U. S. Coast Guard Academy '16
How much better or worse boats do with this sailor crewing than their skipper's rating predicts, shown on the skipper scale so crews can be lined up across teams. Percentiles compare against rostered crews that season (league) or teammates (team).
How crew ratings work →Crew effect over their whole career, not scaled to a team: 86.64 percentile among ICSA crews with 30+ races. Uncertainty ±0.100 rating points from 90 races with rated skippers.
How crew ratings work →No season rating yet: needs 8+ crewed races in a season.
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singlehanded | 2.36 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 6 | Fall 2015 |
| Keelboat | 1.26 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 10 | Fall 2013 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.21 (fleet 3.05) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 17–21 (45%) as crew 6–6 (50%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2016 | 1 | 8–13 | — |
| Fall 2015 | 1 | 3–3 | — |
| Fall 2014 | 1 | 6–5 | — |
| Spring 2013 | 1 | — | 6–6 |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 4 graded regattas (50 matches) the record is 23–27 against 15.5 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+7.5). 2 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 13 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-03-19 | The Ike Geiger Team Race Regatta | skipper | 2.68 | 2.96 | 8–13 | 6.9 | +0.29 | 0.2 | 37% |
| 2015-11-07 | Hap Moore Team Race | skipper | 2.89 | 2.64 | 3–3 | 3.4 | −0.25 | 0.1 | 76% |
| 2014-11-08 | Hap Moore Team Race | skipper | 2.94 | 3.92 | 6–5 | 4.2 | +0.98 | 1.4 | 14% |
| 2013-04-20 | Staake Trophy Team Race | crew | 1.77 | 4.49 | 6–6 | 1.1 | +2.71 | 11.3 | <1% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2016 Team page Season | |||||
| Thompson Trophy | Skipper | C | 16 | 8.9 | 3.17 |
| The Ike Geiger Team Race Regatta | Skipper | TR | 21 | 38% | — |
| Emily Wick Women's | Skipper | A | 8 | 11.5 | 2.64 |
| Fall 2015 Team page Season | |||||
| The Victorian Urn Women's | Skipper | B | 12 | 9.2 | 2.31 |
| Toni Deutsch Regatta Women's | Skipper | B | 15 | 5.7 | 2.84 |
| Stu Nelson Women's | Skipper | B | 12 | 5.2 | 3.56 |
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | B | 7 | 11.1 | 2.54 |
| NEISA Women's Singlehanded Championships Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 6 | 10.5 | 1.12 |
| Hap Moore Team Race | Skipper | TR | 16 | 62% | — |
| Captain Hurst Bowl | Skipper | B | 13 | 12.0 | 2.54 |
| 33rd Professor Stedman Hood Trophy | Skipper | B | 9 | 10.6 | 2.79 |
| Spring 2015 Team page Season | |||||
| Vietor Trophy | Skipper | A | 5 | 5.4 | 3.62 |
| Thompson Trophy | Skipper | B | 13 | 8.6 | 3.26 |
| Sperry Women's Eastern Semifinal Women's | Skipper | A | 4 | 11.0 | 1.52 |
| Navy Spring Women's Women's | Skipper | B | 4 | 6.5 | 3.38 |
| Dellenbaugh Women's Trophy Women's | Skipper | B | 6 | 6.3 | 3.47 |
| Sperry ICSA Women’s National Championship Women's | Skipper | A | 4 | 17.2 | 0.33 |
| Fall 2014 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Weekday Invite Women's | Skipper | B | 4 | 2.8 | 2.44 |
| Victorian Coffee Urn Women's | Skipper | B | 6 | 10.3 | 2.21 |
| Toni Deutsch Regatta Women's | Skipper | A | 13 | 6.8 | 2.56 |
| St. Mary's Fall Inter-Conference | Skipper | B | 12 | 8.4 | 3.14 |
| Hatch Brown Trophy | Skipper | C | 17 | 10.8 | 2.70 |
| Hap Moore Team Race | Skipper | TR | 11 | 54% | — |
| Captain Hurst Bowl | Skipper | B | 12 | 10.2 | 2.89 |
| 76th Annual Oberg Trophy | Skipper | C | 16 | 6.2 | 3.22 |
| Spring 2014 Team page Season | |||||
| Thompson Trophy | Skipper | C | 11 | 5.8 | 3.64 |
| St. Mary's Women's Inter-Conference Women's | Skipper | B | 18 | 9.2 | 2.54 |
| Sperry Women's Western Semifinal Women's | Skipper | B | 11 | 4.7 | 3.30 |
| Sperry Top-Sider Women's Nationals Women's | Skipper | B | 17 | 9.6 | 2.83 |
| Reed Trophy / NEISA Women's Champs Women's | Skipper | B | 17 | 5.9 | 3.38 |
| Emily Wick Trophy Women's | Skipper | B | 14 | 8.0 | 3.07 |
| Charleston Women's Women's | Skipper | B | 11 | 5.5 | 2.97 |
| Fall 2013 Team page Season | |||||
| The Victorian Coffee Urn Women's | Skipper | A | 3 | 10.3 | 2.59 |
| RI States, 2nd Sister Esther Annual | Skipper | A | 12 | 6.1 | 3.17 |
| Regis Bowl Women's | Skipper | A | 10 | 9.3 | 2.05 |
| Providence College Invite | Skipper | A | 10 | 3.5 | 2.92 |
| 71st Pine Trophy Keelboat | Skipper | A | 10 | 7.2 | 0.42 |
| Hewitt Trophy | Skipper | A | 10 | 8.1 | 2.40 |
| CGA Mid-Week Women's Invite Women's | Skipper | A | 3 | 3.0 | 2.29 |
| BC Central Series | Skipper | A | 9 | 4.9 | 3.40 |
| Spring 2013 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Emily Wick Trophy Women's | Skipper | A | 5 | 10.2 | 2.56 |
| USF Women's Women's | Crew | A, B | 16 | 8.4 | — |
| Staake Trophy Team Race | Crew | TR | 12 | 50% | — |
| NEISA Women's Champs, Reed Trophy Women's | Skipper | B | 10 | 6.6 | 2.95 |
| Owen / Mosbacher / Knapp Trophies | Skipper | B | 18 | 8.8 | 2.36 |
| Navy Spring Womens Women's | Skipper | B | 12 | 12.8 | 1.86 |
| Dellenbaugh Women's Trophy Women's | Crew | A | 2 | 9.5 | — |
| Charleston Womens Women's | Skipper | B | 12 | 13.4 | -2.50 |
| Fall 2012 Team page Season | |||||
| Wellahan Trophy | Skipper | A, B | 8 | 5.2 | — |
| Victorian Coffee Urn Women's | Crew | A | 9 | 10.6 | — |
| Toni Deutsch '58 Regatta Women's | Crew | B | 14 | 7.1 | — |
| St. Mary's Fall Interconference | Crew | A | 15 | 9.7 | — |
| RI State Champs, Sister Esther Open | Skipper | B | 10 | 8.0 | 2.30 |
| Navy Fall Women's Women's | Crew | B | 16 | 9.2 | — |
| Mrs. Hurst Bowl Women's | Crew | B | 12 | 9.2 | — |
| George Warren Smith Trophy | Skipper | B | 8 | 7.6 | 1.92 |
| 2012 Yale Women's Intersectional Women's | Crew | A | 7 | 12.1 | — |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
