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Wick/Shrew

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 42 55 97
2 Brown University Brown University Bears 74 26 100
3 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 59 51 110
4 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 51 63 114
5 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 66 64 130
6 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 72 69 141
7 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 78 65 143
8 Boston University Boston University Terriers 78 75 153
9 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 69 94 163
10 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 93 84 177
11 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 71 125 196
12 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 101 101 202
13 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 108 99 207
14 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 110 104 214
15 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 108 108 216
16 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 116 106 222
17 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 114 113 227
18 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 129 137 266
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 2 4 8 6 5 2 12 2 1 42 Alie Toppa '20
Annabel Carrington '19
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 5 12 4 3 3 7 4 8 5 51 Sarah Hermus '18 [1-9]
Kathryn Nota '19 [1-2, 7-9]
Taylor Borges '22 [3-6]
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 6 1 1 8 13 6 2 16 6 59 Casey Klingler '18 [1-9]
Catherine Mollerus '21 [1-2, 7-9]
Christine Klingler '20 [3-6]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 3 8 2 18 12 5 6 5 7 66 Annie Hughes '19
Tiffany Xi '19
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 12 15 15 5 1 9 3 1 8 69 Taylor Gavula '19
Emily Wang '21
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 9 12 4 4 1 9 15 16 71 Lindsay Doyle '18
Lilla Salvesen '18
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 13 6 11 2 10 8 8 12 2 72 Bailey Carter '19 [1-9]
Anna Flaherty '20 [1-8]
Kate Homet '19 [9]
Brown University Brown University Bears 7 5 6 9 6 15 7 10 9 74 Lindsey Baab '18 [1-9]
Abigayle Konys '19 [1-2, 7-9]
Grace Gagnon '18 [3-6]
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 8 2 5 11 2 4 15 17 14 78 Maria El-Khazindar '19
Meg Gerli '19
Boston University Boston University Terriers 14 3 3 10 7 11 16 11 3 78 Lydia Grasberger '18
Meredith Harrington '18
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 11 10 7 7 11 3 11 18 15 93 Emma White '19
Mary Amis '19
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 18 16 10 15 14 16 5 3 4 101 Ellie Ungar '19 [1-9]
Ashley Wagner '20 [1-2, 7-9]
Kira Allen '18 [3-6]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 10 11 17 16 18 10 1 7 18 108 Molly Pleskus '18
Taylor Hart '19
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 15 13 14 13 8 12 14 9 10 108 Kelsey Shakin '19
Megan Roach '18
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 4 14 16 14 9 13 10 13 17 110 Ava Esquier '20
Emelia Bartusiak '21
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 16 7 13 1 16 17 18 14 12 114 Madelynn Widmeier '19
Anna Maria Vaccaro '19
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 17 17 9 RDG 15 14 13 6 13 116 Charlotte List '18 [1-6]
Julia Leighton '20 [7-9]
Katherine (Katie) Rodger '20 [1-2]
Haley Kachmar '18 [3-6]
Paige Dunlevy '20 [7-9]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 9 18 18 17 17 18 17 4 11 129 Andrea Sullivan '18
Larissa Carroll '20
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Brown University Brown University Bears 15 1 1 1 3 1 1 1 2 26 Hannah Steadman '20
Annabelle Hutchinson '21
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 1 3 2 2 15 3 9 13 3 51 Louisa Nordstrom '20 [1-9]
Caroline Colwell '18 [1-2, 9]
Claire Huebner '18 [3-8]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 2 4 4 8 9 5 4 15 4 55 Paris Henken '22 [1-9]
Liza Toppa '20 [1-4, 7-9]
Elizabeth Mignon '19 [5-6]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 7 9 11 6 2 14 3 5 6 63 Delaney Bamford '20
Sage Walters '21
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 6 5 3 9 1 16 8 4 12 64 Emily Haig '21
Kaila Pfrang '21
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 3 6 5 12 4 9 14 3 9 65 Stephanie Houck '21 [1-9]
Victoria Thompson '21 [1-4]
Sophia Sole '21 [5-9]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 16 2 14 4 16 7 7 2 1 69 Katherine Cox '20
Sarah Warren '18
Boston University Boston University Terriers 4 7 9 3 7 4 16 14 11 75 Maia Agerup '20 [1-6]
Allison Cahn '20 [7-9]
Caroline Salas '18 [1-6]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 10 8 15 11 5 2 12 7 14 84 Kathryn Hall '21
Lisa Genthner '19
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 5 12 8 7 12 13 17 10 10 94 Lucy Wilmot '20
Alejandra Resendiz '19
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 9 16 7 13 8 6 15 8 17 99 Janel Decurtis '18
Ariana Smaldone '20
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 11 10 10 5 14 17 18 11 5 101 Jessica Bennett '20
Sophia Taczak '21
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 8 14 12 15 13 8 10 9 15 104 Lenox Butcher '20
Jenna Weiner '21
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 12 13 13 17 17 10 11 6 7 106 Emilia Clementi '18 [1-9]
Paige Dunlevy '20 [1-6]
Haley Kachmar '18 [7-9]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 17 11 6 10 10 11 13 12 18 108 Talia Toland '22
Lucy Robison '18
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 14 17 16 14 6 15 6 17 8 113 Darden Purrington '20
Christina Nothacker '21
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 13 15 17 18 11 12 5 18 16 125 Elizabeth Holiman '20
Gabrielle Myers '21
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 18 18 18 16 18 18 2 16 13 137 Carolyn Keck '19 [1, 7-9]
Rebekah Janssen '21 [2-6]
Emma Zalog '20 [1-6]
Rebekah Janssen '21 [7-9]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.200+0.20
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (18 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers112233445
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears22111818171716
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars334455667
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears131314141515161617
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels4433221118
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green556677889
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson665544332
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen778899101011
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers887766554
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers141413131212111110
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams15151616171718181
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks9910101111121213
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks10109988776
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal111112121313141415
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos121211111010998
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts161615151414131312
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers1717181811223
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs181817171616151514

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers112233445
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears22111818171716
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars334455667
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears131314141515161617
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels4433221118
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green556677889
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson665544332
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen778899101011
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers887766554
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers141413131212111110
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams15151616171718181
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks9910101111121213
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks10109988776
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal111112121313141415
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos121211111010998
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts161615151414131312
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers1717181811223
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs181817171616151514
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston University Boston University Lydia Grasberger '18 Meredith Harrington '18
Terriers Maia Agerup '20 [1-6]
Allison Cahn '20 [7-9]		 Caroline Salas '18 [1-6]
Brown University Brown University Lindsey Baab '18 [1-9] Abigayle Konys '19 [1-2, 7-9]
Grace Gagnon '18 [3-6]
Bears Hannah Steadman '20 Annabelle Hutchinson '21
College of Charleston College of Charleston Alie Toppa '20 Annabel Carrington '19
Cougars Paris Henken '22 [1-9] Liza Toppa '20 [1-4, 7-9]
Elizabeth Mignon '19 [5-6]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Charlotte List '18 [1-6]
Julia Leighton '20 [7-9]		 Katherine (Katie) Rodger '20 [1-2]
Haley Kachmar '18 [3-6]
Paige Dunlevy '20 [7-9]
Camels Emilia Clementi '18 [1-9] Paige Dunlevy '20 [1-6]
Haley Kachmar '18 [7-9]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Emma White '19 Mary Amis '19
Big Green Kathryn Hall '21 Lisa Genthner '19
Harvard University Harvard University Taylor Gavula '19 Emily Wang '21
Crimson Lucy Wilmot '20 Alejandra Resendiz '19
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Bailey Carter '19 [1-9] Anna Flaherty '20 [1-8]
Kate Homet '19 [9]
Statesmen Katherine Cox '20 Sarah Warren '18
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Annie Hughes '19 Tiffany Xi '19
Engineers Emily Haig '21 Kaila Pfrang '21
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Kelsey Shakin '19 Megan Roach '18
Hawks Janel Decurtis '18 Ariana Smaldone '20
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Ellie Ungar '19 [1-9] Ashley Wagner '20 [1-2, 7-9]
Kira Allen '18 [3-6]
Seahawks Jessica Bennett '20 Sophia Taczak '21
Stanford University Stanford University Maria El-Khazindar '19 Meg Gerli '19
Cardinal Stephanie Houck '21 [1-9] Victoria Thompson '21 [1-4]
Sophia Sole '21 [5-9]
Tufts University Tufts University Molly Pleskus '18 Taylor Hart '19
Jumbos Talia Toland '22 Lucy Robison '18
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Madelynn Widmeier '19 Anna Maria Vaccaro '19
Bears Darden Purrington '20 Christina Nothacker '21
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Ava Esquier '20 Emelia Bartusiak '21
Quakers Lenox Butcher '20 Jenna Weiner '21
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Sarah Hermus '18 [1-9] Kathryn Nota '19 [1-2, 7-9]
Taylor Borges '22 [3-6]
Rams Delaney Bamford '20 Sage Walters '21
University of Vermont University of Vermont Lindsay Doyle '18 Lilla Salvesen '18
Catamounts Elizabeth Holiman '20 Gabrielle Myers '21
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Andrea Sullivan '18 Larissa Carroll '20
Badgers Carolyn Keck '19 [1, 7-9]
Rebekah Janssen '21 [2-6]		 Emma Zalog '20 [1-6]
Rebekah Janssen '21 [7-9]
Yale University Yale University Casey Klingler '18 [1-9] Catherine Mollerus '21 [1-2, 7-9]
Christine Klingler '20 [3-6]
Bulldogs Louisa Nordstrom '20 [1-9] Caroline Colwell '18 [1-2, 9]
Claire Huebner '18 [3-8]

Conditions — 04/07/2018 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 44%  ·  Pressure 1010.9 hPa

Temperature

43°F
↑ 46°F   ↓ 38°F
Feels like 35°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.7 kn
avg  ·  max 10.0 kn
Gusts to 23.9 kn
From WNW (286°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover53% Sunshine8.2 hrs Humidity44% Pressure1010.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 9 kn* · N 11 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Yale: a favourites’ day (+0.07)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.18 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.04 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Yale by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (69 labelled days at Yale).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →