U. S. Coast Guard Academy '16
How much better or worse boats do with this sailor crewing than their skipper's rating predicts, shown on the skipper scale so crews can be lined up across teams. Percentiles compare against rostered crews that season (league) or teammates (team).
How crew ratings work →Crew effect over their whole career, not scaled to a team: 16.43 percentile among ICSA crews with 30+ races. Uncertainty ±0.089 rating points from 137 races with rated skippers.
How crew ratings work →No season rating yet: needs 8+ crewed races in a season.
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singlehanded | 1.95 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 62 | Fall 2013 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.68 (fleet 2.32) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 7–25 (22%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2014 | 2 | 7–25 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (32 matches) the record is 7–25 against 7.9 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−0.9). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 1 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-03-29 | 2nd Barque Eagle Team Race | skipper | 2.36 | 1.84 | 5–12 | 6.6 | −0.53 | 0.6 | 88% |
| 2014-03-22 | Team Race Invitational | skipper | 1.97 | 2.47 | 2–13 | 1.3 | +0.49 | 0.3 | 39% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2014 Team page Season | |||||
| Veitor Trophy @ SRU | Skipper | A | 7 | 9.1 | 2.18 |
| Team Race Invitational | Skipper | TR | 15 | 13% | — |
| Sperry Women's Western Semifinal Women's | Crew | B | 8 | 5.0 | — |
| Sperry Top-Sider Women's Nationals Women's | Crew | B | 3 | 13.3 | — |
| Reed Trophy / NEISA Women's Champs Women's | Crew | B | 16 | 5.9 | — |
| Emily Wick Trophy Women's | Skipper | A | 5 | 12.6 | 2.10 |
| 2nd Barque Eagle Team Race | Skipper | TR | 17 | 29% | — |
| Fall 2013 Team page Season | |||||
| Regis Bowl Women's | Skipper | B | 10 | 8.2 | 2.06 |
| Providence College Invite | Skipper | B | 10 | 3.4 | 2.51 |
| NEISA Women's Singlehanded Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 13 | 5.7 | 3.15 |
| Mt. Hope Bay Invitational | Skipper | A | 10 | 6.2 | 2.41 |
| Lake Champlain Open | Skipper | B | 7 | 6.4 | 2.50 |
| ICSA/LP Women's Singlehanded Champs Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 18 | 5.2 | 4.02 |
| CGA Mid-Week Women's Invite Women's | Skipper | A | 3 | 4.7 | 1.11 |
| Central Series 6 | Skipper | A | 8 | 8.4 | 2.09 |
| Spring 2013 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Emily Wick Trophy Women's | Crew | A | 9 | 11.0 | — |
| USF Women's Women's | Skipper | B | 16 | 11.1 | -0.43 |
| NEISA Women's Champs, Reed Trophy Women's | Crew | B | 10 | 6.6 | — |
| Dellenbaugh Women's Trophy Women's | Crew | A | 8 | 14.1 | — |
| Charleston Womens Women's | Crew | B | 12 | 13.4 | — |
| Boston Dinghy Club Challenge Cup | Crew | C | 14 | 9.7 | — |
| Fall 2012 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Regis Bowl Women's | Skipper | B | 12 | 8.8 | 1.26 |
| Victorian Coffee Urn Women's | Crew | B | 5 | 6.6 | — |
| Pen Bay Open | Crew | A | 10 | 10.9 | — |
| Oberg | Crew | B | 15 | 9.4 | — |
| NEISA Women's Singlehanded Championships Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 13 | 6.1 | 3.24 |
| Navy Fall Women's Women's | Skipper | C | 16 | 4.5 | 3.27 |
| LP / ICSA Women's Singlehanded Nationals Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 18 | 7.4 | 2.90 |
| Lake Champlain Open | Crew | A | 8 | 5.8 | — |
| Erwin Schell Trophy | Crew | A | 6 | 13.7 | — |
| Atlantic Coast Tournament | Crew | A | 11 | 7.8 | — |
| 2012 Yale Women's Intersectional Women's | Crew | B | 2 | 12.0 | — |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
