Boston University '20
How much better or worse boats do with this sailor crewing than their skipper's rating predicts, shown on the skipper scale so crews can be lined up across teams. Percentiles compare against rostered crews that season (league) or teammates (team).
How crew ratings work →Crew effect over their whole career, not scaled to a team: 69.01 percentile among ICSA crews with 30+ races. Uncertainty ±0.108 rating points from 44 races with rated skippers.
How crew ratings work →No season rating yet: needs 8+ crewed races in a season.
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singlehanded | 3.04 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 11 | Fall 2019 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.02 (fleet 4.19) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.01 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 51–47 (52%) as crew 3–2 (60%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2020 | 1 | 10–12 | — |
| Spring 2019 | 4 | 18–17 | 3–2 |
| Spring 2018 | 2 | 18–13 | — |
| Spring 2017 | 1 | 5–5 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 8 graded regattas (103 matches) the record is 54–49 against 53.8 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+0.2). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 5 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 10 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-02-29 | Bob Bavier Team Race | skipper | 3.51 | 3.01 | 10–12 | 12.1 | −0.51 | 0.8 | 90% |
| 2019-04-13 | Women's Team Race National Invitational | skipper | 3.37 | 3.91 | 12–7 | 10.1 | +0.54 | 0.7 | 23% |
| 2019-04-06 | NEISA Team Race Championship | skipper | 3.53 | 2.45 | 1–5 | 2.1 | −1.08 | 0.8 | 94% |
| 2019-03-24 | Duplin Women's Team Race | skipper | 3.38 | 2.40 | 5–5 | 6.9 | −0.98 | 1.4 | 96% |
| 2019-03-09 | John Jackson Memorial Team Race | crew | 3.10 | 2.63 | 3–2 | 3.5 | −0.46 | 0.2 | 84% |
| 2018-04-28 | Women's National Team Race Invitational | skipper | 2.93 | 4.13 | 12–6 | 7.0 | +1.20 | 4.3 | 1% |
| 2018-03-24 | Joseph R. Duplin Women's Team Race | skipper | 2.81 | 3.23 | 6–7 | 4.9 | +0.42 | 0.4 | 34% |
| 2017-03-26 | BU Team Race | skipper | 2.54 | 1.38 | 5–5 | 7.2 | −1.16 | 1.9 | 98% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2020 Team page Season | |||||
| Bob Bavier Team Race | Skipper | TR | 21 | 48% | — |
| Fall 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Showcase Qualifier A Women's | Skipper | A | 15 | 6.3 | 3.60 |
| Sherman Hoyt Trophy | Skipper | A | 15 | 9.8 | 3.52 |
| NEISA Women's Singlehanded Championship Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 11 | 7.3 | 2.44 |
| Jen Harris Women's Showcase Championship Women's | Skipper | A | 10 | 6.2 | 4.50 |
| Harry Anderson | Skipper | A | 16 | 6.8 | 4.27 |
| The Dark of Night Regatta | Crew | A | 3 | 9.3 | — |
| Coed Showcase Qualifier B | Skipper | B | 18 | 5.4 | 4.56 |
| Coed Showcase Championship | Skipper | B | 9 | 4.1 | 5.53 |
| The 79th Professor Erwin Schell Trophy | Skipper | B | 13 | 6.8 | 4.10 |
| Spring 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Team Race National Invitational Women's | Skipper | TR | 19 | 63% | — |
| St. Mary's Women's InterConference Women's | Skipper | A | 14 | 6.4 | 4.02 |
| Sperry Women's Western Semifinal Women's | Skipper | A | 12 | 5.7 | 3.76 |
| Sperry Women's National Championship Women's | Skipper | A | 16 | 7.2 | 4.18 |
| NEISA Team Race Championship | Skipper | TR | 11 | 9% | — |
| NEISA Women's Championship Women's | Skipper | A | 16 | 4.4 | 4.60 |
| NEISA Coed Championship | Skipper | B | 10 | 6.5 | 4.38 |
| John Jackson Memorial Team Race | Crew | TR | 12 | 42% | — |
| Gill College Sailing Coed National Championship | Skipper | B | 16 | 8.8 | 4.20 |
| Gill Coed Eastern Semifinals | Skipper | B | 10 | 6.6 | 4.03 |
| Duplin Women's Team Race Women's | Skipper | TR | 10 | 50% | — |
| Dellenbaugh Women's Trophy Women's | Skipper | A | 14 | 4.7 | 4.61 |
| Fall 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| Yale Women's Women's | Skipper | A | 10 | 6.6 | 3.53 |
| Women's Showcase Finals Women's | Skipper | A | 14 | 7.1 | 4.14 |
| Victorian Urn Trophy Women's | Skipper | A | 14 | 7.1 | 3.66 |
| Harry H. Anderson Jr. Regatta | Skipper | B | 16 | 5.9 | 4.03 |
| Spring 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's National Team Race Invitational Women's | Skipper | TR | 18 | 67% | — |
| Wick/Shrew Women's | Skipper | B | 6 | 5.7 | 4.01 |
| Thompson Trophy | Skipper | C | 12 | 7.4 | 3.83 |
| St. Mary's Women's InterConference Women's | Skipper | A | 10 | 10.4 | 2.98 |
| Sperry Women's Eastern Semifinal Women's | Skipper | B | 12 | 6.4 | 3.60 |
| Sperry Women's National Championship Women's | Skipper | B | 18 | 9.4 | 3.42 |
| Phebe Corckran King Women's Women's | Skipper | B | 13 | 3.2 | 3.79 |
| NEISA Women's Championship/Reed Trophy Women's | Skipper | B | 9 | 5.4 | 4.06 |
| Joseph R. Duplin Women's Team Race Women's | Skipper | TR | 13 | 46% | — |
| Dellenbaugh Women's Trophy Women's | Skipper | B | 17 | 5.2 | 4.25 |
| Fall 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| Yale Women's Women's | Skipper | A | 13 | 8.6 | 3.55 |
| The Toni Deutsch MIT '58 Trophy Women's | Skipper | A | 14 | 6.4 | 3.47 |
| Stu Nelson Women's | Skipper | A | 7 | 10.3 | 3.06 |
| Regis Bowl Women's | Skipper | A | 8 | 7.1 | 3.49 |
| Mrs. Hurst Bowl Women's | Skipper | A | 2 | 11.0 | 2.73 |
| Jen Harris Navy Fall Women's Women's | Skipper | A | 17 | 5.5 | 3.91 |
| 2017 Victorian Urn Trophy Women's | Skipper | A | 16 | 8.9 | 3.17 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ICSA | Maia Agerup |  Roger Williams University |
'20 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
