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Atlantic Coast Tournament

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 31 27 58
2 Brown University Brown University Bears 48 46 94
3 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 39 57 96
4 Boston University Boston University Terriers 68 60 128
5 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 97 46 143
6 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 72 81 153
7 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 84 73 157
8 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 78 85 163
9 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 99 75 174
10 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 94 92 186
11 University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 102 123 225
12 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 123 123 246
13 SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 98 154 252
14 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 148 114 262
15 Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 140 167 307
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 1 2 3 1 1 8 2 7 1 1 4 31 Elliott Morrill '15 [1-11]
Morgan Gaudet '18 [1-6, 9-11]
Charles Hollister '18 [7-8]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 8 4 2 3 4 5 3 2 2 3 3 39 Nikole Barnes '17
Andrew Britton '16
Brown University Brown University Bears 3 3 14 2 3 7 1 3 3 7 2 48 Nathan Allman '16
Ragna Eide '16
Boston University Boston University Terriers 10 7 5 10 7 1 5 4 5 5 9 68 Ryan Astwood '16
Kayla Lynch '16
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 6 9 1 7 5 4 7 6 4 12 11 72 Bryce Kopp '16 [1-11]
Victoria Allen '16 [1-6, 9-11]
Benjamin Meyers '15 [7-8]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 2 11 11 13 11 2 8 8 9 2 1 78 Jackson Hamilton '19
Jacqueline Berlin '19
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 7 6 8 4 6 15 10 5 7 10 6 84 Matthew Lyons '17
Paige Speight '16
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 15 5 9 12 10 10 6 10 6 6 5 94 Michael Rottier '15 [1-11]
Melissa Conway '16 [1-6]
Shannon Nardi '16 [7-11]
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 13 13 4 5 8 6 4 12 13 11 8 97 Brendan Shanahan '17
Miranda Bakos '18
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 5 10 DSQ 11 13 3 12 1 8 9 10 98 Vidar Minkovsky '18
Samantha Zito '18
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 4 1 7 8 2 13 15 9 11 14 15 99 Connor Kelter '18 [1-6]
Matthew Schofield '17 [7-10]
Alex Gatto '15 [11]
Lindsay Gimple '17 [1-6]
Tara Bergstrom '18 [7-11]
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 9 14 6 6 9 9 9 14 10 4 12 102 Griffin Orr '15
Jessica Abriss '18
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 11 8 10 9 15 14 11 11 12 15 7 123 John Silvestri '16
Baillie Lawless '15
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 14 12 12 14 12 12 14 15 14 8 13 140 Nicholas Woviotis '15
Alberto Rivera '16
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 12 15 13 15 14 11 13 13 15 13 14 148 Sean Walker '18
Michael Imbesi '17
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 1 4 2 1 9 4 1 1 1 1 2 27 Greiner Hobbs '18
Kelly Monahan '18
Brown University Brown University Bears 4 1 10 2 1 1 10 6 8 2 1 46 James Barry '16 [1-8]
Timothy Harding '15 [9-11]
Rachel Gutman '17 [1-8]
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 8 6 1 5 4 3 4 2 2 5 6 46 Kai Friesecke '18
Meagan Murphy '15
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 7 7 6 4 8 2 3 5 9 3 3 57 Dana Rohde '18
Hannah Herring '18
Boston University Boston University Terriers 2 2 7 3 7 9 2 11 3 10 4 60 Michael Saldi '15
Indre Jankeviciute '15
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 11 3 3 9 3 6 8 4 5 13 8 73 Chester Jacobs '17 [1-8]
Philip Koch '16 [9-11]
Hunter Moeller '17 [1-8]
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 5 11 9 7 2 5 9 7 11 4 5 75 Alex Woloshyn '17 [1-6]
Duncan Howes '15 [7-11]
Claire Riedman '16 [1-6]
Lindsay Gimple '17 [7-11]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 3 5 8 13 5 7 11 3 6 11 9 81 Hugh Macgillivray '18 [1-8]
Walter Florio '18 [9-11]
Kim Bolick '15 [1-8]
Lea Bushnell '15 [9-10]
Benjamin Meyers '15 [11]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 9 12 5 6 6 10 6 9 4 7 11 85 Victoria Mcgruer '17
Elizabeth Sczerzenie '15
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 6 9 4 8 12 8 5 12 7 8 13 92 Jennifer Lee '17
George Williams '17
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 13 10 13 11 11 12 7 8 10 12 7 114 Isaac Kremers '17
Erin Hub '16
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 10 13 11 10 13 11 13 10 14 6 12 123 Rory Mess '16
Emily Hann '17
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 12 8 12 12 10 13 12 13 12 9 10 123 Charles Welsh '18
Angelina Todaro '16
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 15 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 13 14 14 154 Cody Murphy '17
Brendan Brown-Mccue '16
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 14 15 15 15 DNF DNS 15 15 15 15 DNS 167 Kevin Mccandless '15 [1-6]
Claire Michaud '18 [7-11]
Bradley Hanford '18 [1-6]
Valerie Wiehl '16 [7-11]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2012 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers113355779911
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears22446688101012
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears33557799111113
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Bulls131315152244668
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears121214141133557
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies1414113355779
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels4466881010121214
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red5577991111131315
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials66881010121214141
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen77991111131315152
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies88101012121414113
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks10101212141411335
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves99111113131515224
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange11111313151522446
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers15152244668810

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers22446688101012
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears33557799111113
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears4466881010121214
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Bulls1414113355779
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears131315152244668
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies15152244668810
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels5577991111131315
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red66881010121214141
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials77991111131315152
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen88101012121414113
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies99111113131515224
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks11111313151522446
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves10101212141411335
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange121214141133557
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers113355779911
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston University Boston University Ryan Astwood '16 Kayla Lynch '16
Terriers Michael Saldi '15 Indre Jankeviciute '15
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Matthew Lyons '17 Paige Speight '16
Polar Bears Chester Jacobs '17 [1-8]
Philip Koch '16 [9-11]		 Hunter Moeller '17 [1-8]
Brown University Brown University Nathan Allman '16 Ragna Eide '16
Bears James Barry '16 [1-8]
Timothy Harding '15 [9-11]		 Rachel Gutman '17 [1-8]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Bryce Kopp '16 [1-11] Victoria Allen '16 [1-6, 9-11]
Benjamin Meyers '15 [7-8]
Camels Hugh Macgillivray '18 [1-8]
Walter Florio '18 [9-11]		 Kim Bolick '15 [1-8]
Lea Bushnell '15 [9-10]
Benjamin Meyers '15 [11]
Cornell University Cornell University Connor Kelter '18 [1-6]
Matthew Schofield '17 [7-10]
Alex Gatto '15 [11]		 Lindsay Gimple '17 [1-6]
Tara Bergstrom '18 [7-11]
Big Red Alex Woloshyn '17 [1-6]
Duncan Howes '15 [7-11]		 Claire Riedman '16 [1-6]
Lindsay Gimple '17 [7-11]
George Washington University George Washington University Brendan Shanahan '17 Miranda Bakos '18
Colonials Kai Friesecke '18 Meagan Murphy '15
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Elliott Morrill '15 [1-11] Morgan Gaudet '18 [1-6, 9-11]
Charles Hollister '18 [7-8]
Statesmen Greiner Hobbs '18 Kelly Monahan '18
Northeastern University Northeastern University Jackson Hamilton '19 Jacqueline Berlin '19
Huskies Victoria Mcgruer '17 Elizabeth Sczerzenie '15
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Vidar Minkovsky '18 Samantha Zito '18
Seawolves Cody Murphy '17 Brendan Brown-Mccue '16
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University John Silvestri '16 Baillie Lawless '15
Seahawks Charles Welsh '18 Angelina Todaro '16
Syracuse University Syracuse University Nicholas Woviotis '15 Alberto Rivera '16
Orange Kevin Mccandless '15 [1-6]
Claire Michaud '18 [7-11]		 Bradley Hanford '18 [1-6]
Valerie Wiehl '16 [7-11]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Nikole Barnes '17 Andrew Britton '16
Bears Dana Rohde '18 Hannah Herring '18
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Griffin Orr '15 Jessica Abriss '18
Bulls Rory Mess '16 Emily Hann '17
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Michael Rottier '15 [1-11] Melissa Conway '16 [1-6]
Shannon Nardi '16 [7-11]
Huskies Jennifer Lee '17 George Williams '17
Webb Institute Webb Institute Sean Walker '18 Michael Imbesi '17
Clippers Isaac Kremers '17 Erin Hub '16

Conditions — 11/15/2014 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 57%  ·  Pressure 1027.3 hPa

Temperature

34°F
↑ 37°F   ↓ 28°F
Feels like 26°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.0 kn
avg  ·  max 5.9 kn
Gusts to 17.1 kn
From W (267°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover70% Sunshine8.1 hrs Humidity57% Pressure1027.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 8 kn · SW 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Hobart & William Sm: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.11)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.08 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.19
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.32 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 9% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Hobart & William Sm by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (30 labelled days at Hobart & William Sm).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →