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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 13 48 61
2 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 34 45 79
3 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 49 36 85
4 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 51 52 103
5 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 62 49 111
6 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 63 58 121
7 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 53 78 131
8 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 90 43 133
9 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 79 58 137
10 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 74 87 161
11 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 91 72 163
12 Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 72 93 165
13 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 98 82 180
14 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 102 94 196
15 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 121 90 211
16 University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 72 140 212
17 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 106 116 222
18 Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 122 129 251
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 1 1 4 1 1 1 2 13 Nevin Snow '16
Katia Dasilva '15
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 3 2 4 16 2 4 2 1 34 Olin Paine '16
Jamie Spence '18
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 5 10 2 7 9 7 BKD 3 49 Nick Valente '16
Caitlin Cummings '18
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 1 4 7 2 3 2 17 15 51 Esteban Forrer '16
Gabriel Smith '17
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 9 14 6 1 4 6 7 6 53 Charles Lomax '18 [1-8]
Clara Ashton '18 [1-2]
Patrick Scollard '17 [3-8]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 8 13 8 6 12 3 4 8 62 Mary Hall '15 [1-8]
Emma Ferris '15 [1-2]
Patrick Snow '17 [3-8]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 6 3 9 5 15 8 5 12 63 Alexander Curtiss '16
Mariah Leffingwell '16
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 7 16 3 8 7 5 10 16 72 Veronica Maccari '17
Cristina Ortiz Vivas '18
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 14 8 11 9 5 9 11 5 72 Griffin Orr '15 [1-8]
Jessica Abriss '18 [1-2]
Cem Ayanoglu '15 [3-8]
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 15 11 5 15 11 10 3 4 74 Ryan Bailey '15
Karlyn Long '17
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 11 9 12 3 6 15 6 17 79 Jack Swikart '15 [1-8]
Catie Hopkins '17 [1-4]
Cary Kane '17 [5-8]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 10 5 10 18 14 11 13 9 90 Eddie Cox '16 [1-8]
Morgan Gaudet '18 [1-2]
Elliott Morrill '15 [3-4]
Haley Okun '18 [5-8]
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 4 15 13 17 10 17 8 7 91 Brendan Shanahan '17 [1-6]
Kai Friesecke '18 [7-8]
Miranda Bakos '18 [1-4]
Matthew Ricci '15 [5-6]
Henry Young '16 [7-8]
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 17 7 14 13 8 13 16 10 98 Cody Stansky '16
Taylor Reiss '18
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 12 6 15 12 17 12 15 13 102 Matthew Schofield '17
Claire Riedman '16
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains BKD BKD 18 10 13 16 9 14 106 Austin Powers '17
Nina Heatfield '17
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 16 17 17 14 18 14 14 11 121 Christopher Craven '16
Olivia Bicks '17
Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 18 12 16 11 16 18 12 RAF 122 Domenic Re '15 [1-8]
Elisabeth Day '18 [1-6]
Austin Tipp '18 [7-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 3 5 5 12 1 6 1 3 36 Zachary Hill '18 [1-8]
Christopher Whalen '15 [1-6]
James Lane '17 [7-8]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 1 2 4 2 5 16 6 7 43 Greiner Hobbs '18 [1-8]
Parker Trepton '18 [1-6]
Noah Barrengos Barrengos '18 [7-8]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 12 1 2 11 10 3 4 2 45 Alecsander Tayler '17 [1-8]
Connor Murphy '16 [1-2]
Emma Huntress '16 [3-6]
Will Holz '17 [7-8]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 9 3 1 5 11 5 3 11 48 Alex Post '15 [1-8]
Katie Olsen '15 [1-2]
Bettina Redway '16 [3-6]
Aj Reiter '17 [7-8]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 6 6 8 14 4 4 2 5 49 Michael Popp '16 [1-8]
Connor Hendi '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Alexandra Asuncion '15 [3-4]
Philip Youngberg '15 [7-8]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 8 11 3 1 7 11 10 1 52 Augie Dale '18 [1-7]
Daniel Lochner '15 [8]
Jason Bankert '18 [1-7]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 5 4 10 7 3 12 5 12 58 Drew Gallagher '18 [1-8]
Patricia Andrade '15 [1-6]
Foster Collins '16 [7-8]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 7 14 9 6 2 2 12 6 58 Nicholas Clemence '15 [1-4]
Chase Quinn '17 [5-6]
Markus Edegran '16 [7-8]
Catherine Shanahan '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Shelby Jacobs '17 [3-4]
Thad Bench '15 [7-8]
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 2 10 16 8 9 10 13 4 72 Roger Dorr '18 [1-6]
Daniel Delbello '17 [7-8]
Isabel Strachan '18 [1-4]
Miranda Bakos '18 [5-6]
Henry Young '16 [7-8]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 14 15 6 3 8 14 9 9 78 Andrew Bates '15 [1-2]
Max Neubelt '17 [3-8]
Cara Halm '16 [1-2]
Vincent Storino '18 [3-6]
Andrew Bates '15 [7-8]
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 10 12 11 4 12 9 11 13 82 Casey Brown '16 [1-8]
Sean Walker '18 [1-6]
Zachary Backas '16 [7-8]
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 15 9 13 13 6 7 14 10 87 Eric Siegel '16 [1-6]
Eleanor Conroy '15 [7-8]
Matthew Mcdermaid '17 [1-6]
Eric Siegel '16 [7-8]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 11 8 12 9 15 1 17 17 90 Samuel Patterson '16 [1-8]
Eliza Schuett '17 [1-6]
Erick Chiroles '15 [7-8]
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 4 7 15 10 14 13 15 15 93 Maximilian Kuester '18 [1-8]
Albert Berk Toledo '15 [1-6]
Joshua Williams '16 [7-8]
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 13 13 7 15 17 8 7 14 94 Connor Kelter '18 [1-8]
Alex Gatto '15 [1-2]
Julie Barbera '17 [3-6]
Max Joh-Carnella '16 [7-8]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 16 16 14 16 13 17 16 8 116 Xander Van Beurden '18 [1-8]
Kaitlin Welker '17 [1-6, 8]
Julia Davis '16 [7]
Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 18 17 18 18 16 18 8 16 129 David Alldian '17 [1-8]
Julianna Lee '17 [1-4]
John Dyment '18 [5-8]
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 17 18 17 17 18 15 RAF DNS 140 Rory Mess '16 [1-8]
Emily Hann '17 [1-2]
Richard Girardin '17 [3-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.250+0.25
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2012 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Bulls13131515171711
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains11335577
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red22181816161414
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams33557799
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials442218181616
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas5577991111
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates6644221818
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen779911111313
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners1111131315151717
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen121210108866
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers99111113131515
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs88664422
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers14141212101088
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks1010886644
Villanova UniversityVillanova University Wildcats1616141412121010
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos151517171133
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1717113355
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers1818161614141212

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Bulls14141616181822
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains22446688
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red11171715151313
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams4466881010
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials331117171515
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas668810101212
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates5533111717
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen88101012121414
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners1212141416161818
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen1111997755
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers1010121214141616
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs77553311
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers131311119977
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks99775533
Villanova UniversityVillanova University Wildcats15151313111199
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos161618182244
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1818224466
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers1717151513131111
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Austin Powers '17 Nina Heatfield '17
Captains Xander Van Beurden '18 [1-8] Kaitlin Welker '17 [1-6, 8]
Julia Davis '16 [7]
Cornell University Cornell University Matthew Schofield '17 Claire Riedman '16
Big Red Connor Kelter '18 [1-8] Alex Gatto '15 [1-2]
Julie Barbera '17 [3-6]
Max Joh-Carnella '16 [7-8]
Fordham University Fordham University Olin Paine '16 Jamie Spence '18
Rams Alecsander Tayler '17 [1-8] Connor Murphy '16 [1-2]
Emma Huntress '16 [3-6]
Will Holz '17 [7-8]
George Washington University George Washington University Brendan Shanahan '17 [1-6]
Kai Friesecke '18 [7-8]		 Miranda Bakos '18 [1-4]
Matthew Ricci '15 [5-6]
Henry Young '16 [7-8]
Colonials Roger Dorr '18 [1-6]
Daniel Delbello '17 [7-8]		 Isabel Strachan '18 [1-4]
Miranda Bakos '18 [5-6]
Henry Young '16 [7-8]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Nevin Snow '16 Katia Dasilva '15
Hoyas Alex Post '15 [1-8] Katie Olsen '15 [1-2]
Bettina Redway '16 [3-6]
Aj Reiter '17 [7-8]
Hampton University Hampton University Veronica Maccari '17 Cristina Ortiz Vivas '18
Pirates Maximilian Kuester '18 [1-8] Albert Berk Toledo '15 [1-6]
Joshua Williams '16 [7-8]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Eddie Cox '16 [1-8] Morgan Gaudet '18 [1-2]
Elliott Morrill '15 [3-4]
Haley Okun '18 [5-8]
Statesmen Greiner Hobbs '18 [1-8] Parker Trepton '18 [1-6]
Noah Barrengos Barrengos '18 [7-8]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Esteban Forrer '16 Gabriel Smith '17
Monarchs Augie Dale '18 [1-7]
Daniel Lochner '15 [8]		 Jason Bankert '18 [1-7]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Nick Valente '16 Caitlin Cummings '18
Privateers Zachary Hill '18 [1-8] Christopher Whalen '15 [1-6]
James Lane '17 [7-8]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Alexander Curtiss '16 Mariah Leffingwell '16
Seahawks Nicholas Clemence '15 [1-4]
Chase Quinn '17 [5-6]
Markus Edegran '16 [7-8]		 Catherine Shanahan '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Shelby Jacobs '17 [3-4]
Thad Bench '15 [7-8]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Charles Lomax '18 [1-8] Clara Ashton '18 [1-2]
Patrick Scollard '17 [3-8]
Mariners Andrew Bates '15 [1-2]
Max Neubelt '17 [3-8]		 Cara Halm '16 [1-2]
Vincent Storino '18 [3-6]
Andrew Bates '15 [7-8]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Mary Hall '15 [1-8] Emma Ferris '15 [1-2]
Patrick Snow '17 [3-8]
Midshipmen Michael Popp '16 [1-8] Connor Hendi '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Alexandra Asuncion '15 [3-4]
Philip Youngberg '15 [7-8]
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Griffin Orr '15 [1-8] Jessica Abriss '18 [1-2]
Cem Ayanoglu '15 [3-8]
Bulls Rory Mess '16 [1-8] Emily Hann '17 [1-2]
Richard Girardin '17 [3-8]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Jack Swikart '15 [1-8] Catie Hopkins '17 [1-4]
Cary Kane '17 [5-8]
Quakers Drew Gallagher '18 [1-8] Patricia Andrade '15 [1-6]
Foster Collins '16 [7-8]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Christopher Craven '16 Olivia Bicks '17
Wahoos Samuel Patterson '16 [1-8] Eliza Schuett '17 [1-6]
Erick Chiroles '15 [7-8]
Villanova University Villanova University Domenic Re '15 [1-8] Elisabeth Day '18 [1-6]
Austin Tipp '18 [7-8]
Wildcats David Alldian '17 [1-8] Julianna Lee '17 [1-4]
John Dyment '18 [5-8]
Washington College Washington College Ryan Bailey '15 Karlyn Long '17
Shoremen Eric Siegel '16 [1-6]
Eleanor Conroy '15 [7-8]		 Matthew Mcdermaid '17 [1-6]
Eric Siegel '16 [7-8]
Webb Institute Webb Institute Cody Stansky '16 Taylor Reiss '18
Clippers Casey Brown '16 [1-8] Sean Walker '18 [1-6]
Zachary Backas '16 [7-8]

Conditions — 11/01/2014 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 85%  ·  Pressure 1009.1 hPa

Temperature

46°F
↑ 49°F   ↓ 43°F
Feels like 36°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
16.1 kn
avg  ·  max 18.1 kn
Gusts to 32.3 kn
From N (4°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover99% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity85% Pressure1009.1 hPa Rain0.38 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 15 kn · NW 19 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at NY Maritime: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.13 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.18 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at NY Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (32 labelled days at NY Maritime).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →