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St. Mary's Women's

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 34 37 71
2 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 76 41 117
3 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 55 65 120
4 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 50 72 122
5 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 97 36 133
6 Brown University Brown University Bears 70 66 136
7 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 53 92 145
8 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 62 103 165
9 Boston College Boston College Eagles 92 89 181
10 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 78 106 184
11 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 85 109 194
12 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 101 94 195
13 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 108 96 204
14 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 134 76 210
15 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 106 109 215
16 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 119 99 218
17 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 98 129 227
18 Boston University Boston University Terriers 122 121 243
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 11 3 3 2 1 4 2 5 3 34 Sydney Bolger '12
Rebecca Evans '12
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 1 11 6 6 11 1 1 7 6 50 Emily Lambert '12
Alexandra Jumper '12
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 4 7 11 5 2 3 13 3 5 53 Amy Hawkins '12
Caroline Hall '12
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 7 1 5 7 6 14 7 4 4 55 Atlantic Brugman '13
Grace Medley '15
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 9 4 1 3 3 10 9 12 11 62 Mary Hall '15
Elizabeth Morrison '14
Brown University Brown University Bears 13 8 7 4 4 15 5 13 1 70 Emily Dellenbaugh '12
Margot Elmaleh '12
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 14 2 12 9 12 6 3 8 10 76 Marlena Fauer '14
Eugenia Custo Greig '14
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 8 10 9 12 14 2 6 2 15 78 Natalie Salk '13
Amelia Quinn '13
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 3 5 8 1 5 DSQ 17 11 16 85 Kayla Mccomb '13
Nicole Deangeli '14
Boston College Boston College Eagles 6 12 13 16 9 7 11 6 12 92 Briana Provancha '12
Elizabeth Barnard '15
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 10 6 4 15 17 9 10 17 9 97 Chandler Salisbury '13
Madilyn Gamble '13
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 12 18 16 18 10 5 4 1 14 98 Annie Schmidt '14
Adrienne White '13
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 5 15 10 10 13 16 15 15 2 101 Corey Hall '12
Alyssa Aitken '12
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 2 9 15 17 16 12 12 10 13 106 Jennifer Borshoff '15 [1-9]
Della Bradt '13 [1-7]
Erin Ahlers '13 [8-9]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 15 13 14 14 15 13 8 9 7 108 Corina Radtke '14
Shannon Wilkins '13
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 16 16 2 13 8 17 14 16 17 119 Liana Folger '15
Julia Oak '14
Boston University Boston University Terriers 18 17 18 11 7 11 18 14 8 122 Elizabeth Glivinski '14
Keeton Leisure '14
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 17 14 17 8 18 8 16 18 18 134 Emilie Mademann '12
Lissa Mcclung '14
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 1 1 1 1 4 10 4 1 13 36 Deirdre Lambert '15 [1-9]
Carissa Crawford '14 [1-6]
Catherine O'Sullivan '14 [7-9]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 4 4 12 2 2 1 7 3 37 Nancy Hagood '14
Victoria Lynch '13
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 5 2 5 11 7 3 3 3 2 41 Morgan Kiss '15
Amanda Salvesen '14
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 8 3 DSQ 9 6 11 2 6 1 65 Elizabeth Whipple '12
Kim Bolick '15
Brown University Brown University Bears 13 7 8 3 13 1 6 4 11 66 Sky Adams '14
Helen Lord '14
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 3 15 2 2 12 7 16 8 7 72 Morgan Russom '14
Isabel Ruane '14
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 4 16 11 7 1 4 11 12 10 76 Solvig Sayre '14
Emily Mitchell '13
Boston College Boston College Eagles 11 5 10 14 14 14 5 10 6 89 Stephanie Hudson '13
Shelby Hamilton '14
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 18 11 12 4 3 6 8 16 14 92 Chanel Miller '14
Danielle Fougere '12
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 10 9 3 17 15 5 18 2 15 94 Grace Lucas '14
Sarah Somes '13
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 16 8 6 10 5 15 15 9 12 96 Andrea Luna '15
Jessica Milligan '12
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 9 12 13 8 18 16 13 5 5 99 Brooke Lyon '14 [1-9]
Morgan Gould '14 [1-6]
Jane Rew '14 [7-9]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 7 6 16 18 11 18 9 14 4 103 Killian Corbishley '14
Erica Leinmiller '13
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 15 10 14 15 9 8 10 17 8 106 Mariel Marchand '13
Barbara Murray '14
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 6 13 9 13 10 17 12 13 16 109 Lauren Turner '13 [1-9]
Erin Ahlers '13 [1-6]
Della Bradt '13 [7-9]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 12 14 7 6 8 12 17 15 18 109 Catherine Shanahan '15 [1-9]
Lauren Schoene '13 [1-6]
Allison Smith '13 [7-9]
Boston University Boston University Terriers 14 17 17 5 17 9 14 11 17 121 Erica Lush '14
Lindsey Kennett '15
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 17 18 15 16 16 13 7 18 9 129 Rachel Perry '15
Samantha Bobo '15
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2011 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles112233445
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers334455667
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears22111818171716
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars556677889
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels4433221118
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red665544332
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green778899101011
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons887766554
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas9910101111121213
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson10109988776
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen111112121313141415
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen121211111010998
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs131314141515161617
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1717181811223
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks141413131212111110
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks15151616171718181
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos161615151414131312
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs181817171616151514

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles112233445
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers334455667
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears22111818171716
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars556677889
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels4433221118
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red665544332
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green778899101011
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons887766554
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas9910101111121213
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson10109988776
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen111112121313141415
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen121211111010998
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs131314141515161617
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1717181811223
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks141413131212111110
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks15151616171718181
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos161615151414131312
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs181817171616151514
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston College Boston College Briana Provancha '12 Elizabeth Barnard '15
Eagles Stephanie Hudson '13 Shelby Hamilton '14
Boston University Boston University Elizabeth Glivinski '14 Keeton Leisure '14
Terriers Erica Lush '14 Lindsey Kennett '15
Brown University Brown University Emily Dellenbaugh '12 Margot Elmaleh '12
Bears Sky Adams '14 Helen Lord '14
College of Charleston College of Charleston Corey Hall '12 Alyssa Aitken '12
Cougars Grace Lucas '14 Sarah Somes '13
Connecticut College Connecticut College Atlantic Brugman '13 Grace Medley '15
Camels Elizabeth Whipple '12 Kim Bolick '15
Cornell University Cornell University Jennifer Borshoff '15 [1-9] Della Bradt '13 [1-7]
Erin Ahlers '13 [8-9]
Big Red Lauren Turner '13 [1-9] Erin Ahlers '13 [1-6]
Della Bradt '13 [7-9]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Chandler Salisbury '13 Madilyn Gamble '13
Big Green Deirdre Lambert '15 [1-9] Carissa Crawford '14 [1-6]
Catherine O'Sullivan '14 [7-9]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Emilie Mademann '12 Lissa Mcclung '14
Tritons Solvig Sayre '14 Emily Mitchell '13
Georgetown University Georgetown University Sydney Bolger '12 Rebecca Evans '12
Hoyas Nancy Hagood '14 Victoria Lynch '13
Harvard University Harvard University Emily Lambert '12 Alexandra Jumper '12
Crimson Morgan Russom '14 Isabel Ruane '14
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Liana Folger '15 Julia Oak '14
Statesmen Brooke Lyon '14 [1-9] Morgan Gould '14 [1-6]
Jane Rew '14 [7-9]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Corina Radtke '14 Shannon Wilkins '13
Monarchs Andrea Luna '15 Jessica Milligan '12
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Annie Schmidt '14 Adrienne White '13
Hawks Rachel Perry '15 Samantha Bobo '15
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Kayla Mccomb '13 Nicole Deangeli '14
Seahawks Catherine Shanahan '15 [1-9] Lauren Schoene '13 [1-6]
Allison Smith '13 [7-9]
Tufts University Tufts University Natalie Salk '13 Amelia Quinn '13
Jumbos Mariel Marchand '13 Barbara Murray '14
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Mary Hall '15 Elizabeth Morrison '14
Midshipmen Killian Corbishley '14 Erica Leinmiller '13
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Amy Hawkins '12 Caroline Hall '12
Rams Chanel Miller '14 Danielle Fougere '12
Yale University Yale University Marlena Fauer '14 Eugenia Custo Greig '14
Bulldogs Morgan Kiss '15 Amanda Salvesen '14

Conditions — 03/17/2012 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 86%  ·  Pressure 1025.3 hPa

Temperature

58°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 58°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.5 kn
avg  ·  max 5.4 kn
Gusts to 11.5 kn
From ESE (106°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover44% Sunshine10.1 hrs Humidity86% Pressure1025.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 7 kn · NE 5 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at St. Mary's: a favourites’ day (+0.08)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.13 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.03 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at St. Mary's by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (70 labelled days at St. Mary's).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →