Brown University '16
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singlehanded | 2.77 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 29 | Fall 2013 |
| Keelboat | 1.44 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 26 | Spring 2016 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.53 (fleet 3.49) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 27–18 (60%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2016 | 2 | 8–6 | — |
| Spring 2015 | 3 | 4–8 | — |
| Fall 2014 | 1 | 1–0 | — |
| Spring 2014 | 1 | 14–4 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 4 graded regattas (41 matches) the record is 25–16 against 25.2 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−0.2). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 2 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 4 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-03-26 | Admiral Moore Team Race | skipper | 3.17 | 2.55 | 7–6 | 8.1 | −0.62 | 0.5 | 89% |
| 2015-04-04 | 34th Lynne Marchiando Regatta | skipper | 3.29 | 2.08 | 3–4 | 4.8 | −1.21 | 1.6 | 97% |
| 2015-03-21 | Graham Hall Team Race | skipper | 3.19 | 3.14 | 1–2 | 1.0 | −0.05 | 0.0 | 74% |
| 2014-04-05 | Mystic Lake Team Race Invitational | skipper | 2.67 | 3.62 | 14–4 | 11.3 | +0.95 | 1.8 | 10% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2016 Team page Season | |||||
| Peter Wenner Rainbow Invite | Skipper | B | 6 | 2.8 | 3.65 |
| NEISA Sportboat Invitational #1 Keelboat | Skipper | A | 8 | 2.6 | 1.99 |
| LaserPerformance Team Race Nationals | Skipper | TR | 22 | 36% | — |
| Admiral Moore Team Race | Skipper | TR | 15 | 53% | — |
| 81st Boston Dinghy Challenge Cup | Skipper | C | 9 | 6.2 | 3.75 |
| Fall 2015 Team page Season | |||||
| NEISA Men's Singlehanded Champs Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 13 | 10.9 | — |
| Hatch Brown Trophy | Skipper | C | 14 | 9.9 | 2.94 |
| Captain Hurst Bowl | Skipper | C | 14 | 5.5 | 3.80 |
| Atlantic Coast Tournament | Skipper | B | 9 | 5.6 | 3.58 |
| 73rd Pine Trophy Keelboat | Crew | A | 8 | 4.6 | — |
| Spring 2015 Team page Season | |||||
| Owen,Mosbacher and Knapp Trophies | Skipper | A | 12 | 10.2 | 2.85 |
| Jan T. Friis Team Race | Skipper | TR | 14 | 57% | — |
| Greater New York Dinghy Regatta | Skipper | A | 6 | 5.0 | 2.52 |
| Graham Hall Team Race | Skipper | TR | 15 | 40% | — |
| 34th Lynne Marchiando Regatta | Skipper | TR | 15 | 53% | — |
| Fall 2014 Team page Season | |||||
| Pine Trophy Keelboat | Skipper | A | 10 | 5.5 | 0.97 |
| Nevins Trophy | Skipper | C | 11 | 6.7 | 3.52 |
| Navy Fall | Skipper | D | 15 | 5.2 | 4.21 |
| Hap Moore Team Race | Skipper | TR | 14 | 57% | — |
| Gardiner Island Invite | Skipper | A | 16 | 4.9 | 1.68 |
| Atlantic Coast Tournament | Skipper | B | 8 | 4.4 | 3.50 |
| 76th Annual Oberg Trophy | Skipper | C | 17 | 5.8 | 3.53 |
| Spring 2014 Team page Season | |||||
| Veitor Trophy @ SRU | Skipper | A | 7 | 2.1 | 3.94 |
| 22nd O'Toole Trophy @ SRU | Skipper | B | 8 | 1.5 | 3.08 |
| Mystic Lake Team Race Invitational | Skipper | TR | 18 | 78% | — |
| 70th Greater Boston Oberg Trophy | Skipper | B | 13 | 7.8 | 1.93 |
| Colgate Promo 1 Keelboat | Skipper | A | 8 | 5.8 | -0.14 |
| BU Trophy | Skipper | B | 4 | 4.0 | 3.51 |
| Fall 2013 Team page Season | |||||
| Southern Series 3 | Skipper | B | 14 | 7.6 | 0.19 |
| Providence College Invite #2 | Skipper | A | 3 | 4.7 | 1.33 |
| 64th Nevins Trophy | Skipper | C | 10 | 8.9 | 3.10 |
| Navy Fall | Skipper | D | 20 | 5.6 | 3.90 |
| Central Series 6 | Skipper | B | 8 | 5.9 | 2.40 |
| NEISA Men's Singlehanded Champs Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 10 | 12.7 | 2.75 |
| Spring 2013 Team page Season | |||||
| Truxtun Umsted | Skipper | D | 12 | 6.5 | 3.51 |
| Southern Series 1 @ SRU | Skipper | A | 2 | 5.0 | 2.52 |
| BDCC Tech Regatta Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 1 | 10.0 | — |
| Fall 2012 Team page Season | |||||
| RI State Champs, Sister Esther Open | Skipper | A | 4 | 8.0 | 2.66 |
| Oberg | Skipper | B | 7 | 13.7 | 0.96 |
| Nickerson Trophy | Skipper | A | 10 | 7.8 | 2.39 |
| NEISA Men's Singlehanded Championship Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 18 | 8.7 | 3.22 |
| Navy Fall | Skipper | D | 14 | 4.1 | 4.08 |
| Gardner Island Invite SS3 | Skipper | A | 14 | 7.1 | 1.17 |
| Boston Harbor Invitational | Skipper | B | 8 | 4.8 | 2.57 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
