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MAISA Women's Fall

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 34 38 72
2 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 59 51 110
3 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 60 61 121
4 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 81 54 135
5 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 74 76 150
6 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 69 82 151
7 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 81 79 160
8 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 102 102 204
9 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 105 108 213
10 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 115 123 238
11 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 129 135 264
12 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 137 135 272
13 University of Toronto University of Toronto True Blue 150 MRP 186 MRP 336 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 1 1 3 3 6 5 3 2 6 1 1 1 34 Sydney Bolger '12
Rebecca Evans '12
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 2 4 6 5 5 2 1 1 10 7 6 2 8 59 Arielle Delisser '14 [1-13]
Jane Rew '14 [1-4, 9-13]
Adele Huffine '14 [5-8]
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 4 2 3 7 2 4 6 9 6 3 7 3 BKD 60 Lauren Turner '13 [1-13]
Della Bradt '13 [1-8]
Lindsey Ludwig '14 [9-13]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 10 9 2 2 4 8 4 7 3 10 2 5 3 69 Kayla Mccomb '13
Ainsley Thomson '13
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 6 7 11 10 1 1 3 2 8 4 8 8 5 74 Julia Paxton '14
Emma Lamontagne '14
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 3 13 9 11 6 7 10 4 1 2 9 4 2 81 Mary Hall '15
Elizabeth Morrison '14
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 12 5 5 1 9 5 8 8 5 1 4 9 9 81 Corina Radtke '14 [1-13]
Jordan Stock '12 [1-8, 13]
Jessica Milligan '12 [9-12]
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 11 6 13 4 7 3 7 6 11 11 10 7 6 102 Mackenzie Needham '15
Blair Towers '15
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 7 11 4 9 13 9 11 10 7 5 3 6 10 105 Melissa Bermudez '12
Marie Johnson '12
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 5 3 12 6 10 11 2 5 12 13 11 13 12 115 Noel Ingalls '15
Erin Hofstetter '14
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 9 12 10 13 8 12 12 13 9 8 5 11 7 129 Mia Cooper '14
Mary Cervin '15
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 8 10 8 8 12 10 9 11 13 12 13 12 11 137 Lucy Cobbs '14
Greta Hayes '14
University of Toronto University of Toronto True Blue DNF 8 7 12 11 13 DNS 12 4 9 12 10 4 150 MRP Chantal Hearst '12
Amelia Leeksma '12
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 1 2 8 1 2 4 1 2 7 5 1 2 38 Amanda Taselaar '14 [1-13]
Margaret Totaro '13 [1-8]
Annalee Leggett '13 [9-13]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 5 4 3 2 8 7 2 2 1 2 12 2 1 51 Liana Folger '15 [1-13]
Jacqueline Day '14 [1-8]
Hannah Wittleder '15 [9-13]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 10 7 8 1 2 3 1 3 3 5 4 4 3 54 Marissa Lihan '14
Erica Leinmiller '13
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 3 5 7 5 7 5 5 5 9 1 2 3 4 61 Jennifer Borshoff '15 [1-13]
Rebecca Macies '14 [1-8]
Della Bradt '13 [9-13]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 7 10 5 4 3 1 9 4 7 4 10 7 5 76 Paige Conlin '14
Morgan Keating '13
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 6 6 4 7 4 4 6 6 10 8 6 6 6 79 Rachel Austin '14
Rachel Pokorny '12
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 4 11 6 3 5 6 3 7 6 6 9 8 8 82 Catherine Shanahan '15 [1-13]
Alicija Bulota '14 [1-8, 13]
Marina Carlson '12 [9-12]
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 1 2 1 6 6 8 8 8 12 11 13 12 DSQ 102 Eleanor Conroy '15 [1-10, 13]
Brogan Savage '15 [11-12]
Brogan Savage '15 [1-6, 9-10]
Erin Mcauliffe '14 [7-8, 11-12]
Mackenzie Needham '15 [13]
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 8 3 DNF 11 9 DNS BKD 12 4 3 1 10 11 108 Irene Jacqz '13
Alison Rosenfeld '13
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners DNF 9 DNF 9 10 9 7 9 11 9 7 5 10 123 Maggy Ashton '14 [1-13]
Marie Morrow '14 [1-2, 5-8]
Laurellee Kopras '12 [3-4, 9-13]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 9 8 DNF DNS DNS 11 11 10 8 12 8 9 7 135 Mary Hamilton '14 [1-13]
Jennifer Irwin '15 [1-4, 9-13]
Claire Sullivan '13 [5-8]
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 11 12 DNF 10 11 10 10 11 5 13 3 13 12 135 Sarah Gross '15
Elizabeth Smith '14
University of Toronto University of Toronto True Blue DNF DNS DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 13 10 11 11 9 186 MRP
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.180+0.18
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2011 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions1133557799111112
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red22446688101013131
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams33557799111112122
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas44668810101313113
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen55779911111212224
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners66881010131311335
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen77991111121222446
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers88101012121133557
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs99111113132244668
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers10101212113355779
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks111113132244668810
University of TorontoUniversity of Toronto True Blue131322446688101013
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1212113355779911

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions224466881010131312
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red33557799111112121
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams44668810101313112
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas55779911111212223
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen66881010131311334
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners77991111121222445
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen88101012121133556
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers99111113132244667
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs10101212113355778
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers11111313224466889
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks1212113355779910
University of TorontoUniversity of Toronto True Blue1133557799111113
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen131322446688101011
School / Team SkipperCrew
Columbia University Columbia University Melissa Bermudez '12 Marie Johnson '12
Lions Irene Jacqz '13 Alison Rosenfeld '13
Cornell University Cornell University Lauren Turner '13 [1-13] Della Bradt '13 [1-8]
Lindsey Ludwig '14 [9-13]
Big Red Jennifer Borshoff '15 [1-13] Rebecca Macies '14 [1-8]
Della Bradt '13 [9-13]
Fordham University Fordham University Mia Cooper '14 Mary Cervin '15
Rams Mary Hamilton '14 [1-13] Jennifer Irwin '15 [1-4, 9-13]
Claire Sullivan '13 [5-8]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Sydney Bolger '12 Rebecca Evans '12
Hoyas Amanda Taselaar '14 [1-13] Margaret Totaro '13 [1-8]
Annalee Leggett '13 [9-13]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Arielle Delisser '14 [1-13] Jane Rew '14 [1-4, 9-13]
Adele Huffine '14 [5-8]
Statesmen Liana Folger '15 [1-13] Jacqueline Day '14 [1-8]
Hannah Wittleder '15 [9-13]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Corina Radtke '14 [1-13] Jordan Stock '12 [1-8, 13]
Jessica Milligan '12 [9-12]
Monarchs Rachel Austin '14 Rachel Pokorny '12
Princeton University Princeton University Lucy Cobbs '14 Greta Hayes '14
Tigers Sarah Gross '15 Elizabeth Smith '14
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Julia Paxton '14 Emma Lamontagne '14
Privateers Paige Conlin '14 Morgan Keating '13
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Kayla Mccomb '13 Ainsley Thomson '13
Seahawks Catherine Shanahan '15 [1-13] Alicija Bulota '14 [1-8, 13]
Marina Carlson '12 [9-12]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Noel Ingalls '15 Erin Hofstetter '14
Mariners Maggy Ashton '14 [1-13] Marie Morrow '14 [1-2, 5-8]
Laurellee Kopras '12 [3-4, 9-13]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Mary Hall '15 Elizabeth Morrison '14
Midshipmen Marissa Lihan '14 Erica Leinmiller '13
University of Toronto University of Toronto Chantal Hearst '12 Amelia Leeksma '12
True Blue
Washington College Washington College Mackenzie Needham '15 Blair Towers '15
Shoremen Eleanor Conroy '15 [1-10, 13]
Brogan Savage '15 [11-12]		 Brogan Savage '15 [1-6, 9-10]
Erin Mcauliffe '14 [7-8, 11-12]
Mackenzie Needham '15 [13]

Conditions — 10/01/2011 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 88%  ·  Pressure 1011.3 hPa

Temperature

49°F
↑ 52°F   ↓ 45°F
Feels like 44°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.9 kn
avg  ·  max 11.7 kn
Gusts to 26.2 kn
From N (353°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity88% Pressure1011.3 hPa Rain0.10 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 16 kn · N 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Cornell: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.03
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.32 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Cornell by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (70 labelled days at Cornell).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →