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Regis Bowl

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 38 40 78
2 Boston University Boston University Terriers 51 72 123
3 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 64 59 123
4 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 82 43 125
5 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 75 56 131
6 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 60 76 136
7 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 70 66 136
8 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 89 51 140
9 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 93 82 175
10 Boston College Boston College Eagles 64 116 180
11 Brown University Brown University Bears 93 94 187
12 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 91 98 189
13 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 72 120 192
14 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 121 111 232
15 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 142 128 270
16 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 156 153 309
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 2 1 1 5 12 1 2 2 1 11 38 Morgan Kiss '15
Amanda Salvesen '14
Boston University Boston University Terriers 4 6 2 8 7 5 3 3 8 5 51 Elizabeth Glivinski '14
Keeton Leisure '14
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 6 13 5 6 1 3 7 6 5 8 60 Annie Schmidt '14
Samantha Bobo '15
Boston College Boston College Eagles 1 5 3 10 4 13 6 12 6 4 64 Allyson Donahue '17
Elizabeth Barnard '15
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 7 2 4 15 5 DSQ 4 5 4 1 64 Erin Mullins '16
Tess Lameyer '16
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 8 3 12 2 14 6 5 9 2 9 70 Rosalind Lesh '16
Elizabeth Zhang '16
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 9 10 10 12 8 8 1 1 11 2 72 Elise Gehling '17
Kristen Kuzil '16
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 11 4 7 9 2 2 12 10 12 6 75 Caitlin Watson '14 [1-10]
Julia Lord '17 [1-6]
Olivia Kjorlien '17 [7-10]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 13 7 8 7 6 12 9 7 3 10 82 Christina Lewis '16
Molly Lucyk '16
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 10 11 13 1 3 7 14 4 13 13 89 Megan Yeigh '16
Eva Williford '14
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 12 8 6 4 9 10 8 15 7 12 91 Margaret Bacon '14
Erin Bondy '15
Brown University Brown University Bears 3 12 11 3 15 11 13 8 10 7 93 Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick '17 [1-10]
Helen Lord '14 [1-6]
Jessica O'Dell '17 [7-10]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 14 9 9 11 11 4 10 13 9 3 93 Kayla Ellis '16
Savannah Kuntz '17
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 5 16 14 14 13 9 11 11 14 14 121 Mary Clawson '15
Catherine Corssen '15
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 15 14 15 13 10 14 16 14 15 16 142 Sarah Pollick '14
Alden Cowap '17
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 16 15 16 16 16 15 15 16 16 15 156 Sarah Warack '16 [1-6]
Jennifer Lee '17 [7-10]
Kimberly Jackman '16 [1-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 5 1 5 3 2 10 4 2 3 5 40 Marly Isler '16
Clara Robertson '17
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 7 1 1 1 11 2 1 9 9 43 Rachel Bryer '17
Fiona Christie '17
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 4 3 11 2 6 1 5 12 6 1 51 Amina Brown '17
Callagy Ross '14
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 6 11 8 4 3 4 9 5 4 2 56 Sophie Bermudez '16
Ashleigh Inglis '15
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 7 2 4 7 7 5 1 15 7 4 59 Courtney Koos '16
Olivia Diserio '16
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 8 13 13 11 5 2 3 4 1 6 66 Laura Dunphy '15
Paige Omura '17
Boston University Boston University Terriers 9 9 2 5 4 3 10 7 10 13 72 Erica Lush '14 [1-6]
Hannah Polster '17 [7-10]
Sarah Manning '16 [1-6]
Madison Sparber '17 [7-10]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 12 5 10 13 8 7 13 3 2 3 76 Rachel Perry '15
Morgan Wheeler '15
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 3 6 3 8 11 14 8 13 8 8 82 Christina Frost '16
Sulli Edwards '17
Brown University Brown University Bears 13 8 12 6 13 6 11 10 5 10 94 Kelly Mcglynn '15
Courtney Bergh '16
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 11 10 9 10 10 12 7 6 11 12 98 Amanda Sommi '16
Julia Fuller '17
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 2 12 6 14 14 13 6 14 13 DSQ 111 Shannon Killian '16
Kathryn Travers '16
Boston College Boston College Eagles 10 4 16 12 DSQ 9 14 9 14 11 116 Hailey Ullmann '17
Isabelle Salvaterra '14
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 15 DNF 7 9 12 15 15 11 12 7 120 Heidi Hood '16
Margo Blagden '16
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 14 DNF 15 15 9 8 12 8 15 15 128 Cynthia Connard '15
Anna Hopper '14
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 16 14 14 16 15 16 16 16 16 14 153 Dana Cho '16 [1-6]
Shannan Smith '15 [7-10]
Catherine Stavola '14 [1-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2012 (56 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles1133557799
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers4422161614141212
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears221616141412121010
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears335577991111
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears55779911111313
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies13131515113355
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson66442216161414
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers7799111113131515
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers886644221616
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies9911111313151511
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1414121210108866
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks101088664422
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks1111131315151133
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos12121010886644
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts151511335577
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs161614141212101088

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles224466881010
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers3311151513131111
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears1115151313111199
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears44668810101212
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears6688101012121414
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies14141616224466
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson55331115151313
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers881010121214141616
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers775533111515
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies101012121414161622
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams13131111997755
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks9977553311
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks1212141416162244
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos111199775533
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts161622446688
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs1515131311119977
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston College Boston College Allyson Donahue '17 Elizabeth Barnard '15
Eagles Hailey Ullmann '17 Isabelle Salvaterra '14
Boston University Boston University Elizabeth Glivinski '14 Keeton Leisure '14
Terriers Erica Lush '14 [1-6]
Hannah Polster '17 [7-10]		 Sarah Manning '16 [1-6]
Madison Sparber '17 [7-10]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Erin Mullins '16 Tess Lameyer '16
Polar Bears Courtney Koos '16 Olivia Diserio '16
Brown University Brown University Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick '17 [1-10] Helen Lord '14 [1-6]
Jessica O'Dell '17 [7-10]
Bears Kelly Mcglynn '15 Courtney Bergh '16
Harvard University Harvard University Caitlin Watson '14 [1-10] Julia Lord '17 [1-6]
Olivia Kjorlien '17 [7-10]
Crimson Sophie Bermudez '16 Ashleigh Inglis '15
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Rosalind Lesh '16 Elizabeth Zhang '16
Engineers Laura Dunphy '15 Paige Omura '17
Middlebury College Middlebury College Sarah Pollick '14 Alden Cowap '17
Panthers Cynthia Connard '15 Anna Hopper '14
Northeastern University Northeastern University Elise Gehling '17 Kristen Kuzil '16
Huskies Heidi Hood '16 Margo Blagden '16
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Annie Schmidt '14 Samantha Bobo '15
Hawks Rachel Perry '15 Morgan Wheeler '15
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Mary Clawson '15 Catherine Corssen '15
Seahawks Shannon Killian '16 Kathryn Travers '16
Tufts University Tufts University Margaret Bacon '14 Erin Bondy '15
Jumbos Amanda Sommi '16 Julia Fuller '17
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Kayla Ellis '16 Savannah Kuntz '17
Bears Christina Frost '16 Sulli Edwards '17
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Sarah Warack '16 [1-6]
Jennifer Lee '17 [7-10]		 Kimberly Jackman '16 [1-6]
Huskies Dana Cho '16 [1-6]
Shannan Smith '15 [7-10]		 Catherine Stavola '14 [1-6]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Christina Lewis '16 Molly Lucyk '16
Rams Rachel Bryer '17 Fiona Christie '17
University of Vermont University of Vermont Megan Yeigh '16 Eva Williford '14
Catamounts Amina Brown '17 Callagy Ross '14
Yale University Yale University Morgan Kiss '15 Amanda Salvesen '14
Bulldogs Marly Isler '16 Clara Robertson '17

Conditions — 09/28/2013 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 65%  ·  Pressure 1026.2 hPa

Temperature

66°F
↑ 70°F   ↓ 55°F
Feels like 64°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.7 kn
avg  ·  max 6.3 kn
Gusts to 14.2 kn
From NE (44°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover18% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1026.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 7 kn · E 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Boston University: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.06 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.16 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Boston University by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (56 labelled days at Boston University).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →