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Southern Series 1 @ SRU

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Boston College Boston College Eagles 39 27 66
2 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 33 41 74
3 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 44 38 82
4 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 57 28 85
5 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 55 33 88
6 Brown University Brown University Bears 29 59 88
7 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 62 37 99
8 Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 25 84 109
9 Providence College Providence College Friars 79 55 134
10 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 75 83 158
11 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 79 82 161
12 Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 107 80 187
13 Mitchell College Mitchell College Mariners 85 114 199
14 University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 99 115 214
15 Boston University Boston University Terriers 156 MRP 156 MRP 312 MRP
16 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 156 MRP 156 MRP 312 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 1 2 8 2 3 2 5 2 25 John Mcglynn '13 [1-8]
Molly Haley '13 [1-2]
Lauren Javaly '15 [3-8]
Brown University Brown University Bears 6 4 5 3 1 3 2 5 29 James Barry '16 [1-2]
Emmett Weeks '14 [3-8]
Katherine Sudol '16 [1-2]
Lucas Serra '13 [3-8]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 11 9 2 4 2 1 3 1 33 Jesse Thomas '17
Taylor Williams '16
Boston College Boston College Eagles 5 1 1 5 4 7 8 8 39 Ryan Schmitz '15
Isabelle Salvaterra '14
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 3 3 4 7 6 4 7 10 44 Cole Rice '15
Chelsea Maguire '13
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 4 5 11 8 11 11 1 4 55 Alexandra Romagnoli '15 [1-8]
Sarah Price '14 [1-4]
Lea Bushnell '15 [5-8]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 8 7 10 1 7 5 10 9 57 Mackenzie Needham '15
Molly Lucyk '16
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 2 6 3 6 13 DSQ 12 3 62 John Silvestri '16
Mary Zeolla '13
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 12 10 6 9 8 6 11 13 75 Andrew Mchenry '13
Kyle Robbins '13
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 7 8 9 11 12 12 6 14 79 Karl Ryder '16
Ryan Davis '16
Providence College Providence College Friars 10 DNF 7 10 5 10 13 7 79 Mike Bloomstine '13 [1-2]
Tristan Janowicz '16 [3-8]
Stephanie Burrell '16 [1-2]
Mitchell College Mitchell College Mariners 9 DNF 13 13 14 9 4 6 85 Alex Hering '13
Chelsea Abbenante '14
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs DNS DNS 12 14 10 8 9 12 99 Michelle Guidotti '13 [1-8]
Shawna Denn '13 [1-6]
Kelsey Martins '16 [7-8]
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats DNF DNF 14 12 9 13 14 11 107 Sean O'Halloran '13
Erin Meltzer '14
Boston University Boston University Terriers DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 156 MRP No Show
No Show
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 156 MRP No Show
No Show
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Boston College Boston College Eagles 5 3 6 5 1 5 1 1 27 Ryan Morrison '14
Christopher Dwyer '15
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 6 4 1 6 2 1 3 5 28 Mackie Stewart '13
Elizabeth Durgin '16
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 2 2 4 1 4 4 8 8 33 Liz Dubovik '15
Alix Israel '15
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 1 6 5 4 3 9 6 3 37 Christopher Jensen '14
Shannon Killian '16
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 4 7 2 2 6 6 9 2 38 Scott Booth '16
Abigail Cook '15
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 8 8 7 3 5 2 4 4 41 Elise Gehling '17
Kristen Kuzil '16
Providence College Providence College Friars 3 1 3 10 8 10 11 9 55 Chris Aitken '15 [1-2]
Lou Magarelli '16 [3-8]
Alexandra Zweig '13 [1-2]
John Coulter '16 [3-8]
Brown University Brown University Bears 9 5 8 7 10 7 7 6 59 Reid Secondo '16 [1-2]
Alexandra Swanson '16 [3-8]
Elizabeth Sturr '15 [1-2]
Jessica O'Dell '17 [3-8]
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 7 9 11 8 12 12 10 11 80 Conall Finn '16 [1-2]
Gregory Henkelman '13 [3-8]
Christopher Voorman '14 [1-2]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 10 10 10 9 7 11 13 12 82 Andrew Smith '14
Matthew Charpentier '11
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners DNS DNS 9 11 11 3 5 10 83 Benjamin King '14
Seth Poplawski '16
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals DNS DNS 12 12 9 8 2 7 84 Rachel Kurlander '16 [1-2]
Molly Haley '13 [3-8]
Lauren Javaly '15 [1-2]
Rachel Kurlander '16 [3-8]
Mitchell College Mitchell College Mariners DNS DNS 14 13 14 14 12 13 114 Mike Damico '13
Jared Lafosse-Baker '14
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs DNS DNS 13 14 13 13 14 14 115 Bailey Rice '15 [1-4, 7-8]
Paige Brown '14 [5-6]
Julia Trudel '15 [1-4]
Emma Linden '15 [5-6]
Emily Doiron '15 [7-8]
Boston University Boston University Terriers DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 156 MRP No Show
No Show
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 156 MRP No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (21 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles11335577
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers33557799
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears22161614141212
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels442216161414
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats5577991111
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners779911111313
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers88664422
Mitchell CollegeMitchell College Mariners6644221616
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies99111113131515
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars1010886644
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1515113355
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks11111313151511
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks121210108866
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos131315151133
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs14141212101088
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals1616141412121010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles22446688
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers4466881010
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears11151513131111
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels331115151313
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats668810101212
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners88101012121414
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers77553311
Mitchell CollegeMitchell College Mariners5533111515
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies1010121214141616
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars99775533
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1616224466
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks12121414161622
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks1111997755
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos141416162244
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs131311119977
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals15151313111199
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston College Boston College Ryan Schmitz '15 Isabelle Salvaterra '14
Eagles Ryan Morrison '14 Christopher Dwyer '15
Boston University Boston University No Show No Show
Terriers No Show No Show
Brown University Brown University James Barry '16 [1-2]
Emmett Weeks '14 [3-8]		 Katherine Sudol '16 [1-2]
Lucas Serra '13 [3-8]
Bears Reid Secondo '16 [1-2]
Alexandra Swanson '16 [3-8]		 Elizabeth Sturr '15 [1-2]
Jessica O'Dell '17 [3-8]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Alexandra Romagnoli '15 [1-8] Sarah Price '14 [1-4]
Lea Bushnell '15 [5-8]
Camels Liz Dubovik '15 Alix Israel '15
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Sean O'Halloran '13 Erin Meltzer '14
Wildcats Conall Finn '16 [1-2]
Gregory Henkelman '13 [3-8]		 Christopher Voorman '14 [1-2]
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Andrew Mchenry '13 Kyle Robbins '13
Mariners Benjamin King '14 Seth Poplawski '16
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Karl Ryder '16 Ryan Davis '16
Buccaneers Andrew Smith '14 Matthew Charpentier '11
Mitchell College Mitchell College Alex Hering '13 Chelsea Abbenante '14
Mariners Mike Damico '13 Jared Lafosse-Baker '14
Northeastern University Northeastern University Jesse Thomas '17 Taylor Williams '16
Huskies Elise Gehling '17 Kristen Kuzil '16
Providence College Providence College Mike Bloomstine '13 [1-2]
Tristan Janowicz '16 [3-8]		 Stephanie Burrell '16 [1-2]
Friars Chris Aitken '15 [1-2]
Lou Magarelli '16 [3-8]		 Alexandra Zweig '13 [1-2]
John Coulter '16 [3-8]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Cole Rice '15 Chelsea Maguire '13
Hawks Scott Booth '16 Abigail Cook '15
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University John Silvestri '16 Mary Zeolla '13
Seahawks Christopher Jensen '14 Shannon Killian '16
Tufts University Tufts University No Show No Show
Jumbos No Show No Show
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Michelle Guidotti '13 [1-8] Shawna Denn '13 [1-6]
Kelsey Martins '16 [7-8]
Corsairs Bailey Rice '15 [1-4, 7-8]
Paige Brown '14 [5-6]		 Julia Trudel '15 [1-4]
Emma Linden '15 [5-6]
Emily Doiron '15 [7-8]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Mackenzie Needham '15 Molly Lucyk '16
Rams Mackie Stewart '13 Elizabeth Durgin '16
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University John Mcglynn '13 [1-8] Molly Haley '13 [1-2]
Lauren Javaly '15 [3-8]
Cardinals Rachel Kurlander '16 [1-2]
Molly Haley '13 [3-8]		 Lauren Javaly '15 [1-2]
Rachel Kurlander '16 [3-8]

Conditions — 03/23/2013 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 46%  ·  Pressure 1006.7 hPa

Temperature

39°F
↑ 43°F   ↓ 32°F
Feels like 27°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
14.3 kn
avg  ·  max 15.9 kn
Gusts to 32.5 kn
From WNW (290°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover62% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity46% Pressure1006.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 25 kn · N 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Salve Regina: a favourites’ day (+0.10)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.12
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.24 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Salve Regina by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (43 labelled days at Salve Regina).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →