U. S. Naval Academy '15
How much better or worse boats do with this sailor crewing than their skipper's rating predicts, shown on the skipper scale so crews can be lined up across teams. Percentiles compare against rostered crews that season (league) or teammates (team).
How crew ratings work →Crew effect over their whole career, not scaled to a team: 93.20 percentile among ICSA crews with 30+ races. Uncertainty ±0.077 rating points from 317 races with rated skippers.
How crew ratings work →No season rating yet: needs 8+ crewed races in a season.
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singlehanded | 1.93 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 95 | Fall 2014 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.72 (fleet 2.37) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as crew 40–39 (51%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2015 | 3 | — | 22–26 |
| Spring 2014 | 3 | — | 18–13 |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 6 graded regattas (79 matches) the record is 40–39 against 41.4 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−1.4). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 2 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 2 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-05-29 | LaserPerformance Team Race National Championships | crew | 3.70 | 3.07 | 7–9 | 8.4 | −0.63 | 0.6 | 90% |
| 2015-03-28 | 2015 Aaron Szambecki Team Race | crew | 3.71 | 3.03 | 6–11 | 8.1 | −0.69 | 1.0 | 93% |
| 2015-03-21 | Graham Hall Team Race | crew | 3.68 | 3.62 | 9–6 | 9.2 | −0.05 | 0.0 | 65% |
| 2014-05-31 | APS Team Race National Championship | crew | 3.77 | 4.19 | 4–3 | 3.6 | +0.42 | 0.1 | 52% |
| 2014-03-08 | St. Mary's Team Race | crew | 3.18 | 3.53 | 7–7 | 6.1 | +0.35 | 0.2 | 39% |
| 2014-03-01 | Georgetown Team Race | crew | 2.95 | 3.45 | 7–3 | 6.1 | +0.50 | 0.3 | 39% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2015 Team page Season | |||||
| Sperry Women's Western Semifinal Women's | Crew | A | 8 | 4.2 | — |
| Navy Spring Women's Women's | Crew | A | 5 | 8.0 | — |
| Navy Spring | Crew | A | 9 | 7.0 | — |
| MAISA Women's Dinghy Championships Women's | Crew | A | 12 | 1.7 | — |
| LaserPerformance Team Race National Championships | Crew | TR | 15 | 47% | — |
| Graham Hall Team Race | Crew | TR | 18 | 50% | — |
| Gill Coed Eastern Semifinals | Crew | A | 4 | 5.8 | — |
| Charleston Women's Women's | Skipper | B | 14 | 7.7 | 2.23 |
| America Trophy/MAISA Dinghy Champs | Crew | B | 6 | 4.8 | — |
| Sperry ICSA Women’s National Championship Women's | Crew | B | 13 | 12.5 | — |
| Gill College Sailing Coed National Championship | Crew | A | 15 | 8.1 | — |
| 2015 Aaron Szambecki Team Race | Crew | TR | 23 | 30% | — |
| Fall 2014 Team page Season | |||||
| War Memorial | Crew | A | 2 | 10.5 | — |
| Stu Nelson Women's | Skipper | B | 9 | 11.0 | 2.15 |
| Radial Open Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 8 | 8.0 | 2.62 |
| Navy Fall Women's Women's | Skipper | C | 15 | 6.5 | 2.73 |
| Navy Fall | Crew | A | 3 | 11.3 | — |
| MAISA Women's Fall Dinghy Women's | Crew | A | 11 | 2.3 | — |
| Women's Singlehanded Nationals Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 5 | 13.2 | 1.83 |
| Hatch Brown Trophy | Crew | A | 17 | 9.8 | — |
| Faye Bennet MAISA Women's Singles Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 9 | 5.3 | 3.52 |
| Atlantic Coast Women's Championship Women's | Crew | A | 18 | 5.2 | — |
| Spring 2014 Team page Season | |||||
| Truxtun Umsted | Crew | A | 1 | 3.0 | — |
| St. Mary's Women's Inter-Conference Women's | Crew | A | 18 | 7.3 | — |
| St. Mary's Team Race | Crew | TR | 14 | 50% | — |
| Sperry Women's Western Semifinal Women's | Crew | A | 3 | 5.3 | — |
| Sperry Top-Sider Women's Nationals Women's | Crew | B | 10 | 9.3 | — |
| MAISA Women's Championship Women's | Crew | B | 4 | 3.5 | — |
| Gill National Championship Finals | Crew | A | 1 | 10.0 | — |
| Georgetown Team Race | Crew | TR | 10 | 70% | — |
| Emily Wick Trophy Women's | Crew | A | 6 | 10.0 | — |
| APS Team Race National Championship | Crew | TR | 22 | 64% | — |
| America Trophy | Crew | A | 8 | 7.4 | — |
| Fall 2013 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Atlantic Coast Championship Women's | Crew | A | 4 | 7.0 | — |
| War Memorial | Crew | A | 2 | 7.0 | — |
| South #1 Dinghy Qualifier | Skipper | B | 11 | 5.2 | 2.52 |
| Radial Open Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 17 | 10.9 | 1.80 |
| Moody | Crew | A | 5 | 7.8 | — |
| Faye Bennet Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 16 | 9.4 | 2.00 |
| Fall 2012 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Atlantic Coast Championship Women's | Crew | B | 4 | 6.5 | — |
| Victorian Coffee Urn Women's | Crew | B | 7 | 8.3 | — |
| Stu Nelson Trophy Women's | Skipper | B | 18 | 10.6 | 1.81 |
| Radial Open Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 16 | 13.0 | 0.99 |
| Navy Fall Women's Women's | Skipper | B | 16 | 10.9 | 1.60 |
| Mrs. Hurst Bowl Women's | Crew | B | 12 | 8.6 | — |
| MAISA Women's Fall Dinghy Champs Women's | Crew | B | 7 | 4.1 | — |
| Faye Bennet MAISA Womens Singles Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 16 | 11.8 | 1.16 |
| Central Fall #2 | Skipper | B | 9 | 4.6 | 1.36 |
| Spring 2012 Team page Season | |||||
| USF Women's Intersectional Women's | Crew | B | 16 | 8.2 | — |
| Sperry Top-Sider Women's Finals Women's | Crew | B | 13 | 9.3 | — |
| Navy Women's Women's | Crew | B | 20 | 9.0 | — |
| MAISA Women's Dinghy Championship Women's | Crew | B | 12 | 3.2 | — |
| Emily Wick Trophy Women's | Crew | B | 17 | 9.5 | — |
| Dellenbaugh Women's Regatta Women's | Crew | B | 12 | 10.8 | — |
| Charleston Womens Women's | Crew | B | 12 | 9.2 | — |
| Fall 2011 Team page Season | |||||
| WAC Open/Central Fall #2 | Skipper | B | 10 | 5.6 | 0.89 |
| Radial Open Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 8 | 9.1 | 1.75 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
