St. Mary's College of Maryland '19
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singlehanded | 2.56 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 105 | Fall 2018 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.29 (fleet 3.17) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.01 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 20–19 (51%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2019 | 1 | 8–7 | — |
| Spring 2018 | 1 | 12–12 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (39 matches) the record is 20–19 against 23.9 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−3.9). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 2 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 2 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-03-23 | Seahawk Women's Team Race | skipper | 2.34 | 2.01 | 8–7 | 9.2 | −0.34 | 0.3 | 82% |
| 2018-03-24 | Seahawk Team Race Invite | skipper | 1.97 | 1.29 | 12–12 | 14.8 | −0.68 | 1.4 | 95% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| St. Mary's Women's InterConference Women's | Skipper | A | 14 | 11.7 | 2.68 |
| Sperry Women's Western Semifinal Women's | Skipper | A | 13 | 6.0 | 4.04 |
| Sperry Women's National Championship Women's | Skipper | A | 15 | 8.7 | 3.70 |
| Seahawk Women's Team Race Women's | Skipper | TR | 15 | 53% | — |
| ODU Spring Women's Women's | Skipper | A | 12 | 6.8 | 2.77 |
| Navy Spring Women's Women's | Skipper | A | 11 | 11.9 | 2.48 |
| MAISA Spring Women's Dinghy Championship Women's | Skipper | A | 16 | 5.6 | 3.44 |
| Fall 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Showcase Women's | Skipper | A | 8 | 9.5 | 2.59 |
| Women's Showcase Final B Women's | Skipper | A | 18 | 9.7 | 2.36 |
| Top 9 Regatta Women Women's | Skipper | A | 13 | 6.9 | 2.50 |
| Tom Curtis Memorial Regatta | Skipper | B | 14 | 12.6 | -0.98 |
| Navy Women's Open Women's | Skipper | A | 12 | 5.6 | 3.47 |
| Faye Bennet MAISA Women's Singles Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 14 | 8.2 | 2.77 |
| Spring 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| Wick/Shrew Women's | Skipper | A | 9 | 11.2 | 2.92 |
| St. Mary's Women's InterConference Women's | Skipper | A | 10 | 12.9 | 2.32 |
| Sperry Women's Eastern Semifinal Women's | Skipper | A | 12 | 9.9 | 2.85 |
| SMC Quad Fleet Race II Women's | Skipper | A | 3 | 4.0 | 2.27 |
| SMC Quad Fleet Race | Skipper | A | 6 | 5.3 | 2.18 |
| Seahawk Team Race Invite | Skipper | TR | 10 | 20% | — |
| ODU Spring Women's Women's | Skipper | A | 9 | 2.6 | 4.33 |
| Navy Spring Women's Women's | Skipper | A | 16 | 8.4 | 3.59 |
| Navy Spring | Skipper | A | 18 | 16.6 | 2.01 |
| MAISA Women's Championship Women's | Skipper | A | 11 | 5.6 | 3.16 |
| Fall 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Atlantic Coast Championship Women's | Skipper | A | 8 | 9.9 | 3.29 |
| Tom Curtis Memorial Regatta | Skipper | A | 7 | 12.9 | 2.38 |
| Radial Open Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 14 | 6.0 | 3.16 |
| MAISA Women's Fall Dinghy Women's | Skipper | B | 4 | 5.2 | 2.90 |
| Jen Harris Navy Fall Women's Women's | Skipper | C | 16 | 8.9 | 2.39 |
| Faye Benent - MAISA Women's Singles Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 10 | 9.8 | 2.37 |
| Spring 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| ODU Women's Interconference Women's | Skipper | B | 12 | 5.8 | 2.75 |
| Navy Spring Women's Women's | Skipper | B | 12 | 13.2 | 1.72 |
| The Leroy Grant Trophy | Skipper | B | 11 | 3.2 | 3.23 |
| Arrigan Memorial Regatta | Skipper | A | 15 | 7.8 | 0.23 |
| Fall 2016 Team page Season | |||||
| Radial Open Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 14 | 5.4 | 3.42 |
| Navy Fall Women's Women's | Skipper | C | 14 | 6.1 | 2.61 |
| LaserPerformance Women's Singlehanded Nationals Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 14 | 13.2 | 1.41 |
| Faye Bennet MAISA Womens Singles Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 14 | 7.1 | 2.93 |
| Spring 2016 Team page Season | |||||
| ODU Open | Skipper | A | 11 | 9.5 | 1.59 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Ellie Ungar | '15 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.