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Callagy Ross Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Boston College Boston College Eagles 10 37 47
2 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 25 25 50
3 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 33 19 52
4 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 39 33 72
5 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 40 36 76
6 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 31 48 79
7 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 52 29 81
8 Boston University Boston University Terriers 57 25 82
9 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 33 57 90
10 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 48 51 99
11 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 45 57 102
12 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 56 51 107
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Boston College Boston College Eagles 1 3 1 2 1 2 10 Henry Dumke '17
Fiona Walsh '17
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 5 1 6 1 8 4 25 Janel Decurtis '18
Megan Roach '18
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 3 6 2 5 9 6 31 Audrey Giblin '20
Sophia Diserio '18
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 2 7 9 7 7 1 33 Matthew Lyons '17
Emily Gonzalez '20
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 7 4 4 6 2 10 33 Cameron Loncoski '20
Miranda Huson '20
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 4 8 7 8 3 9 39 James Beatty '17
Caroline Ambros '17
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 8 5 3 12 4 8 40 Thomas Harden '20 [1-4]
Charles Hicks '20 [5-6]
Caroline Duksta '19 [1-4]
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 10 9 5 4 10 7 45 Ben Brown '18
Alden Cowap '17
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 6 2 12 10 6 12 48 Peter Christensen '18
Anne Wieland '19
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears OCS 11 8 3 12 5 52 Mack Fox '20
Miyako Miller '20
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 11 10 10 11 11 3 56 Frank Reeg '19 [1-4]
Alexander Bowen '20 [5-6]
Maya Stephani '20 [1-4]
Sergio Gratta '18 [5-6]
Boston University Boston University Terriers 9 12 11 9 5 11 57 Solomon Tarlin '17
Andrew Reed '18
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 3 3 6 1 2 4 19 Chester Jacobs '17
Caitlin Tardio '19
Boston University Boston University Terriers 2 8 2 4 7 2 25 Collin Alexander '20
Lily Lichtenstein '18
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 4 1 1 9 9 1 25 Preston Duclos '19
Hallie Repeta '19
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 6 5 4 8 3 3 29 Andrew Widmeier '20
Sarah Smith '20
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 5 2 7 6 4 9 33 Christopher Keller '19
Taylor Hart '19
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 4 12 2 6 11 36 Vincent Yannelli '19
Beth Carroll '20
Boston College Boston College Eagles 7 7 5 11 1 6 37 Colin Brego '20
Elizabeth Matheson '20
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 9 11 3 12 5 8 48 Maxwell Eberstadt-Beattie '20
Audrey Bransfield '19
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 8 9 9 7 11 7 51 Kyle Brego '17 [1-6]
Alexander Bowen '20 [1-4]
Maya Stephani '20 [5-6]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 10 6 10 10 10 5 51 Matteo Alampi '17
Julia Boll '21
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 11 10 11 5 8 12 57 Jack Gould '20
Jane Marvin '28
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 12 12 8 3 12 10 57 Jade Forsberg '17 [1-6]
Sarah Scott '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Sarah Yang '19 [3-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (21 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles557799
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers66881010
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears77991111
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears15154466
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green8810101212
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners9911111313
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers101012121414
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers111113131515
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies121214141616
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks1313151544
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1414161655
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts16165577

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles66881010
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers77991111
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears8810101212
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears16165577
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green9911111313
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners101012121414
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers111113131515
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers121214141616
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies1313151544
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks1414161655
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos15154466
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts446688

Conditions — 09/17/2016 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 60%  ·  Pressure 1017.5 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 78°F   ↓ 59°F
Feels like 68°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.1 kn
avg  ·  max 11.4 kn
Gusts to 26.6 kn
From S (180°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover99% Sunshine10.4 hrs Humidity60% Pressure1017.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 12 kn* · S 8 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Vermont: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.10)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.09 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.28 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Vermont by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at Vermont).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →