Tufts University '16
How much better or worse boats do with this sailor crewing than their skipper's rating predicts, shown on the skipper scale so crews can be lined up across teams. Percentiles compare against rostered crews that season (league) or teammates (team).
How crew ratings work →Crew effect over their whole career, not scaled to a team: 10.08 percentile among ICSA crews with 30+ races. Uncertainty ±0.084 rating points from 248 races with rated skippers.
How crew ratings work →No season rating yet: needs 8+ crewed races in a season.
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singlehanded | 1.87 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 32 | Fall 2015 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.69 (fleet 2.33) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as crew 29–25 (54%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2016 | 2 | — | 15–7 |
| Spring 2015 | 1 | — | 6–12 |
| Spring 2014 | 1 | — | 2–0 |
| Spring 2013 | 1 | — | 6–6 |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 3 graded regattas (40 matches) the record is 21–19 against 24.6 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−3.6). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 2 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 2 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-03-26 | Joseph R. Duplin Regatta | crew | 2.85 | 2.88 | 6–4 | 5.9 | +0.03 | 0.0 | 62% |
| 2016-03-12 | Arctic Circle Team Race | crew | 3.41 | 3.07 | 9–3 | 9.6 | −0.34 | 0.1 | 81% |
| 2015-03-28 | Duplin | crew | 2.70 | 1.85 | 6–12 | 9.1 | −0.85 | 1.9 | 97% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Tufts Alumni Regatta 2023-420s | Crew | A | 6 | 8.2 | -0.10 |
| Spring 2016 Team page Season | |||||
| Ryan Richards (Tufts) Alumni Regatta | Skipper | B | 12 | 10.5 | 2.66 |
| St. Mary's Women's Interconference Women's | Crew | A | 18 | 9.8 | — |
| Reed Trophy Women's | Crew | A | 15 | 9.9 | — |
| President's Trophy Women's | Crew | A | 10 | 7.3 | — |
| Mendums Pond Invite | Skipper | B | 6 | 4.0 | 3.10 |
| Joseph R. Duplin Regatta Women's | Crew | TR | 10 | 60% | — |
| Dellenbaugh Women's Trophy Women's | Crew | A | 5 | 10.6 | — |
| Arctic Circle Team Race | Crew | TR | 19 | 84% | — |
| Fall 2015 Team page Season | |||||
| Yale Women's Interconference Women's | Crew | B | 16 | 7.6 | — |
| Women's Atlantic Coast Championships Women's | Crew | B | 18 | 6.3 | — |
| The Victorian Urn Women's | Crew | A | 12 | 9.2 | — |
| Toni Deutsch Regatta Women's | Crew | A | 15 | 8.9 | — |
| Regis Bowl Women's | Crew | B | 9 | 3.1 | — |
| NEISA Women's Singlehanded Championships Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 6 | 7.2 | 2.53 |
| Mrs. Hurst Bowl Women's | Crew | A | 10 | 6.0 | — |
| Lake Champlain Open | Crew | B | 9 | 6.1 | — |
| Dark of Night | Skipper | B | 1 | 2.0 | — |
| Spring 2015 Team page Season | |||||
| Vietor Trophy | Crew | A | 5 | 7.8 | — |
| NEISA Women's Champs, Reed Trophy Women's | Crew | A | 7 | 11.0 | — |
| Navy Spring Women's Women's | Crew | A | 5 | 7.6 | — |
| Emily Wick Trophy Women's | Crew | A | 10 | 9.7 | — |
| Duplin Women's | Crew | TR | 18 | 33% | — |
| Central Series, Savin Hill | Crew | A | 16 | 7.2 | — |
| Fall 2014 Team page Season | |||||
| Victorian Coffee Urn Women's | Crew | A | 6 | 8.3 | — |
| Salt Pond Invite | Skipper | A | 5 | 7.6 | 2.05 |
| Roger Williams Invitational | Skipper | A | 10 | 6.8 | 2.41 |
| Great Herring Pond Open | Skipper | B | 6 | 8.0 | 1.26 |
| Central Series 6 | Crew | A | 4 | 5.8 | — |
| Atlantic Coast Women's Championship Women's | Crew | A | 5 | 12.0 | — |
| Spring 2014 Team page Season | |||||
| Truxtun Umsted | Crew | B | 4 | 10.2 | — |
| St. Mary's Women's Inter-Conference Women's | Crew | A | 5 | 15.8 | — |
| Southern Series 1 @ SRU | Crew | B | 1 | 11.0 | — |
| Reed Trophy / NEISA Women's Champs Women's | Crew | B | 6 | 10.3 | — |
| Mystic Lake Team Race Invitational | Crew | TR | 18 | 100% | — |
| Central Series 3 | Skipper | A | 6 | 3.8 | 2.16 |
| BU Trophy | Crew | B | 6 | 9.5 | — |
| Fall 2013 Team page Season | |||||
| Toni Deutsch Trophy (women's) Women's | Skipper | B | 17 | 10.6 | 1.51 |
| Stu Nelson Women's | Skipper | B | 9 | 13.7 | 1.03 |
| Regis Bowl Women's | Skipper | B | 10 | 9.8 | 1.58 |
| NEISA Women's Singlehanded Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 13 | 8.2 | 2.30 |
| Navy Fall | Skipper | D | 2 | 13.5 | 1.88 |
| Moody | Crew | A | 6 | 13.3 | — |
| Midweek Fly Regatta 9/26 | Skipper | A | 4 | 5.2 | 2.73 |
| Spring 2013 Team page Season | |||||
| Wood Trophy | Skipper | B | 9 | 7.0 | 1.99 |
| 22nd O'Toole Trophy @ SRU | Crew | A | 12 | 5.0 | — |
| Midweek 'Fly - Spring13 #2 | Skipper | A | 4 | 3.5 | 2.64 |
| Joseph Duplin Trophy Women's | Crew | TR | 14 | 57% | — |
| Fall 2012 Team page Season | |||||
| NEISA Women's Singlehanded Championships Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 13 | 13.2 | 1.30 |
| Navy Fall Women's Women's | Skipper | C | 16 | 9.2 | 1.78 |
| Mascoma Invitational/Northern Series 2 | Skipper | A | 19 | 2.7 | 0.94 |
| FJ Invitational Day 2 | Skipper | A | 6 | 6.8 | 0.98 |
| Dark of Night | Skipper | A | 3 | 5.7 | 1.34 |
| Crew's Regatta | Crew | B | 6 | 3.2 | — |
| Central Series | Skipper | B | 14 | 11.1 | -0.98 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
