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Coed Showcase Championship

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Boston University Boston University Terriers 66 37 103
2 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 41 76 117
3 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 76 56 132
4 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 55 94 149
5 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 77 72 149
6 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 58 93 151
7 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 78 77 155
8 Brown University Brown University Bears 76 88 164
9 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 82 84 166
10 Boston College Boston College Eagles 96 80 176
11 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 114 70 184
12 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 100 84 184
13 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 119 75 194
14 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 90 114 204
15 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 105 99 204
16 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 80 131 211
17 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 117 94 211
18 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 101 115 216
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 6 9 5 7 2 5 2 1 4 41 Jack Parkin '21 [1-9]
Sammy Pickell '22 [1-5]
Taylor Kirkpatrick '20 [6-9]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 12 1 3 11 4 13 8 1 55 Sean Segerblom '20
Annabelle Ayer '22
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 3 3 13 2 6 3 10 12 6 58 Shawn Harvey '22
Graceann Nicolosi '20
Boston University Boston University Terriers 12 1 12 13 10 1 5 4 8 66 Javier De Urdanibia Panos '21
Katherine Bertolini '21
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 1 15 10 5 14 6 9 2 14 76 Eli Burnes '22
Emily Wang '21
Brown University Brown University Bears 8 17 4 1 1 2 14 16 13 76 Ragna Agerup '20
Julia Reynolds '22
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 13 18 9 8 5 7 1 11 5 77 Robert Bragg '23
Eloise Burn '21
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 5 4 2 4 12 13 16 13 9 78 Jack Brown '21
Katherine Lounsbury '20
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 4 2 8 10 16 12 12 5 11 80 Joseph Laforgia '21
Shaanti Choi-Bose '24
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 10 11 15 6 4 10 6 3 17 82 Jc Hermus '22
Sally Johnson '22
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 7 5 11 16 3 9 3 18 18 90 Christian Filter '20
Julia Adams '21
Boston College Boston College Eagles 9 6 3 12 17 11 11 15 12 96 Sophia Reineke '21
Declan Mcgranahan '22
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 18 14 18 9 7 17 4 10 3 100 Mack Fox '20
Brian Nelson '21
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 16 10 6 14 15 8 8 9 15 101 Charlie Hibben '22
Emma Clutterbuck '20
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 11 16 BKD BKD 8 15 7 14 10 105 Leo Boucher '22
Ashley Wagner '20
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 14 7 17 17 9 14 17 17 2 114 Ivan Shestopalov '21
Julia Cho '20
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 17 13 16 11 13 18 15 7 7 117 Hector Guzman '20
Maya Weber '20
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 15 8 7 15 18 16 18 6 16 119 Carter Pemberton '20 [1-6]
Cj Mckenna '23 [7-8]
Walter Henry '23 [9]
Cecilia Moreira '20 [1-6]
Katherine (Katie) Rodger '20 [7-8]
Elizabeth Davis '21 [9]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Boston University Boston University Terriers 7 3 5 4 1 4 6 2 5 37 Maia Agerup '20
Grace Mooradian '21
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 2 2 12 11 9 1 3 8 8 56 Henry Burnes '22
Iulianna Taritsa '20
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 3 9 8 12 10 3 5 13 7 70 Emily Haig '21
Marcus Abate '20
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 1 17 17 7 4 2 18 5 1 72 Audrey Giblin '20
Paige Clarke '20
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 4 10 4 13 2 14 13 3 12 75 Thomas Whittemore '23
Paige Dunlevy '20
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 5 15 3 1 15 12 2 17 6 76 Wiley Rogers '22 [1-6]
Jacob Rosenberg '20 [7-9]
Taylor Kirkpatrick '20 [1-6]
Sammy Pickell '22 [7-9]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 8 4 9 8 12 15 12 7 2 77 Steven Leuck '20
Noelle Owen '24
Boston College Boston College Eagles 9 7 1 6 14 6 10 9 18 80 Jack Denatale '22
Eliza Wright '20
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 6 1 11 5 8 13 15 11 14 84 Parker Loftus '20
Kimmie Leonard '22
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 15 8 13 9 7 5 11 6 10 84 Gage Schoenherr '21
Christina Nothacker '21
Brown University Brown University Bears 11 13 18 14 11 7 1 4 9 88 Hannah Steadman '20 [1-4]
Connor Nelson '24 [5-9]
Annabelle Hutchinson '21 [1-4]
Madeleine Mcgrath '22 [5-9]
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 17 5 14 2 6 11 8 15 15 93 Luke Arnone '23
Meredith Ryan '23
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 13 12 6 16 3 8 7 16 13 94 Kyle Easton '20
Aidan Morgan '21
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 16 16 15 3 5 9 9 18 3 94 William Logue '20 [1-9]
Grace Flanagan '23 [1-2, 7-9]
Jack Hogan '22 [3-6]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 10 6 2 17 16 18 4 10 16 99 Lewis Cooper '21
Sophia Taczak '21
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 18 18 7 15 13 17 14 1 11 114 Matt Safford '20
Marie Bergsund '20
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 14 14 10 18 17 10 16 12 4 115 Samuel Merson '22
Emily Calandrella '20
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 12 11 16 10 18 16 17 14 17 131 Lenox Butcher '20
Emelia Bartusiak '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles112233445
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers22111818171716
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears334455667
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears4433221118
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars556677889
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears15151616171718181
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels665544332
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green778899101011
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas887766554
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson9910101111121213
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen10109988776
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers111112121313141415
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen161615151414131312
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers1717181811223
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks121211111010998
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal131314141515161617
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos141413131212111110
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs181817171616151514

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles112233445
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers22111818171716
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears334455667
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears4433221118
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars556677889
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears15151616171718181
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels665544332
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green778899101011
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas887766554
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson9910101111121213
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen10109988776
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers111112121313141415
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen161615151414131312
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers1717181811223
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks121211111010998
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal131314141515161617
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos141413131212111110
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs181817171616151514
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston College Boston College Sophia Reineke '21 Declan Mcgranahan '22
Eagles Jack Denatale '22 Eliza Wright '20
Boston University Boston University Javier De Urdanibia Panos '21 Katherine Bertolini '21
Terriers Maia Agerup '20 Grace Mooradian '21
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Christian Filter '20 Julia Adams '21
Polar Bears Matt Safford '20 Marie Bergsund '20
Brown University Brown University Ragna Agerup '20 Julia Reynolds '22
Bears Hannah Steadman '20 [1-4]
Connor Nelson '24 [5-9]		 Annabelle Hutchinson '21 [1-4]
Madeleine Mcgrath '22 [5-9]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Jack Brown '21 Katherine Lounsbury '20
Cougars Steven Leuck '20 Noelle Owen '24
Connecticut College Connecticut College Carter Pemberton '20 [1-6]
Cj Mckenna '23 [7-8]
Walter Henry '23 [9]		 Cecilia Moreira '20 [1-6]
Katherine (Katie) Rodger '20 [7-8]
Elizabeth Davis '21 [9]
Camels Thomas Whittemore '23 Paige Dunlevy '20
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Robert Bragg '23 Eloise Burn '21
Big Green Audrey Giblin '20 Paige Clarke '20
Georgetown University Georgetown University Sean Segerblom '20 Annabelle Ayer '22
Hoyas William Logue '20 [1-9] Grace Flanagan '23 [1-2, 7-9]
Jack Hogan '22 [3-6]
Harvard University Harvard University Eli Burnes '22 Emily Wang '21
Crimson Henry Burnes '22 Iulianna Taritsa '20
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hector Guzman '20 Maya Weber '20
Statesmen Kyle Easton '20 Aidan Morgan '21
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Ivan Shestopalov '21 Julia Cho '20
Engineers Emily Haig '21 Marcus Abate '20
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Leo Boucher '22 Ashley Wagner '20
Seahawks Lewis Cooper '21 Sophia Taczak '21
Stanford University Stanford University Jack Parkin '21 [1-9] Sammy Pickell '22 [1-5]
Taylor Kirkpatrick '20 [6-9]
Cardinal Wiley Rogers '22 [1-6]
Jacob Rosenberg '20 [7-9]		 Taylor Kirkpatrick '20 [1-6]
Sammy Pickell '22 [7-9]
Tufts University Tufts University Charlie Hibben '22 Emma Clutterbuck '20
Jumbos Samuel Merson '22 Emily Calandrella '20
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Mack Fox '20 Brian Nelson '21
Bears Gage Schoenherr '21 Christina Nothacker '21
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Jc Hermus '22 Sally Johnson '22
Midshipmen Parker Loftus '20 Kimmie Leonard '22
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Joseph Laforgia '21 Shaanti Choi-Bose '24
Quakers Lenox Butcher '20 Emelia Bartusiak '21
Yale University Yale University Shawn Harvey '22 Graceann Nicolosi '20
Bulldogs Luke Arnone '23 Meredith Ryan '23

Conditions — 10/19/2019 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 62%  ·  Pressure 1017.2 hPa

Temperature

52°F
↑ 58°F   ↓ 42°F
Feels like 48°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.7 kn
avg  ·  max 7.0 kn
Gusts to 14.8 kn
From W (266°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover7% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity62% Pressure1017.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 7 kn · E 5 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Connecticut College: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.14)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.26 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.40
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.01 ± 0.21)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.14 means a rating gap counts about 12% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Connecticut College by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (51 labelled days at Connecticut College).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →