FJ Invitational

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 14 20 34
2 Boston College Boston College Eagles 23 13 36
3 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 28 9 37
4 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 1 16 26 42
5 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 12 30 42
6 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 28 28 56
7 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 2 32 27 59
8 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 35 31 66
9 Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Leopards 41 41 82
10 Emmanuel College Emmanuel College Saints 54 50 104
11 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 50 59 109
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 3 4 1 1 3 12 Rebecca Quirke '17
Hannah King '19
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 2 2 7 1 14 Julien Guiot '18
Sam Gates '17
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 1 1 1 4 8 2 16 Trevor Long '19
Noa Yoder '19
Boston College Boston College Eagles 4 3 7 2 7 23 Thomas Walden '20
Elizabeth Matheson '20
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 6 8 6 3 5 28 Zachary Bresnick '21
Connor O'Neill '19
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 7 5 3 5 8 28 Michael Kann '19
Caitlin Tardio '19
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 2 8 6 8 6 4 32 Joseph Chamberlin '19
Pavlina Karafillis '17
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 5 7 5 DNF 6 35 Catherine Kerner '20 [1-2, 5]
Sofia Marie Mascia '20 [3-4]
Lena Episalla '19 [1-2, 5]
Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Leopards 9 9 9 4 10 41 Benjamin Eley '18
William Whelan '18
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 10 10 10 9 11 50 Ella Cedarholm '19 [1-2, 5]
Caroline Edwards '20 [3-4]
Jenna Hannafin '20 [1-5]
Emmanuel College Emmanuel College Saints 11 11 11 DNF 9 54 Julia Becker '19
Mae Harrington '19
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 1 1 4 1 2 9 Kurran Singh '19
Julia Boll '21
Boston College Boston College Eagles 2 4 2 4 1 13 Caroline Downey '19
Kyla Maclennan '18
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 8 2 5 2 3 20 Aaron Klein '18
Nihal Pai '20
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 1 7 5 1 5 8 26 John Reyes '19
Alexander Peraire-Bueno '20
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 2 3 9 3 8 4 27 Fiona Mckellar '20
Sophie Goemans '17
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 6 7 7 3 5 28 Emily Gonzalez '20 [1-4]
Emmett Ulian '19 [5]
Isabelle Austin-Green '19 [1-4]
Peter Newstein '19 [5]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 4 6 8 6 6 30 Julia Leighton '20 [1-5]
Jessica Hunnewell '20 [1-2, 5]
Hannah Staples '20 [3-4]
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 5 3 9 7 7 31 Victoria Marquez '20 [1-2, 5]
Benjamin Zheng '18 [3-4]
Alejandra Resendiz '19 [1-2, 5]
Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Leopards 9 8 6 9 9 41 Joshua Mandelbaum '17
Alison Siegmann '18
Emmanuel College Emmanuel College Saints 10 10 10 10 10 50 Kiley Burke '17
Sofia Drago '19
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats DNS DNS DNS 11 DNS 59 Ella Cedarholm '19 [1-2, 5]
Caroline Edwards '20 [3-4]
Jenna Hannafin '20 [1-5]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2009 (43 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles11335
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears22446
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels33558
Emmanuel CollegeEmmanuel College Saints44669
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson558810
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 1669911
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 288101015
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats1111113
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies9911111
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos101015152
Wentworth Institute of TechnologyWentworth Institute of Technology Leopards1515224

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles22446
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears33558
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels44669
Emmanuel CollegeEmmanuel College Saints558810
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson669911
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 188101015
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 29911111
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats1515224
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies101015152
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1111113
Wentworth Institute of TechnologyWentworth Institute of Technology Leopards11335

Conditions — 09/11/2016 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 64%  ·  Pressure 1012.2 hPa

Temperature

77°F
↑ 80°F   ↓ 74°F
Feels like 77°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.8 kn
avg  ·  max 15.7 kn
Gusts to 32.9 kn
From W (268°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover66% Sunshine8.0 hrs Humidity64% Pressure1012.2 hPa Rain0.16 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Harvard: a typical day (+0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.02 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Harvard by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (59 labelled days at Harvard).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →