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Top 9 Regatta Women

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 142
2 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 166
3 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 226
4 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 236
5 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 236
6 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 251
7 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 260
8 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 324
9 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 382
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 TOT Sailors
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials B 4 2 5 16 2 5 3 1 5 2 2 11 1 59 Aitana Mendiguren '20
Sarah Noyes '20
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red B 9 17 13 6 9 2 2 6 1 1 8 2 2 78 Daisy Holthus '21
Patricia Corujo '21
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials A 14 15 2 2 16 1 7 4 2 5 1 1 13 83 Riley Legault '19
Alexandra Fayer '19
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen A 1 5 9 13 1 7 17 9 7 7 3 5 4 88 Olivia De Olazarra '22
Emma Remis '20
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red A 3 10 8 5 6 3 1 16 10 8 9 4 5 88 Sebby Turner '20
Kimberly Wong '19
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs A 10 3 7 8 8 10 8 2 3 13 6 8 3 89 Olivia Windemuller '19
Emily Harrison '21
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks A 6 1 3 12 12 9 4 5 11 3 14 3 7 90 Ellie Ungar '19
Ashley Wagner '20
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen A 2 4 1 9 3 6 11 7 12 15 13 9 17 109 Katherine Cox '20
Cailin Gensler '21
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen B 5 13 16 4 4 12 13 10 14 6 10 14 6 127 Claire Siegel-Wilson '22
Audrey Morin '21
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas A 12 9 11 1 11 13 6 12 4 10 15 16 9 129 Macey Mccann '20 [1-4, 11-12]
Marley Mais '21 [5-7, 13]
Gwynie Dunlevy '20 [8-10]
Celine Bennett '20 [1-4, 8-12]
Hannah Hess '19 [5-7]
Gwynie Dunlevy '20 [13]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas B 11 11 14 3 7 8 5 13 8 11 12 12 16 131 Riley Kloc '23 [1-4, 11-12]
Carly Broussard '21 [5-7, 13]
Morgan Sailer '22 [8-10]
Olivia Van Den Born '21 [1-7, 11-12]
Hannah Hess '19 [8-10, 13]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks B 15 14 4 7 10 4 9 17 17 14 7 7 11 136 Katherine Bennett '22
Kate Bjerregaard '19
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen B 17 12 18 14 18 15 14 3 9 4 4 6 14 148 Jessica Mcjones '20
Sarah Barkley '19
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers B 16 6 10 11 17 16 16 14 6 9 5 15 15 156 Lenox Butcher '20
Laura Whelan '20
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs B 7 7 6 10 14 14 12 11 18 17 17 17 12 162 Colleen Baumann '21
Abigail Tutt '21
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers A 18 8 17 17 13 18 10 8 16 12 11 10 10 168 Ava Esquier '20
Kelly Hanlon '21
Fordham University Fordham University Rams A 8 18 15 15 5 11 15 18 15 16 16 13 8 173 Charlotte Leclue '19
Makena Masterson '19
Fordham University Fordham University Rams B 13 16 12 18 15 17 18 15 13 18 18 18 18 209 Maggie Costikyan '22
Elizabeth Hupp '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red1111111111111
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams2222222222222
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials3333333333333
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas4444444444444
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen5555555555555
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen8888888888888
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs6666666666666
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers9999999999999
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks7777777777777

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red10101010101010101010101010
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams11111111111111111111111111
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials12121212121212121212121212
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas13131313131313131313131313
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen14141414141414141414141414
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen17171717171717171717171717
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs15151515151515151515151515
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers18181818181818181818181818
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks16161616161616161616161616

Conditions — 09/22/2018 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 77%  ·  Pressure 1019.9 hPa

Temperature

74°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 70°F
Feels like 77°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.2 kn
avg  ·  max 7.3 kn
Gusts to 15.4 kn
From N (359°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover77% Sunshine8.6 hrs Humidity77% Pressure1019.9 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 8 kn · NE 9 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Georgetown: a typical day (+0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.12 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.12
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.18 ± 0.22)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Georgetown by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (27 labelled days at Georgetown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →