 2 57 Sarah Hardee '22 [1-8]
Taylor Milefchik '22 [1-4]
Ruby Gordon '23 [5-8]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains A 9 9 10 8 8 9 10 10 73 Emily Key '22 [1-8]
Shelby Svilich '23 [1-3]
Ellie Mcfall '24 [4-8]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains B 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 88 Emily Learn '23 [1-8]
Julia Burns '22 [1-5]
Alexandria Brooks '22 [6-8]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs B DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 104 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (19 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains66666666
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials55555555
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas44444444
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen11111111
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs33333333
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks22222222

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains1616161616161616
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials1515151515151515
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas1414141414141414
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen1111111111111111
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs1313131313131313
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks1212121212121212

Conditions — 04/17/2021 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 60%  ·  Pressure 1010.5 hPa

Temperature

55°F
↑ 58°F   ↓ 50°F
Feels like 51°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.6 kn
avg  ·  max 7.8 kn
Gusts to 19.6 kn
From NNW (344°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover76% Sunshine10.2 hrs Humidity60% Pressure1010.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at St. Mary's: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.05 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.14 ± 0.24)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at St. Mary's by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (70 labelled days at St. Mary's).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →