Bowdoin College '17
How much better or worse boats do with this sailor crewing than their skipper's rating predicts, shown on the skipper scale so crews can be lined up across teams. Percentiles compare against rostered crews that season (league) or teammates (team).
How crew ratings work →Crew effect over their whole career, not scaled to a team: 61.96 percentile among ICSA crews with 30+ races. Uncertainty ±0.117 rating points from 10 races with rated skippers. Few races, so the estimate stays near the middle.
How crew ratings work →No season rating yet: needs 8+ crewed races in a season.
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singlehanded | 2.53 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 10 | Fall 2013 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.30 (fleet 3.18) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 14–30 (32%) as crew 1–4 (20%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2017 | 2 | 6–13 | — |
| Spring 2016 | 1 | 4–3 | — |
| Spring 2015 | 1 | — | 1–4 |
| Spring 2014 | 1 | 4–14 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 5 graded regattas (49 matches) the record is 15–34 against 19.0 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−4.0). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 3 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 2 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-04-08 | New England Team Race Championship/Fowle Trophy | skipper | 2.99 | 2.04 | 2–5 | 3.4 | −0.95 | 1.0 | 94% |
| 2017-03-25 | Admiral Moore Team Race | skipper | 2.68 | 2.46 | 4–8 | 4.3 | −0.22 | 0.0 | 77% |
| 2016-03-26 | Admiral Moore Team Race | skipper | 2.75 | 1.86 | 4–3 | 5.1 | −0.89 | 0.7 | 93% |
| 2015-04-11 | Fowle Trophy | crew | 3.58 | 3.21 | 1–4 | 1.3 | −0.38 | 0.1 | 80% |
| 2014-04-05 | Mystic Lake Team Race Invitational | skipper | 2.20 | 1.87 | 4–14 | 4.9 | −0.33 | 0.2 | 79% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| New England Team Race Championship/Fowle Trophy | Skipper | TR | 11 | 18% | — |
| Admiral Moore Team Race | Skipper | TR | 12 | 33% | — |
| Fall 2016 Team page Season | |||||
| Penobscot Bay Open | Skipper | A | 6 | 7.8 | 2.60 |
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | B | 4 | 5.5 | 3.85 |
| Nicholas Barnett Trophy | Skipper | A | 17 | 7.1 | 1.84 |
| Hewitt Trophy | Skipper | B | 12 | 7.8 | 3.05 |
| Captain Hurst Bowl | Skipper | C | 2 | 8.0 | 2.85 |
| Callagy Ross Trophy | Skipper | A | 6 | 5.5 | 3.17 |
| Spring 2016 Team page Season | |||||
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | A | 14 | 5.6 | 3.58 |
| Admiral Moore Team Race | Skipper | TR | 19 | 53% | — |
| 81st Boston Dinghy Challenge Cup | Skipper | B | 3 | 7.3 | 3.62 |
| Fall 2015 Team page Season | |||||
| Penobscot Bay Open | Skipper | A | 7 | 4.7 | 3.54 |
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | C | 7 | 5.9 | 3.46 |
| NEISA Men's Singlehanded Champs Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 14 | 11.9 | — |
| Lake Champlain Open | Skipper | A | 9 | 5.2 | 3.51 |
| Hewitt Trophy | Skipper | A | 11 | 3.2 | 4.55 |
| Captain Hurst Bowl | Skipper | A | 14 | 10.9 | 3.02 |
| Spring 2015 Team page Season | |||||
| Owen,Mosbacher and Knapp Trophies | Skipper | B | 12 | 9.2 | 2.67 |
| Gill Coed Western Semifinals | Crew | A | 7 | 6.9 | — |
| Fowle Trophy | Crew | TR | 11 | 18% | — |
| Coast Guard Alumni Bowl/NE Champs | Crew | A | 3 | 8.3 | — |
| BU Trophy | Skipper | A | 3 | 4.3 | 3.70 |
| Admiral's Cup | Skipper | C | 9 | 11.1 | 2.58 |
| Fall 2014 Team page Season | |||||
| Pen Bay Open | Skipper | B | 12 | 7.5 | 2.60 |
| Lake Champlain Open | Skipper | A | 4 | 5.0 | 3.46 |
| Hewitt Trophy | Skipper | C | 15 | 6.7 | 2.75 |
| Atlantic Coast Tournament | Skipper | A | 11 | 7.6 | 2.76 |
| 76th Annual Oberg Trophy | Skipper | A | 16 | 11.4 | 2.46 |
| Spring 2014 Team page Season | |||||
| Veitor Trophy @ SRU | Skipper | A | 8 | 8.2 | 2.69 |
| Truxtun Umsted | Skipper | C | 14 | 5.6 | 3.31 |
| Mystic Lake Team Race Invitational | Skipper | TR | 18 | 22% | — |
| BU Trophy | Skipper | B | 4 | 6.0 | 2.76 |
| Admiral's Cup | Skipper | C | 13 | 9.4 | 2.26 |
| Fall 2013 Team page Season | |||||
| Wellahan Trophy | Skipper | A | 1 | 3.0 | — |
| Nickerson Trophy | Skipper | A | 8 | 5.8 | 2.91 |
| Hatch Brown Trophy | Skipper | C | 5 | 14.2 | 1.65 |
| Great Herring Pond Open | Skipper | B | 8 | 6.6 | 1.90 |
| NEISA Men's Singlehanded Champs Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 10 | 13.7 | 2.58 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
