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Phebe Corckran King Women's

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 46 34 80
2 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 48 40 88
3 Boston University Boston University Terriers 49 42 91
4 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 60 46 106
5 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 75 69 144
6 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 76 96 172
7 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 105 75 180
8 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 97 96 193
9 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 124 115 239
10 University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 121 135 256
11 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 109 149 258
12 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 146 128 274
13 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 130 158 288
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 5 7 2 7 3 1 1 1 4 1 2 1 11 46 Alie Toppa '20 [1-13]
Annabel Carrington '19 [1-4, 11-13]
Caroline Bracken '19 [5-10]
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 3 1 3 4 1 4 7 2 1 2 DSQ 4 2 48 Julia Lambert '18
Victoria Thompson '21
Boston University Boston University Terriers 4 4 4 1 7 2 2 4 5 7 3 3 3 49 Lydia Grasberger '18
Meri Harrington '18
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 7 2 1 5 4 5 3 6 8 3 8 7 1 60 Miranda Bakos '18
Isabel Strachan '18
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 12 3 7 10 2 11 4 10 3 4 1 2 6 75 Rose Edwards '18
Olivia Van Den Born '21
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 1 5 5 8 5 3 9 5 2 9 9 8 7 76 Paula Resto '20
Jessica Schwartz '18
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 6 8 3 11 6 5 12 9 12 10 9 4 97 Anna Huebschmann '18
Kim Kusminsky '19
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 13 13 6 2 6 9 8 9 7 5 RAF 5 8 105 Jessica Mcjones '20
Karma Richards '20
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 10 11 9 12 8 7 6 3 10 11 5 12 5 109 Megan Ploch '21
Lauren Yapp '18
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 9 9 11 13 10 12 11 11 6 6 4 10 9 121 Sarah Deloach '21
Elizabeth Lonergan '20
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 8 10 12 11 13 8 13 8 11 8 6 6 10 124 Carrie Marshall '21
Rebecca Bonner '19
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 6 8 10 6 12 10 12 13 13 10 7 11 12 130 Allison Chenard '19 [1-13]
Mary James '20 [1-4]
Amanda Heckler '21 [5-10]
Isabel Weber '21 [11-13]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 11 12 13 9 9 13 10 7 12 13 11 13 13 146 Susan Riley '17
Madison Shirey '19
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 2 4 5 1 1 2 1 3 3 3 1 7 34 Paris Henken '22 [1-13]
Liza Toppa '20 [1-3, 11-13]
Elizabeth Mignon '19 [4-10]
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 4 4 2 1 5 4 1 3 4 1 5 3 3 40 Christina Sakellaris '21
Sarah Placek '18
Boston University Boston University Terriers 2 3 5 2 3 2 7 5 1 4 1 5 2 42 Maia Agerup '20
Caroline Salas '18
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 3 1 1 3 2 3 6 2 5 2 8 2 8 46 Riley Legault '19 [1-13]
Alexandra Fayer '19 [1-4, 9-13]
Sarah Noyes '20 [5-8]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 7 5 6 4 4 6 3 7 2 5 11 8 1 69 Lola Bushnell '18
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 5 6 3 7 6 8 5 4 7 8 2 4 10 75 Brittney Slook '20
Anna Cutler '20
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 6 9 7 9 7 7 4 8 10 9 9 7 4 96 Shaynah True '19
Madison Reynolds '21
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 8 7 8 6 8 5 8 6 6 6 6 11 11 96 Sophie Salomon '18 [1-13]
Jane Anne Donovan '18 [1-4, 9-13]
Tatiana Chinitz '19 [5-8]
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 9 8 10 8 9 9 10 9 9 12 10 6 6 115 Abbie Probst '19 [1-13]
Carly Duffy '19 [1-6, 11-12]
Susanna Massalon '18 [7-10, 13]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 10 10 9 12 11 10 13 11 8 13 4 12 5 128 Margot Murray '21 [1-13]
Mariel Tang '20 [1-3, 9-12]
Alyssa Larios '19 [4-8, 13]
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 11 11 13 10 12 11 9 10 13 10 7 9 9 135 Keara Paquette '21
Ashley Thess '19
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 13 12 11 11 10 13 11 13 11 7 12 13 12 149 Abigail Crombie '21
Zoe Genet '21
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 12 13 12 13 13 12 12 12 12 11 13 10 13 158 Jennifer Cahalan '19
Kate Maner '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2016 (11 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers1122334455667
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars3344556677889
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers2233445566778
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons44556677889910
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials5566778899101011
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas667788991010111112
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs12121313112233445
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets77889910101111121213
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins889910101111121213131
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen1111121213131122334
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats991010111112121313112
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks131311223344556
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal101011111212131311223

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers1122334455667
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars3344556677889
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers2233445566778
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons44556677889910
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials5566778899101011
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas667788991010111112
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs12121313112233445
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets77889910101111121213
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins889910101111121213131
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen1111121213131122334
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats991010111112121313112
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks131311223344556
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal101011111212131311223
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston University Boston University Lydia Grasberger '18 Meri Harrington '18
Terriers Maia Agerup '20 Caroline Salas '18
Clemson University Clemson University Carrie Marshall '21 Rebecca Bonner '19
Tigers Abbie Probst '19 [1-13] Carly Duffy '19 [1-6, 11-12]
Susanna Massalon '18 [7-10, 13]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Alie Toppa '20 [1-13] Annabel Carrington '19 [1-4, 11-13]
Caroline Bracken '19 [5-10]
Cougars Paris Henken '22 [1-13] Liza Toppa '20 [1-3, 11-13]
Elizabeth Mignon '19 [4-10]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Anna Huebschmann '18 Kim Kusminsky '19
Tritons Sophie Salomon '18 [1-13] Jane Anne Donovan '18 [1-4, 9-13]
Tatiana Chinitz '19 [5-8]
George Washington University George Washington University Miranda Bakos '18 Isabel Strachan '18
Colonials Riley Legault '19 [1-13] Alexandra Fayer '19 [1-4, 9-13]
Sarah Noyes '20 [5-8]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Rose Edwards '18 Olivia Van Den Born '21
Hoyas Lola Bushnell '18
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Megan Ploch '21 Lauren Yapp '18
Yellow Jackets Abigail Crombie '21 Zoe Genet '21
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Paula Resto '20 Jessica Schwartz '18
Fins Shaynah True '19 Madison Reynolds '21
Northwestern University Northwestern University Susan Riley '17 Madison Shirey '19
Wildcats Margot Murray '21 [1-13] Mariel Tang '20 [1-3, 9-12]
Alyssa Larios '19 [4-8, 13]
Stanford University Stanford University Julia Lambert '18 Victoria Thompson '21
Cardinal Christina Sakellaris '21 Sarah Placek '18
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Jessica Mcjones '20 Karma Richards '20
Midshipmen Brittney Slook '20 Anna Cutler '20
University of Georgia University of Georgia Allison Chenard '19 [1-13] Mary James '20 [1-4]
Amanda Heckler '21 [5-10]
Isabel Weber '21 [11-13]
Bulldogs Jennifer Cahalan '19 Kate Maner '20
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Sarah Deloach '21 Elizabeth Lonergan '20
Gamecocks Keara Paquette '21 Ashley Thess '19

Conditions — 02/24/2018 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 81%  ·  Pressure 1023.4 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 74°F   ↓ 64°F
Feels like 73°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.4 kn
avg  ·  max 10.9 kn
Gusts to 20.4 kn
From SSW (198°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover18% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity81% Pressure1023.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 12 kn · SW 11 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Charleston: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.07 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.01 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Charleston by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (69 labelled days at Charleston).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →