Harvard University '19
How much better or worse boats do with this sailor crewing than their skipper's rating predicts, shown on the skipper scale so crews can be lined up across teams. Percentiles compare against rostered crews that season (league) or teammates (team).
How crew ratings work →Crew effect over their whole career, not scaled to a team: 40.25 percentile among ICSA crews with 30+ races. Uncertainty ±0.081 rating points from 327 races with rated skippers.
How crew ratings work →No season rating yet: needs 8+ crewed races in a season.
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.46 | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as crew 10–11 (48%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2016 | 1 | — | 10–11 |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 1 graded regattas (21 matches) the record is 10–11 against 11.4 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−1.4). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 0 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-03-19 | The Ike Geiger Team Race Regatta | crew | 2.66 | 2.30 | 10–11 | 11.4 | −0.36 | 0.4 | 84% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| Yale Women's Women's | Crew | A | 4 | 8.8 | — |
| Women's Showcase Finals Women's | Crew | B | 14 | 8.9 | — |
| Victorian Urn Trophy Women's | Crew | A, B | 14 | 9.6 | — |
| Toni Deutsch '58 Regatta Women's | Crew | B | 13 | 4.7 | — |
| Jen Harris Women's Women's | Crew | B | 10 | 7.4 | — |
| Spring 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| Wick/Shrew Women's | Crew | B | 9 | 10.4 | — |
| Vietor Trophy | Crew | B | 3 | 11.0 | — |
| Sperry Women's Western Semifinal Women's | Crew | B | 10 | 4.9 | — |
| Sperry Women's National Championship Women's | Crew | B | 16 | 13.2 | — |
| President's Trophy Women's | Crew | B | 4 | 2.8 | — |
| NEISA Women's Championship/Reed Trophy Women's | Crew | B | 3 | 4.7 | — |
| Navy Spring Women's Women's | Crew | B | 6 | 9.5 | — |
| Fall 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| Yale Women's Women's | Crew | B | 8 | 15.0 | — |
| Stu Nelson Women's | Crew | B | 6 | 11.7 | — |
| Lark Invite- Central Series One | Crew | A | 6 | 3.7 | — |
| Amanda Trophy Women's | Crew | B | 6 | 3.0 | — |
| 2017 Victorian Urn Trophy Women's | Crew | B | 6 | 8.0 | — |
| Spring 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| President's Trophy Women's | Crew | B | 10 | 3.4 | — |
| Emily Wick Trophy Women's | Crew | B | 14 | 10.1 | — |
| Charleston Women's Women's | Crew | B | 10 | 6.4 | — |
| BU Trophy | Crew | A | 6 | 5.8 | — |
| 82nd Boston Dinghy Challenge Cup | Crew | B | 11 | 8.8 | — |
| Fall 2016 Team page Season | |||||
| Sister Esther Open | Crew | A | 8 | 4.6 | — |
| Oberg Trophy | Crew | A | 12 | 6.9 | — |
| Nicholas Barnett Trophy | Crew | B | 18 | 5.8 | — |
| The Hatch Brown Trophy | Crew | C | 17 | 8.1 | — |
| The George Warren Smith Trophy | Crew | A | 5 | 5.8 | — |
| FJ Invitational | Crew | B | 3 | 5.0 | — |
| Captain Hurst Bowl | Crew | A | 8 | 8.5 | — |
| Amanda Trophy Women's | Crew | B | 9 | 8.9 | — |
| 43rd Atlantic Coast Dinghy Championship | Crew | B | 4 | 11.2 | — |
| Spring 2016 Team page Season | |||||
| Oberg Trophy | Crew | B | 14 | 5.0 | — |
| The Ike Geiger Team Race Regatta | Crew | TR | 21 | 48% | — |
| George Morris Trophy | Crew | A | 8 | 8.4 | — |
| Central Series 3 Spring 2016 | Crew | A | 6 | 5.5 | — |
| Fall 2015 Team page Season | |||||
| Nickerson Trophy | Crew | B | 8 | 8.2 | — |
| NEISA Invitational at MIT | Crew | A | 9 | 7.1 | — |
| Central Series6 | Crew | B | 9 | 3.4 | — |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
