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Sperry Women's Western Semifinal

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 44 25 69
2 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 36 56 92
3 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 50 52 102
4 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 55 55 110
5 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 85 47 132
6 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 64 88 152
7 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 69 90 159
8 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 99 64 163
9 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 78 89 167
10 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 85 84 169
11 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 80 90 170
12 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 124 131 255
13 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 133 133 266
14 University of Iowa University of Iowa Hawkeyes 153 151 304
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 2 1 5 11 3 6 1 1 3 1 2 36 Deirdre Lambert '15
Avery Plough '14
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 4 4 3 4 5 5 3 2 8 2 4 44 Morgan Kiss '15 [1-11]
Amanda Salvesen '14 [1-8]
Katherine Gaumond '15 [9-11]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 1 3 2 7 4 8 5 5 1 3 11 50 Nikole Barnes '17 [1-10]
Devon Rohde '15 [11]
Justine Morrison '13 [1-10]
Jennifer Lane '15 [11]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 9 7 1 2 6 3 6 4 7 9 1 55 Clerc Cooper '15 [1-11]
Chloe Dapp '17 [1-6, 9-11]
Elizabeth Chambers '14 [7-8]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 3 2 8 6 13 2 7 11 2 5 5 64 Madeline Kennedy '14
Katrina Berry '15
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 6 6 6 9 2 9 4 3 10 7 7 69 Erin Mullins '16
Mary Paz '17
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 5 10 11 3 10 10 2 9 5 4 9 78 Laura Wefer '16 [1-11]
Jennifer Burke '16 [1-2, 5-11]
Katlyn Putney '14 [3-4]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 10 8 4 8 7 1 12 8 6 8 8 80 Adelaide Ferguson '17
Madeleine Sims '16
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 8 5 9 13 1 4 11 6 13 12 3 85 Jennifer Borshoff '15 [1-11]
Lindsay Gimple '17 [1-10]
Claire Riedman '16 [11]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 11 9 10 1 8 13 10 7 4 6 6 85 Marissa Lihan '14 [1-11]
Megan Hough '16 [1-8]
Emma Ferris '15 [9-11]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 7 11 7 5 11 11 8 10 9 10 10 99 Dominique Wright '15 [1-6]
Alison Knoles '17 [7-11]
Ali Yarbrough '16 [1-2]
Alison Knoles '17 [3-6]
Dominique Wright '15 [7-11]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 13 14 12 10 9 7 9 13 11 13 13 124 Deborah Kenote '14
Jasmine Gerraty '17
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 12 12 13 12 12 12 13 12 12 11 12 133 Erin Hawk '16
Tracy Hawk '16
University of Iowa University of Iowa Hawkeyes 14 13 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 153 Sarah Gross '15
Darcy Nelson '16
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 3 2 2 4 3 2 5 1 1 1 1 25 Marlena Fauer '14 [1-11]
Eugenia Custo Greig '14 [1-6]
Charlotte Belling '16 [7-11]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 4 5 3 1 10 1 4 6 6 5 47 Mary Hall '15 [1-8]
Killian Corbishley '14 [9-11]
Elizabeth Morrison '14 [1-8]
Alexandra Asuncion '15 [9-11]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 6 5 3 7 6 3 8 2 2 3 7 52 Kayla Ellis '16 [1-11]
Christina Frost '16 [1-8]
Jaimie Chicoine '14 [9-11]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 9 1 4 8 4 7 7 7 3 2 3 55 Grace Lucas '14
Morgan Buckley '15
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 12 3 9 1 5 1 2 5 5 7 6 56 Kelsey Wheeler '14
Lizzie Guynn '16
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 10 10 6 2 9 8 4 3 4 4 4 64 Colleen Hartman '13 [1-11]
Lizette Arnold '17 [1-2]
Ali Yarbrough '16 [3-11]
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 1 7 10 5 14 9 10 12 9 5 2 84 Lindsey Ludwig '14 [1-11]
Claire Riedman '16 [1-10]
Lindsay Gimple '17 [11]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 7 9 7 10 7 4 11 6 8 9 10 88 Cecilia Jansson '15 [1-11]
Andrea Kelly '14 [1-10]
Louise Currie '18 [11]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 4 8 8 11 10 6 3 8 7 13 11 89 Leslie Poole '16
Katie Hall '16
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 5 11 11 9 2 5 6 9 10 10 12 90 Johanna Monro '16
Mary Hamilton '14
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 11 6 1 6 8 11 9 11 11 8 8 90 Kaylee Schwitzer '15 [1-11]
Frances Jimenez '16 [1-8]
Olivia Diserio '16 [9-11]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 8 12 12 12 11 12 13 13 13 12 13 131 Rachael Mccrady '14 [1-11]
Emily Levalley '16 [1-6, 9-11]
Kalli Light '17 [7-8]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 13 13 14 14 12 13 12 10 12 11 9 133 Megan Woodring '14 [1-11]
Stephanie Meals '15 [1-8, 11]
Ataly Asher '15 [9-10]
University of Iowa University of Iowa Hawkeyes 14 14 13 13 13 14 14 14 14 14 14 151 Molly Strieker '15 [1-11]
Kathryn Hiolski '15 [1-10]
Annabel Seeling '17 [11]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (22 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears113355779911
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars22141412121010886
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears779911111313113
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red33557799111113
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green44221414121210108
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams557799111113131
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows991111131311335
University of IowaUniversity of Iowa Hawkeyes10108866442214
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen88664422141412
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls111113131133557
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies6644221414121210
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings1313113355779
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers121210108866442
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs14141212101088664

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears22446688101012
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars111313111199775
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears88101012121414224
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red4466881010121214
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green331113131111997
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams66881010121214142
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows10101212141422446
University of IowaUniversity of Iowa Hawkeyes997755331113
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen77553311131311
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls121214142244668
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies553311131311119
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings14142244668810
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers1111997755331
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs131311119977553
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Erin Mullins '16 Mary Paz '17
Polar Bears Kaylee Schwitzer '15 [1-11] Frances Jimenez '16 [1-8]
Olivia Diserio '16 [9-11]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Clerc Cooper '15 [1-11] Chloe Dapp '17 [1-6, 9-11]
Elizabeth Chambers '14 [7-8]
Cougars Grace Lucas '14 Morgan Buckley '15
Cornell University Cornell University Jennifer Borshoff '15 [1-11] Lindsay Gimple '17 [1-10]
Claire Riedman '16 [11]
Big Red Lindsey Ludwig '14 [1-11] Claire Riedman '16 [1-10]
Lindsay Gimple '17 [11]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Deirdre Lambert '15 Avery Plough '14
Big Green Kelsey Wheeler '14 Lizzie Guynn '16
Fordham University Fordham University Adelaide Ferguson '17 Madeleine Sims '16
Rams Johanna Monro '16 Mary Hamilton '14
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Erin Hawk '16 Tracy Hawk '16
Aggies Megan Woodring '14 [1-11] Stephanie Meals '15 [1-8, 11]
Ataly Asher '15 [9-10]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Nikole Barnes '17 [1-10]
Devon Rohde '15 [11]		 Justine Morrison '13 [1-10]
Jennifer Lane '15 [11]
Bears Kayla Ellis '16 [1-11] Christina Frost '16 [1-8]
Jaimie Chicoine '14 [9-11]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Marissa Lihan '14 [1-11] Megan Hough '16 [1-8]
Emma Ferris '15 [9-11]
Midshipmen Mary Hall '15 [1-8]
Killian Corbishley '14 [9-11]		 Elizabeth Morrison '14 [1-8]
Alexandra Asuncion '15 [9-11]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Madeline Kennedy '14 Katrina Berry '15
Rainbows Cecilia Jansson '15 [1-11] Andrea Kelly '14 [1-10]
Louise Currie '18 [11]
University of Iowa University of Iowa Sarah Gross '15 Darcy Nelson '16
Hawkeyes Molly Strieker '15 [1-11] Kathryn Hiolski '15 [1-10]
Annabel Seeling '17 [11]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Dominique Wright '15 [1-6]
Alison Knoles '17 [7-11]		 Ali Yarbrough '16 [1-2]
Alison Knoles '17 [3-6]
Dominique Wright '15 [7-11]
Bulls Colleen Hartman '13 [1-11] Lizette Arnold '17 [1-2]
Ali Yarbrough '16 [3-11]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Laura Wefer '16 [1-11] Jennifer Burke '16 [1-2, 5-11]
Katlyn Putney '14 [3-4]
Badgers Leslie Poole '16 Katie Hall '16
Western Washington University Western Washington University Deborah Kenote '14 Jasmine Gerraty '17
Vikings Rachael Mccrady '14 [1-11] Emily Levalley '16 [1-6, 9-11]
Kalli Light '17 [7-8]
Yale University Yale University Morgan Kiss '15 [1-11] Amanda Salvesen '14 [1-8]
Katherine Gaumond '15 [9-11]
Bulldogs Marlena Fauer '14 [1-11] Eugenia Custo Greig '14 [1-6]
Charlotte Belling '16 [7-11]

Conditions — 05/27/2014 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 57%  ·  Pressure 1013.1 hPa

Temperature

81°F
↑ 86°F   ↓ 70°F
Feels like 85°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.1 kn
avg  ·  max 7.5 kn
Gusts to 15.9 kn
From SW (236°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover82% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity57% Pressure1013.1 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 8 kn · NW 8 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Navy: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.07 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.12
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.18 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Navy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (114 labelled days at Navy).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →