Truxtun Umsted

# SchoolTeam A B C D TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 65 72 25 49 211
2 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 27 74 112 83 296
3 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 90 69 77 76 312
4 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 82 97 104 56 339
5 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 94 85 108 83 370
6 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 141 126 40 75 382
7 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 116 71 138 75 400
8 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 132 141 78 53 404
9 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 96 106 126 159 487
10 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 151 115 108 120 494
11 Boston University Boston University Terriers 96 112 140 149 497
12 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 131 147 97 139 514
13 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 122 158 138 156 574
14 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 128 97 178 197 600
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 1 4 5 1 3 2 1 3 1 1 1 2 1 27 Nevin Snow '16 [1-14]
Katia Dasilva '15 [1-12]
Jack Welty '16 [13-14]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 6 4 5 7 2 5 5 7 1 2 5 6 3 7 65 Jake Reynolds '16 [1-14]
Alicia Blumenthal '15 [1-12]
Rebekah Schiff '16 [13-14]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 8 6 6 3 10 7 11 8 5 8 2 2 1 5 82 Esteban Forrer '16 [1-14]
Julia Wiesner '14 [1-11]
Gabriel Smith '17 [12-14]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 7 2 7 12 13 2 4 3 11 10 7 3 7 2 90 Michael Grove '14 [1-14]
Alexandra Asuncion '15 [1-11]
Emma Ferris '15 [12]
Michael Popp '16 [13-14]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 3 3 9 3 11 10 4 6 3 4 10 12 14 94 Fletcher Sims '14 [1-14]
Kelley Merryman '14 [1-12]
Thad Bench '15 [13-14]
Boston University Boston University Terriers 4 12 8 10 11 4 1 2 8 4 3 5 11 13 96 Cameron Fraser '14 [1-14]
Kayla Lynch '16 [1-12]
Justin Kusiel '14 [13-14]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 12 8 1 1 12 1 3 10 13 5 8 9 5 8 96 George Kutschenreuter '15 [1-14]
Katie Hall '16 [1-10]
Charles Bocklet '18 [11-14]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 3 5 DSQ 8 14 8 6 5 14 11 10 7 4 6 116 Eddie Cox '16 [1-14]
Jane Rew '14 [1-12]
Julia Oak '14 [13-14]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 14 13 2 2 7 12 12 14 9 12 11 4 6 4 122 Nick Valente '16 [1-14]
Jonathan O'Connell '15 [1-10]
Carly Mayhood '17 [11-14]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 5 7 13 4 6 13 9 9 2 7 14 14 14 11 128 Alex Ramos '15 [1-14]
Karinne Smolenyak '15 [1-11]
Zach Nerod '17 [12-14]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 13 10 11 6 4 9 14 11 4 6 12 8 13 10 131 Dominique Wright '15 [1-14]
Darcy Jensen '16 [1-6]
Charlie Bess '17 [7-14]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 10 11 12 14 9 6 13 12 7 9 6 11 9 3 132 Michael Croteau '15
Julia Rew '16
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 9 14 10 11 8 14 7 6 10 13 9 13 8 9 141 Scott Barbano '17 [1-14]
Caroline Atwood '16 [1-11]
Kate Wasynczuk '16 [12-14]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 11 9 9 13 5 10 8 13 12 14 13 12 10 12 151 Tony Collins '15 [1-6]
Alejandro Monllor '17 [7-14]
Sarah Hanson '16 [1-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 11 1 6 10 6 2 1 4 2 1 8 6 5 6 69 Mary Hall '15 [1-14]
Elizabeth Morrison '14 [1-10]
Connor Hendi '15 [11-14]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 3 8 1 1 3 5 8 2 6 4 6 7 7 10 71 Elliott Morrill '15 [1-14]
Julia Oak '14 [1-12]
Adam Schaefer '17 [13-14]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 10 2 12 1 1 10 10 1 2 5 1 2 14 72 Ryan Davidson '16 [1-14]
Emily Stuart '16 [1-10]
Rebekah Schiff '16 [11]
Roy Shaw '14 [12-14]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 7 3 3 2 2 3 5 3 11 8 2 8 4 13 74 Alex Post '15
Bettina Redway '16
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 4 2 7 8 5 8 2 6 7 11 3 9 9 4 85 Edmund Cooper '17 [1-14]
Mariah Leffingwell '16 [1-12]
Natasha Skaalrud '16 [13-14]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 2 13 5 4 8 6 7 5 4 5 9 13 11 5 97 Andrea Luna '15 [1-14]
Chloe Constants '14 [1-10]
Rachel Austin '14 [11-14]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 6 6 12 3 7 11 9 11 14 6 1 2 6 3 97 Ryan Seago '14 [1-14]
Elizabeth Wallace '15 [1-12]
Karinne Smolenyak '15 [13-14]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 5 7 8 6 13 7 4 8 10 7 12 4 8 7 106 Michael Lee '14 [1-10]
Connor Trepton '15 [11-14]
Katrina Debbink '15 [1-10]
Jennifer Burke '16 [11-14]
Boston University Boston University Terriers 12 14 4 14 11 14 6 1 3 14 4 12 1 2 112 Ryan Astwood '16
Margaret Swanson '16
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 9 9 10 5 9 4 11 14 9 3 14 14 3 1 115 Robert Savoie '14
Jessica Resnick '16
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 8 4 9 7 12 9 3 7 13 13 13 10 10 8 126 Maryclaire Kiernan '17 [1-14]
Kate Wasynczuk '16 [1-10]
Amanda Sommi '16 [11-14]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 14 5 11 9 14 10 13 12 8 9 7 3 14 12 141 Kaylee Schwitzer '15 [1-8]
Peter Edmunds '14 [9-14]
Paige Speight '16 [1-8]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 10 12 13 13 4 13 14 9 5 10 11 11 13 9 147 Colleen Hartman '13 [1-14]
Katie Berg '17 [1-5]
Charlie Bess '17 [6]
Darcy Jensen '16 [7-14]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 13 11 14 11 10 12 12 13 12 12 10 5 12 11 158 Julia Paxton '14
James Lane '17
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 2 2 1 2 4 2 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 25 Enrique Arathoon '16
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 6 1 3 5 2 3 1 2 6 2 3 2 2 40 Alp Rodopman '17
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 10 3 8 2 9 3 12 5 5 7 5 2 3 3 77 Philip Youngberg '15
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 13 4 3 4 3 6 4 2 8 2 10 5 6 8 78 Matthew Lyons '17
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 3 7 6 7 1 10 8 4 1 12 3 11 13 11 97 Paul Perry '15
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 6 5 7 5 8 7 9 7 10 4 9 8 7 12 104 Daniel Lochner '15
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 4 9 10 6 4 1 6 13 9 10 12 10 10 4 108 Timothy Siemers '16
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 7 1 11 8 12 5 7 8 4 3 8 13 12 9 108 Kyle Burgess '17
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 9 12 5 14 6 8 11 9 7 9 4 4 9 5 112 John Labossiere '17
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 5 8 9 11 14 12 10 11 11 11 7 6 5 6 126 Matthew Ripkey '17
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 12 10 14 13 13 14 5 6 6 5 BKD 9 8 13 138 Sean Burke '17
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 14 13 4 12 11 9 13 12 13 13 6 7 4 7 138 Ben Wilkinson '17
Boston University Boston University Terriers 11 14 13 9 7 11 1 10 12 8 11 12 11 10 140 Brendan Cook '16
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 8 11 12 10 10 13 14 14 14 14 13 DNF DNF DNF 178 Thomas Etheridge '16 [1-6]
Taylor Bradford '15 [7-14]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 7 7 8 1 7 2 4 3 1 2 1 3 2 1 49 Reed Baldridge '16
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 2 2 9 3 3 3 1 5 3 3 4 BKD 4 7 53 Jack Mcguire '17
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 1 1 4 2 6 7 7 1 2 6 6 2 5 6 56 Nathan Fields '17
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 3 8 1 8 5 1 11 6 9 9 3 4 3 4 75 Arielle Delisser '14
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 6 9 13 6 4 4 9 8 5 5 2 1 1 2 75 James Beatty '17
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 4 5 5 11 2 5 2 2 4 4 9 8 7 8 76 Marissa Lihan '14
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 5 4 2 4 1 6 6 9 6 1 8 9 11 11 83 Massimo Mazzolini '17
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 8 3 3 5 8 10 5 4 11 7 5 5 6 3 83 Catherine Shanahan '15
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 11 10 7 9 11 9 3 10 7 8 7 10 9 9 120 Jason D'Agostino '17
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 10 12 6 7 10 11 12 7 10 11 11 11 8 13 139 Alison Knoles '17
Boston University Boston University Terriers 12 6 11 12 12 8 8 11 12 12 12 13 10 10 149 Michael Saldi '15
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 9 11 10 10 13 13 13 12 8 10 10 12 13 12 156 John Nothacker '16
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 13 13 12 13 9 12 10 13 14 13 13 7 12 5 159 Nathan Jamieson '17
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 13 14 14 14 DNF DNF 197 Hubbard Velie '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2012 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers11223344556677
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears221114141313121211111010
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars33445566778899
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons44332211141413131212
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas556677889910101111
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen6655443322111414
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines12121111101099887766
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen1111121213131414112233
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers88776655443322
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs7788991010111112121313
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls131314141122334455
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks991010111112121313141411
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1010998877665544
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers141413131212111110109988

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers11223344556677
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears221114141313121211111010
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars33445566778899
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons44332211141413131212
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas556677889910101111
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen6655443322111414
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines12121111101099887766
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen1111121213131414112233
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers88776655443322
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs7788991010111112121313
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls131314141122334455
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks991010111112121313141411
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1010998877665544
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers141413131212111110109988

Division C

Team1C2C3C4C5C6C7C8C9C10C11C12C13C14C
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers11223344556677
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears221114141313121211111010
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars33445566778899
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons44332211141413131212
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas556677889910101111
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen6655443322111414
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines12121111101099887766
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen1111121213131414112233
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers88776655443322
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs7788991010111112121313
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls131314141122334455
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks991010111112121313141411
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1010998877665544
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers141413131212111110109988

Division D

Team1D2D3D4D5D6D7D8D9D10D11D12D13D14D
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers11223344556677
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears221114141313121211111010
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars33445566778899
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons44332211141413131212
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas556677889910101111
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen6655443322111414
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines12121111101099887766
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen1111121213131414112233
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers88776655443322
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs7788991010111112121313
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls131314141122334455
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks991010111112121313141411
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1010998877665544
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers141413131212111110109988
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston University Boston University Cameron Fraser '14 [1-14] Kayla Lynch '16 [1-12]
Justin Kusiel '14 [13-14]
Terriers Ryan Astwood '16 Margaret Swanson '16
Brendan Cook '16
Michael Saldi '15
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Michael Croteau '15 Julia Rew '16
Polar Bears Kaylee Schwitzer '15 [1-8]
Peter Edmunds '14 [9-14]
Paige Speight '16 [1-8]
Matthew Lyons '17
Jack Mcguire '17
College of Charleston College of Charleston Jake Reynolds '16 [1-14] Alicia Blumenthal '15 [1-12]
Rebekah Schiff '16 [13-14]
Cougars Ryan Davidson '16 [1-14] Emily Stuart '16 [1-10]
Rebekah Schiff '16 [11]
Roy Shaw '14 [12-14]
Enrique Arathoon '16
Reed Baldridge '16
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tony Collins '15 [1-6]
Alejandro Monllor '17 [7-14]
Sarah Hanson '16 [1-6]
Tritons Robert Savoie '14 Jessica Resnick '16
Timothy Siemers '16
Jason D'Agostino '17
Georgetown University Georgetown University Nevin Snow '16 [1-14] Katia Dasilva '15 [1-12]
Jack Welty '16 [13-14]
Hoyas Alex Post '15 Bettina Redway '16
John Labossiere '17
Massimo Mazzolini '17
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Eddie Cox '16 [1-14] Jane Rew '14 [1-12]
Julia Oak '14 [13-14]
Statesmen Elliott Morrill '15 [1-14] Julia Oak '14 [1-12]
Adam Schaefer '17 [13-14]
Sean Burke '17
Arielle Delisser '14
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Esteban Forrer '16 [1-14] Julia Wiesner '14 [1-11]
Gabriel Smith '17 [12-14]
Monarchs Andrea Luna '15 [1-14] Chloe Constants '14 [1-10]
Rachel Austin '14 [11-14]
Daniel Lochner '15
Nathan Fields '17
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Nick Valente '16 [1-14] Jonathan O'Connell '15 [1-10]
Carly Mayhood '17 [11-14]
Privateers Julia Paxton '14 James Lane '17
Ben Wilkinson '17
John Nothacker '16
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Fletcher Sims '14 [1-14] Kelley Merryman '14 [1-12]
Thad Bench '15 [13-14]
Seahawks Edmund Cooper '17 [1-14] Mariah Leffingwell '16 [1-12]
Natasha Skaalrud '16 [13-14]
Kyle Burgess '17
Catherine Shanahan '15
Tufts University Tufts University Scott Barbano '17 [1-14] Caroline Atwood '16 [1-11]
Kate Wasynczuk '16 [12-14]
Jumbos Maryclaire Kiernan '17 [1-14] Kate Wasynczuk '16 [1-10]
Amanda Sommi '16 [11-14]
Alp Rodopman '17
James Beatty '17
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Michael Grove '14 [1-14] Alexandra Asuncion '15 [1-11]
Emma Ferris '15 [12]
Michael Popp '16 [13-14]
Midshipmen Mary Hall '15 [1-14] Elizabeth Morrison '14 [1-10]
Connor Hendi '15 [11-14]
Philip Youngberg '15
Marissa Lihan '14
University of Michigan University of Michigan Alex Ramos '15 [1-14] Karinne Smolenyak '15 [1-11]
Zach Nerod '17 [12-14]
Wolverines Ryan Seago '14 [1-14] Elizabeth Wallace '15 [1-12]
Karinne Smolenyak '15 [13-14]
Thomas Etheridge '16 [1-6]
Taylor Bradford '15 [7-14]
Hubbard Velie '17
University of South Florida University of South Florida Dominique Wright '15 [1-14] Darcy Jensen '16 [1-6]
Charlie Bess '17 [7-14]
Bulls Colleen Hartman '13 [1-14] Katie Berg '17 [1-5]
Charlie Bess '17 [6]
Darcy Jensen '16 [7-14]
Paul Perry '15
Alison Knoles '17
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin George Kutschenreuter '15 [1-14] Katie Hall '16 [1-10]
Charles Bocklet '18 [11-14]
Badgers Michael Lee '14 [1-10]
Connor Trepton '15 [11-14]
Katrina Debbink '15 [1-10]
Jennifer Burke '16 [11-14]
Matthew Ripkey '17
Nathan Jamieson '17

Conditions — 04/12/2014 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 55%  ·  Pressure 1023.5 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 62°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.9 kn
avg  ·  max 6.2 kn
Gusts to 11.1 kn
From ESE (108°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover15% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity55% Pressure1023.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 4 kn · S 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Navy: a favourites’ day (+0.09)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.13 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.13 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Navy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (114 labelled days at Navy).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →