Connecticut College '15
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singlehanded | 2.26 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 43 | Fall 2014 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.13 (fleet 2.95) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 1–10 (9%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2014 | 1 | 1–10 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 1 graded regattas (11 matches) the record is 1–10 against 3.9 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−2.9). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 4 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-03-29 | 2nd Barque Eagle Team Race | skipper | 2.35 | 0.08 | 1–10 | 3.9 | −2.27 | 4.2 | >99% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2015 Team page Season | |||||
| Vietor Trophy | Skipper | A | 5 | 7.4 | 3.01 |
| NEISA Women's Champs, Reed Trophy Women's | Skipper | A | 10 | 8.8 | 3.15 |
| Navy Spring Women's Women's | Skipper | A | 5 | 12.8 | 2.46 |
| Emily Wick Trophy Women's | Skipper | A | 10 | 10.9 | 2.69 |
| Dellenbaugh Women's Trophy Women's | Skipper | A | 6 | 10.8 | 2.92 |
| Central Series, Savin Hill | Skipper | A | 16 | 5.8 | 2.80 |
| Fall 2014 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Weekday Invite Women's | Skipper | A | 4 | 2.2 | 3.17 |
| Victorian Coffee Urn Women's | Skipper | A | 10 | 10.4 | 2.79 |
| Toni Deutsch Regatta Women's | Skipper | A | 14 | 6.5 | 2.85 |
| Stu Nelson Women's | Skipper | A | 9 | 9.6 | 3.00 |
| Mrs. Hurst Bowl Women's | Skipper | A | 17 | 11.6 | 2.31 |
| Women's Singlehanded Nationals Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 5 | 12.8 | 1.92 |
| 35th Yale Women's Intersectional Women's | Skipper | A | 4 | 15.2 | 1.43 |
| Spring 2014 Team page Season | |||||
| Thompson Trophy | Skipper | B | 10 | 9.8 | 2.91 |
| St. Mary's Women's Inter-Conference Women's | Skipper | A | 18 | 8.7 | 3.06 |
| Reed Trophy / NEISA Women's Champs Women's | Skipper | A | 17 | 7.8 | 3.22 |
| Icebreaker Regatta | Skipper | A | 6 | 6.3 | 2.43 |
| 2nd Barque Eagle Team Race | Skipper | TR | 17 | 12% | — |
| Admiral Alymers Trophy | Skipper | A | 8 | 2.8 | 4.07 |
| Fall 2013 Team page Season | |||||
| The Victorian Coffee Urn Women's | Skipper | A | 7 | 11.9 | 2.19 |
| Toni Deutsch Trophy (women's) Women's | Skipper | A | 17 | 7.4 | 2.65 |
| Stu Nelson Women's | Skipper | A | 10 | 8.6 | 2.91 |
| NEISA Women's Singlehanded Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 12 | 8.2 | 2.13 |
| Mrs. Hurst Bowl Women's | Skipper | A | 16 | 9.7 | 2.33 |
| 31st Hood Trophy | Skipper | B | 9 | 11.8 | 2.27 |
| CGA Mid-Week Women's Invite Women's | Skipper | A | 3 | 7.0 | -0.25 |
| Spring 2013 Team page Season | |||||
| Wood Trophy | Skipper | B | 9 | 9.2 | 1.23 |
| St. Mary's Womens Women's | Skipper | B | 6 | 11.2 | 1.83 |
| Sperry Top-Sider Women's Finals Women's | Skipper | B | 2 | 7.0 | 3.21 |
| Southern Series Five | Skipper | B | 10 | 2.8 | 2.85 |
| Southern Series 1 @ SRU | Skipper | B | 8 | 4.1 | 2.48 |
| NEISA Women's Champs, Reed Trophy Women's | Skipper | B | 10 | 8.3 | 2.44 |
| 22nd O'Toole Trophy @ SRU | Skipper | B | 11 | 6.0 | 1.92 |
| Dellenbaugh Women's Trophy Women's | Skipper | B | 6 | 8.3 | 2.78 |
| BU President's Trophy Women's | Skipper | B | 12 | 9.4 | 1.71 |
| Fall 2012 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Regis Bowl Women's | Skipper | B | 12 | 7.8 | 1.67 |
| Victorian Coffee Urn Women's | Skipper | B | 9 | 14.0 | 1.00 |
| Toni Deutsch '58 Regatta Women's | Skipper | A | 14 | 9.9 | 1.62 |
| Stu Nelson Trophy Women's | Skipper | B | 17 | 7.7 | 2.39 |
| NEISA Women's Singlehanded Championships Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 12 | 16.3 | -0.14 |
| Mrs. Hurst Bowl Women's | Skipper | A | 12 | 15.1 | 1.72 |
| 2012 Yale Women's Intersectional Women's | Skipper | B | 6 | 12.7 | 1.47 |
| Spring 2012 Team page Season | |||||
| Emily Wick Trophy Women's | Skipper | B | 7 | 13.9 | 1.04 |
| Admiral's Cup | Skipper | C | 16 | 13.7 | 1.16 |
| Fall 2011 Team page Season | |||||
| NE Women's Singles Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 14 | 12.4 | 0.40 |
| Lake Champlain Open | Skipper | B | 2 | 12.5 | 0.62 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
