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CGA Mid-Week Women's Invite

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2 25
2 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 1 32
3 Brown University Brown University Bears 2 35
4 Brown University Brown University Bears 1 40
5 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 41
6 Providence College Providence College Friars 67
7 Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 88
8 Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 90
9 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 107
10 Mitchell College Mitchell College Mariners 113
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 1 A 1 6 2 9 Kayla Ellis '16 [1-3]
Morgan Rhodes '17 [1-2]
Sulli Edwards '17 [3]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2 B 2 1 8 11 Jaimie Chicoine '14
Savannah Kuntz '17
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2 A 3 10 1 14 Christina Frost '16
Lauren Cefali '15
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 A 6 7 4 17 Helen Lord '14 [1-2]
Jessica O'Dell '17 [3]
Jessica O'Dell '17 [1-2]
Helen Lord '14 [3]
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 A 11 2 5 18 Louisa Chafee '14
Lydia Whiteford '15
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 B 8 3 7 18 Haley Carter '17
Rachel Gutman '17
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels B 9 8 3 20 Eliza Garry '17 [1-2]
Rebecca Quirke '17 [3]
Sarah Price '14 [1-2]
Lea Bushnell '15 [3]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels A 4 11 6 21 Liz Dubovik '15
Marina Sachs '15
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 B 7 5 10 22 Marina Cano '17
Olivia Lord '17
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 1 B 5 9 9 23 Nikolia Kruger '17
Justine Morrison '13
Providence College Providence College Friars A 10 4 14 28 Stephanie Burrell '16
Abby Mclaughlin '15
Providence College Providence College Friars B 14 13 12 39 Patricia Hoban '17 [1]
Claire Chambers '15 [2-3]
Claire Chambers '15 [1]
Patricia Hoban '17 [2-3]
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats A 12 14 17 43 Erin Meltzer '14
Heather Ireland '15
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals B 13 16 15 44 Maia Nelles-Sager '17
Mariam Torres '16
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats B 17 17 11 45 Alexandra Wiedeke '16
Hope Murray '17
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals A 15 18 13 46 Kellyn Maves '16
Hannah Norman '16
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies A DNS 12 16 49 Shannan Smith '15
Alexandra Rice '16
Mitchell College Mitchell College Mariners A 16 15 19 50 Chelsea Abbenante '14
Alexandra Bollella '14
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies B DNS 19 18 58 Lauren Kovacs '15
Christina Gencarelli '15
Mitchell College Mitchell College Mariners B DNS DNS DNS 63 Deborah Lee '15
Joslin Taber '16
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 1111
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 2222
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 1444
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2555
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies999
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels333
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats666
Mitchell CollegeMitchell College Mariners777
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars888
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals101010

Division B

Team1B2B3B
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 1111111
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 2121212
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 1141414
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2151515
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies191919
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels131313
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats161616
Mitchell CollegeMitchell College Mariners171717
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars181818
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals202020

Conditions — 10/09/2013 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 56%  ·  Pressure 1029.1 hPa

Temperature

59°F
↑ 63°F   ↓ 52°F
Feels like 54°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.6 kn
avg  ·  max 9.0 kn
Gusts to 22.0 kn
From ENE (61°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover98% Sunshine9.4 hrs Humidity56% Pressure1029.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Coast Guard: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.16
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.26 ± 0.23)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Coast Guard by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (57 labelled days at Coast Guard).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →