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Great Herring Pond Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Boston University Boston University Terriers 41 31 72
2 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 49 43 92
3 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 53 55 108
4 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 57 69 126
5 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 73 53 126
6 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 72 71 143
7 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 84 62 146
8 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 75 84 159
9 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 68 94 162
10 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 107 83 190
11 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 89 146 235
12 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 110 126 236
13 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 159 93 252
14 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 126 150 276
15 Holy Cross College Holy Cross College Crusaders 157 160 317
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Boston University Boston University Terriers 9 5 1 1 1 3 2 6 7 1 5 41 Brendan Cook '16
Hannah Callahan '16
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 2 2 4 3 1 11 8 2 2 13 49 Patrick Penwell '16
John Gieseke '18
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 2 9 6 3 2 2 5 7 9 6 2 53 Scott Goodrich '16
Taylor Williams '16
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 7 1 4 8 9 4 6 5 4 3 6 57 Kate Levinson '15
Emily Lynn '15
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 4 7 8 5 5 5 9 1 10 4 10 68 Benjamin Craig '17
James Mccracken '17
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 12 11 3 6 4 11 1 10 5 5 4 72 John Silvestri '16
Baillie Lawless '15
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 10 4 12 12 7 8 7 3 1 8 1 73 Sean Mclaughlin '15
Matthew Ferlotti '15
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 5 3 7 11 8 10 13 2 3 10 3 75 Molly Pleskus '18 [1-11]
Lucy Zwigard '18 [1-6]
Joshua Pfosi '16 [7-11]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 11 6 5 7 10 9 3 11 6 7 9 84 Chester Jacobs '17 [1-11]
Dana Bloch '17 [1-2, 7-11]
Jake Griffin '18 [3-6]
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 3 13 11 2 12 7 4 9 8 13 7 89 John Cappetta '16 [1-11]
Michela Moscufo '16 [1-6]
Katlyn Flynn '15 [7-11]
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 6 15 9 10 6 6 10 13 11 9 12 107 Sarah Fuller '16
Timothy Donahoe '15
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 8 10 13 9 11 12 12 4 12 11 8 110 Emmet Todd '17
Sarah Martin '15
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 13 8 10 13 13 13 8 12 13 12 11 126 Benjamin Sturmer '18
Nathaniel Douglass '18
Holy Cross College Holy Cross College Crusaders 15 12 15 14 14 14 14 15 15 15 14 157 Robert Bueti '15 [1-11]
Joe Dalton '15 [1-6]
Eric Kuhn '16 [7-11]
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 14 14 14 15 15 15 15 14 14 14 15 159 Andries Feder '17
Catherine Ross '16
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Boston University Boston University Terriers 1 1 5 1 5 1 6 4 1 1 5 31 Ravi Parent '18
Caroline Salas '18
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 7 4 7 2 2 1 1 2 5 10 43 Samuel Cushing '15
Jack Hurley '18
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 4 10 6 3 6 7 3 2 4 2 6 53 Kyle Brego '17
Evan Sampou '17
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 6 9 2 4 3 3 4 6 8 9 1 55 Jackson Hamilton '19
Jacqueline Berlin '19
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 8 2 1 11 1 5 7 8 7 3 9 62 Philip Koch '16
Catherine Price '18
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 5 3 9 6 4 6 8 3 10 8 7 69 Kate Shaner '16
Julia Fuller '17
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 3 5 14 8 9 9 2 7 5 6 3 71 Charles Welsh '18
Angelina Todaro '16
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 9 6 3 5 11 12 11 9 11 4 2 83 Jennifer Lee '17
George Williams '17
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 11 8 7 10 8 4 10 5 3 10 8 84 Amanda Sommi '16 [1-6]
Julien Guiot '18 [7-11]
Hannah Duggan '15 [1-6]
Natalie Danziger '17 [7-11]
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 12 11 8 2 7 11 5 13 6 7 11 93 Alexandre Pagã© '16
Ryan Knight '16
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 7 4 11 9 10 8 9 11 9 12 4 94 Lindsay Doyle '18
Alden Martin '16
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 10 12 10 13 12 10 12 12 12 11 12 126 Judas Taylor '18
David Mazotas '16
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 15 14 12 12 15 15 13 10 14 13 13 146 Jonathan Gougelet '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Julie Self '18 [3-4, 7-11]
Katlyn Flynn '15 [1-2]
Samuel Wells '15 [3-4, 7-8]
Madeline Bruno '17 [5-6, 9-11]
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 13 13 13 14 14 13 15 14 13 14 14 150 Kyle Thomas '18
John Tersoni '17
Holy Cross College Holy Cross College Crusaders 14 15 15 15 13 14 14 15 15 15 15 160 Benjamin Ritter '16 [1-11]
Sara Newstein '17 [1-6]
David Mulry '16 [7-11]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2011 (22 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats113355779911
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers22446688101012
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears33557799111113
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies121214141133557
Holy Cross CollegeHoly Cross College Crusaders4466881010121214
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners5577991111131315
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers66881010121214141
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds77991111131315152
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats131315152244668
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies88101012121414113
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1414113355779
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks99111113131515224
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 110101212141411335
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 211111313151522446
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts15152244668810

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats22446688101012
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers33557799111113
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears4466881010121214
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies131315152244668
Holy Cross CollegeHoly Cross College Crusaders5577991111131315
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners66881010121214141
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers77991111131315152
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds88101012121414113
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats1414113355779
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies99111113131515224
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams15152244668810
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks10101212141411335
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 111111313151522446
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 2121214141133557
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts113355779911
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bates College Bates College John Cappetta '16 [1-11] Michela Moscufo '16 [1-6]
Katlyn Flynn '15 [7-11]
Bobcats Jonathan Gougelet '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Julie Self '18 [3-4, 7-11]		 Katlyn Flynn '15 [1-2]
Samuel Wells '15 [3-4, 7-8]
Madeline Bruno '17 [5-6, 9-11]
Boston University Boston University Brendan Cook '16 Hannah Callahan '16
Terriers Ravi Parent '18 Caroline Salas '18
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Chester Jacobs '17 [1-11] Dana Bloch '17 [1-2, 7-11]
Jake Griffin '18 [3-6]
Polar Bears Philip Koch '16 Catherine Price '18
Holy Cross College Holy Cross College Robert Bueti '15 [1-11] Joe Dalton '15 [1-6]
Eric Kuhn '16 [7-11]
Crusaders Benjamin Ritter '16 [1-11] Sara Newstein '17 [1-6]
David Mulry '16 [7-11]
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Benjamin Sturmer '18 Nathaniel Douglass '18
Mariners Kyle Thomas '18 John Tersoni '17
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Sean Mclaughlin '15 Matthew Ferlotti '15
Buccaneers Kyle Brego '17 Evan Sampou '17
McGill University McGill University Andries Feder '17 Catherine Ross '16
Redbirds Alexandre Pagã© '16 Ryan Knight '16
Northeastern University Northeastern University Scott Goodrich '16 Taylor Williams '16
Huskies Jackson Hamilton '19 Jacqueline Berlin '19
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University John Silvestri '16 Baillie Lawless '15
Seahawks Charles Welsh '18 Angelina Todaro '16
Tufts University Tufts University Kate Levinson '15 Emily Lynn '15
Jumbos 1 Kate Shaner '16 Julia Fuller '17
Tufts University Tufts University Molly Pleskus '18 [1-11] Lucy Zwigard '18 [1-6]
Joshua Pfosi '16 [7-11]
Jumbos 2 Amanda Sommi '16 [1-6]
Julien Guiot '18 [7-11]		 Hannah Duggan '15 [1-6]
Natalie Danziger '17 [7-11]
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Sarah Fuller '16 Timothy Donahoe '15
Huskies Jennifer Lee '17 George Williams '17
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Emmet Todd '17 Sarah Martin '15
Wildcats Judas Taylor '18 David Mazotas '16
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Patrick Penwell '16 John Gieseke '18
Rams Samuel Cushing '15 Jack Hurley '18
University of Vermont University of Vermont Benjamin Craig '17 James Mccracken '17
Catamounts Lindsay Doyle '18 Alden Martin '16

Conditions — 10/18/2014 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 79%  ·  Pressure 1001.1 hPa

Temperature

66°F
↑ 67°F   ↓ 62°F
Feels like 63°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.9 kn
avg  ·  max 13.0 kn
Gusts to 24.3 kn
From SSW (210°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover16% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity79% Pressure1001.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 18 kn · NW 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Mass Maritime: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.11 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Mass Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (46 labelled days at Mass Maritime).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →