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USF Women's

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 151
2 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 185
3 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 238
4 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 259
5 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 275
6 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 295
7 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 324
8 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 449
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal B 8 8 11 7 4 1 1 7 1 2 1 3 4 4 4 2 68 Molly Mckinney '14
Natalie Urban '15
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls A 2 6 1 3 11 7 2 5 2 5 8 4 1 10 2 11 80 Abby Featherstone '13
Dominique Wright '15
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal A 1 5 2 8 6 3 10 1 5 1 2 2 16 2 6 13 83 Sarah Mace '14
Katie Riklin '13
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars A 5 10 9 5 2 4 8 2 6 4 5 1 13 3 9 1 87 Grace Lucas '14 [1-16]
Michaela Reynolds '16 [1-2]
Sarah Somes '13 [3-16]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars B 4 2 10 4 1 11 3 3 4 14 13 10 2 6 8 3 98 Clerc Cooper '15
Elizabeth Chambers '14
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes A 6 12 7 1 8 6 7 8 10 9 6 14 3 5 10 9 121 Taylor Scheuermann '15 [1-16]
Alice Schreiber '16 [1-2]
Christine Desilva '15 [3-6]
Samantha Sussmane '16 [7-16]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows A 11 4 4 9 7 5 5 6 9 10 14 9 6 11 12 4 126 Madeline Kennedy '14
Katrina Berry '15
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons B 3 1 3 14 9 8 11 10 3 13 7 11 10 12 3 10 128 Melany Johnson '15 [1-16]
Rachel Cruz '14 [1-4]
Brianna Green '16 [5-16]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons A 14 13 8 12 3 9 9 11 8 3 4 5 9 1 16 6 131 Amy Baxter '13 [1-4]
Solvig Sayre '14 [5-16]
Lissa Mcclung '14 [1-4]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears A 16 9 6 2 5 12 4 4 11 16 10 8 15 9 11 8 146 Devon Rohde '15 [1-16]
Kayla Ellis '16 [1-10]
Karisa Maurer '16 [11-16]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows B 13 15 14 6 14 2 12 9 13 12 9 7 8 7 1 7 149 Hanne Nagatani '13
Lindsay Stewart '13
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls B 7 7 5 10 12 10 16 14 7 7 11 13 12 8 7 12 158 Colleen Hartman '13 [1-16]
Darcy Jensen '16 [1-8, 11-16]
Candice Stewart '15 [9-10]
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes B 9 3 12 11 10 14 13 13 14 11 3 12 5 15 15 14 174 Laura Hernandez '15 [1-16]
Kara Voss '15 [1-6, 9-16]
Eva Muszynski '16 [7-8]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears B 15 14 15 13 16 15 6 15 12 8 12 6 7 14 5 5 178 Christina Frost '16 [1-16]
Karisa Maurer '16 [1-10]
Kayla Ellis '16 [11-16]
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers A 10 11 13 16 13 13 14 12 15 6 16 15 11 16 13 16 210 Terry Duncan '15
Emily Cordner '13
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers B 12 16 16 15 15 16 15 16 16 15 15 16 14 13 14 15 239 Meghan Colwell '16 [1-16]
Alex Saunders '15 [1-2]
Nicole Hoesterey '13 [3-16]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (51 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars2211161615151414131312121111
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears1122334455667788
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons334455667788991010
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows77889910101111121213131414
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes443322111616151514141313
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers5566778899101011111212
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls8877665544332211
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal66554433221116161515

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B16B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars101099887766554433
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears991010111112121313141415151616
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons1111121213131414151516161122
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows15151616112233445566
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes1212111110109988776655
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers131314141515161611223344
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls161615151414131312121111101099
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal14141313121211111010998877
School / Team SkipperCrew
College of Charleston College of Charleston Grace Lucas '14 [1-16] Michaela Reynolds '16 [1-2]
Sarah Somes '13 [3-16]
Cougars Clerc Cooper '15 Elizabeth Chambers '14
Eckerd College Eckerd College Amy Baxter '13 [1-4]
Solvig Sayre '14 [5-16]		 Lissa Mcclung '14 [1-4]
Tritons Melany Johnson '15 [1-16] Rachel Cruz '14 [1-4]
Brianna Green '16 [5-16]
Middlebury College Middlebury College Terry Duncan '15 Emily Cordner '13
Panthers Meghan Colwell '16 [1-16] Alex Saunders '15 [1-2]
Nicole Hoesterey '13 [3-16]
Stanford University Stanford University Sarah Mace '14 Katie Riklin '13
Cardinal Molly Mckinney '14 Natalie Urban '15
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Devon Rohde '15 [1-16] Kayla Ellis '16 [1-10]
Karisa Maurer '16 [11-16]
Bears Christina Frost '16 [1-16] Karisa Maurer '16 [1-10]
Kayla Ellis '16 [11-16]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Madeline Kennedy '14 Katrina Berry '15
Rainbows Hanne Nagatani '13 Lindsay Stewart '13
University of Miami University of Miami Taylor Scheuermann '15 [1-16] Alice Schreiber '16 [1-2]
Christine Desilva '15 [3-6]
Samantha Sussmane '16 [7-16]
Hurricanes Laura Hernandez '15 [1-16] Kara Voss '15 [1-6, 9-16]
Eva Muszynski '16 [7-8]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Abby Featherstone '13 Dominique Wright '15
Bulls Colleen Hartman '13 [1-16] Darcy Jensen '16 [1-8, 11-16]
Candice Stewart '15 [9-10]

Conditions — 02/16/2013 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 61%  ·  Pressure 1016.1 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 55°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.3 kn
avg  ·  max 17.6 kn
Gusts to 32.9 kn
From NW (319°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover71% Sunshine9.8 hrs Humidity61% Pressure1016.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 14 kn · N 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at South Florida: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.06 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.08 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at South Florida by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (75 labelled days at South Florida).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →