St. Mary's College of Maryland '15
How much better or worse boats do with this sailor crewing than their skipper's rating predicts, shown on the skipper scale so crews can be lined up across teams. Percentiles compare against rostered crews that season (league) or teammates (team).
How crew ratings work →Crew effect over their whole career, not scaled to a team: 36.61 percentile among ICSA crews with 30+ races. Uncertainty ±0.102 rating points from 62 races with rated skippers.
How crew ratings work →No season rating yet: needs 8+ crewed races in a season.
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singlehanded | 2.67 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 106 | Fall 2014 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.34 (fleet 3.23) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as crew 20–3 (87%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2015 | 1 | — | 12–2 |
| Spring 2014 | 2 | — | 7–1 |
| Spring 2013 | 1 | — | 1–0 |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (20 matches) the record is 17–3 against 12.9 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+4.1). 2 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 4 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-04-11 | Captain "Joe" Prosser Trophy | crew | 3.45 | 4.55 | 12–2 | 9.9 | +1.10 | 1.5 | 15% |
| 2014-03-22 | 2014 Aaron Szambecki Team Race | crew | 3.84 | 5.50 | 5–1 | 3.0 | +1.66 | 2.1 | 11% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2015 Team page Season | |||||
| St. Mary's Women's Women's | Skipper | A | 14 | 11.0 | 2.79 |
| Sperry Women's Eastern Semifinal Women's | Skipper | A | 13 | 6.2 | 3.45 |
| ODU Open | Skipper | A | 12 | 4.8 | 3.22 |
| Navy Spring Women's Women's | Skipper | A | 5 | 12.4 | 2.54 |
| Navy Spring | Skipper | B | 9 | 8.9 | 3.13 |
| MAISA Women's Dinghy Championships Women's | Skipper | A | 12 | 5.1 | 3.40 |
| Gill Coed Western Semifinals | Crew | A | 6 | 4.2 | — |
| Dellenbaugh Women's Trophy Women's | Skipper | A | 6 | 7.5 | 3.74 |
| Captain "Joe" Prosser Trophy | Crew | TR | 14 | 86% | — |
| Sperry ICSA Women’s National Championship Women's | Skipper | A | 18 | 10.9 | 3.18 |
| Gill College Sailing Coed National Championship | Crew | A | 2 | 12.5 | — |
| Fall 2014 Team page Season | |||||
| War Memorial | Crew | B | 4 | 6.2 | — |
| Navy Fall Women's Women's | Skipper | C | 15 | 3.3 | 3.81 |
| MAISA Women's Fall Dinghy Women's | Skipper | A | 14 | 5.3 | 2.99 |
| Women's Singlehanded Nationals Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 5 | 5.0 | 4.11 |
| Faye Bennet MAISA Women's Singles Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 9 | 6.1 | 3.20 |
| 35th Yale Women's Intersectional Women's | Skipper | A | 14 | 7.9 | 3.51 |
| Spring 2014 Team page Season | |||||
| Truxtun Umsted | Skipper | D | 14 | 5.9 | 3.02 |
| ODU Spring Open | Skipper | B | 10 | 3.5 | 3.15 |
| Navy Women's Women's | Skipper | A | 12 | 11.4 | 2.68 |
| MAISA Women's Championship Women's | Skipper | A | 6 | 6.7 | 2.49 |
| Graham Hall Team Race | Crew | TR | 15 | 73% | — |
| Gill National Championship Finals | Crew | B | 2 | 5.0 | — |
| America Trophy | Crew | A | 2 | 3.5 | — |
| 2014 Aaron Szambecki Team Race | Crew | TR | 21 | 76% | — |
| Fall 2013 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Atlantic Coast Championship Women's | Crew | A | 11 | 13.0 | — |
| War Memorial | Crew | A | 2 | 3.5 | — |
| 64th Nevins Trophy | Crew | A | 6 | 10.8 | — |
| Navy Fall Women's Women's | Skipper | C | 18 | 6.1 | 3.01 |
| Navy Fall | Skipper | D | 20 | 9.3 | 2.92 |
| MAISA Women's Fall Championship Women's | Crew | A | 10 | 7.4 | — |
| ICSA/LP Women's Singlehanded Champs Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 18 | 7.6 | 3.28 |
| Faye Bennet Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 16 | 5.9 | 3.04 |
| Spring 2013 Team page Season | |||||
| Truxtun Umsted | Skipper | D | 12 | 9.8 | 2.69 |
| ODU Spring Open | Crew | A | 11 | 4.6 | — |
| MAISA Women's Spring Dinghy Women's | Crew | A | 5 | 4.0 | — |
| Dellenbaugh Women's Trophy Women's | Skipper | A | 10 | 11.5 | 2.50 |
| Bob Bavier Team Race | Crew | TR | 9 | 44% | — |
| Fall 2012 Team page Season | |||||
| Radial Open Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 16 | 4.9 | 3.34 |
| Nevin's Trophy | Crew | B | 16 | 8.4 | — |
| Navy Fall Women's Women's | Skipper | C | 16 | 4.0 | 3.42 |
| MAISA Women's Fall Dinghy Champs Women's | Skipper | A | 3 | 4.3 | 3.10 |
| LP / ICSA Women's Singlehanded Nationals Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 18 | 8.1 | 2.66 |
| Faye Bennet MAISA Womens Singles Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 16 | 5.6 | 3.04 |
| 2012 Yale Women's Intersectional Women's | Skipper | B | 7 | 7.6 | 2.92 |
| Spring 2012 Team page Season | |||||
| St. Mary's Women's Women's | Skipper | B | 9 | 12.1 | 1.77 |
| Sperry Top-Sider Women's Semifinals Women's | Skipper | B | 9 | 10.0 | 1.99 |
| Sperry Top-Sider Women's Finals Women's | Skipper | B | 13 | 11.2 | 1.99 |
| ODU Spring Open | Skipper | B | 10 | 4.9 | 2.00 |
| Navy Women's Women's | Skipper | B | 20 | 10.9 | 2.08 |
| MAISA Women's Dinghy Championship Women's | Skipper | B | 12 | 4.7 | 2.22 |
| MAISA Spring Open | Skipper | B | 16 | 4.4 | 2.25 |
| Fall 2011 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Atlantic Coast Championship Women's | Skipper | B | 8 | 13.4 | 1.38 |
| Radial Open Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 8 | 4.6 | 3.03 |
| Navy Fall Women's Women's | Skipper | C | 6 | 4.3 | 3.60 |
| Navy Fall | Skipper | D | 8 | 10.2 | 1.95 |
| MAISA Women's Fall Women's | Skipper | B | 13 | 6.3 | 1.38 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
