Bowdoin College '19
How much better or worse boats do with this sailor crewing than their skipper's rating predicts, shown on the skipper scale so crews can be lined up across teams. Percentiles compare against rostered crews that season (league) or teammates (team).
How crew ratings work →Crew effect over their whole career, not scaled to a team: 66.76 percentile among ICSA crews with 30+ races. Uncertainty ±0.088 rating points from 191 races with rated skippers.
How crew ratings work →No season rating yet: needs 8+ crewed races in a season.
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.46 | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as crew 23–20 (53%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2019 | 2 | — | 12–9 |
| Spring 2017 | 2 | — | 11–11 |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 4 graded regattas (43 matches) the record is 23–20 against 22.0 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+1.0). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 1 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-04-13 | Women's Team Race National Invitational | crew | 2.30 | 2.51 | 5–7 | 4.5 | +0.22 | 0.1 | 49% |
| 2019-03-30 | Harpswell Sound team Race | crew | 2.27 | 1.48 | 7–2 | 7.8 | −0.78 | 0.5 | 92% |
| 2017-04-02 | Herring Pond Team Race | crew | 1.92 | 2.32 | 8–4 | 7.3 | +0.40 | 0.2 | 43% |
| 2017-03-26 | BU Team Race | crew | 2.58 | 2.94 | 3–7 | 2.4 | +0.36 | 0.1 | 46% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Team Race National Invitational Women's | Crew | TR | 19 | 32% | — |
| Sperry Women's National Championship Women's | Crew | B | 4 | 12.0 | — |
| Harpswell Sound team Race | Crew | TR | 9 | 78% | — |
| Fall 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Showcase Women's | Crew | B | 9 | 7.0 | — |
| Women's Showcase Final B Women's | Crew | B | 10 | 3.9 | — |
| Victorian Urn Trophy Women's | Crew | B | 4 | 10.5 | — |
| Regis Trophy Women's | Crew | B | 5 | 6.6 | — |
| Penobscot Bay Open | Crew | B | 11 | 5.5 | — |
| Oberg Trophy | Crew | B | 7 | 9.6 | — |
| Mrs. Hurst Bowl Women's | Crew | B | 11 | 10.6 | — |
| Fall 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| The Toni Deutsch MIT '58 Trophy Women's | Crew | A | 9 | 11.8 | — |
| Regis Bowl Women's | Crew | A | 8 | 9.6 | — |
| Nicholas J Barnett Trophy | Crew | B | 15 | 9.7 | — |
| Central | Crew | A | 12 | 6.8 | — |
| Amanda Trophy Women's | Crew | A | 7 | 6.3 | — |
| 2017 Victorian Urn Trophy Women's | Crew | A | 16 | 10.6 | — |
| Spring 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| Vietor Trophy | Crew | A | 7 | 9.6 | — |
| Sperry College Sailing Women's Nationals Women's | Crew | B | 2 | 13.5 | — |
| President's Trophy Women's | Crew | B | 7 | 8.3 | — |
| Herring Pond Team Race | Crew | TR | 12 | 67% | — |
| Central Series 2 | Crew | B | 4 | 9.2 | — |
| BU Team Race | Crew | TR | 10 | 30% | — |
| Fall 2016 Team page Season | |||||
| Oberg Trophy | Crew | C | 6 | 10.0 | — |
| Nicholas Barnett Trophy | Crew | A | 10 | 7.4 | — |
| FJ Invitational | Crew | A | 5 | 5.6 | — |
| Chris Loder Trophy | Crew | A | 11 | 7.2 | — |
| Callagy Ross Trophy | Crew | B | 6 | 3.2 | — |
| Bowdoin Mid Week Invite | Crew | A | 5 | 2.2 | — |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
