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ODU Spring Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 22 22 44
2 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 28 49 77
3 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 40 41 81
4 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 62 43 105
5 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 64 48 112
6 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 73 53 126
7 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 64 76 140
8 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 89 60 149
9 Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 95 102 197
10 University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 116 104 220
11 Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 104 119 223
12 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 123 113 236
13 William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 95 143 238
14 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport 124 123 247
15 U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Army 137 137 274
16 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 161 142 303
17 American University American University Eagles 141 190 331
18 University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Maryland/Baltimore 175 157 332
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 3 2 2 1 1 1 6 2 2 22 Markus Edegran '16
Julie Miller '15
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 6 1 1 3 3 4 2 4 3 28 Kayla Mccomb '13 [1-10]
Nina-Mercedes Rabin '13 [1-6]
Allison Shane '15 [7-10]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 3 1 3 3 4 8 7 1 3 7 40 Zach Runci '13 [1-6]
Evan Hoffmann '14 [7-10]
Colin Voigt '15 [1-4]
Rachel Pokorny '12 [5-10]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos RAF 2 4 4 7 6 2 3 9 6 62 Christopher Stessing '14 [1-10]
Madeline Gill '12 [1-2]
Alexandra Brenin '15 [3-10]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 5 5 12 14 6 11 5 4 1 1 64 Michael Russom '13 [1-10]
Jose -Maria Barrero '13 [1-6]
Shuchun Wang '13 [7-10]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 7 7 10 6 5 4 6 9 6 4 64 Julia Paxton '14
Andrew Haggerty '14
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 4 4 9 7 10 2 8 5 8 16 73 Ian Connors '13
Madeline Taggart '15
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 9 9 5 8 2 14 11 10 10 11 89 Mia Cooper '14
Chase Webber '15
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 10 12 6 9 14 9 3 8 11 13 95 Giuditta Di Laghi '16 [1-10]
Seneca Matthews '13 [1-6]
Albert Berk Toledo '15 [7-10]
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 13 8 11 5 9 5 10 11 15 8 95 Isaac Clark '12
Derrill Hagood '13
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 8 10 17 12 11 10 12 7 5 12 104 Andrew Murphy '14
Patrick Stege '14
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 6 14 14 11 8 7 15 13 13 15 116 Andrew Rybczynski '12
Abigail Lundahl '15
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 12 13 7 13 15 15 9 12 18 9 123 Noel Ingalls '15
Timothy Broskus '15
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport 11 11 8 15 12 12 13 16 12 14 124 Natalie Ross '15
Amy Craven '13
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Army 15 15 15 10 13 13 14 18 14 10 137 David Geer '13
Victor Ladd '15
American University American University Eagles DNF 16 13 17 16 17 17 14 7 5 141 Peter Hays '14
Nicholas Pilipowskyj '14
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 14 17 16 16 17 16 16 15 16 18 161 Anthony Pappenfus '13
Amara Plaza-Jennings '15
University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Maryland/Baltimore 16 18 18 18 18 18 18 17 17 17 175 Adam Rybczynski '14
Thomas Carman '15
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 7 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 3 2 22 Alex Ramos '15
Sarah Blake '15
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 5 4 5 3 7 3 2 3 1 8 41 Jacob Spracher '15
Jaclyn Hollander '15
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 2 1 1 7 6 2 5 5 10 4 43 Gordon Wolcott '13 [1-4]
Madeline Gill '12 [5-10]
Ellen Hubbard '14 [1-2]
Hannah Varden '15 [3-10]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 1 6 7 1 3 9 6 4 5 6 48 Jack Swikart '15 [1-10]
Shuchun Wang '13 [1-6]
Jose -Maria Barrero '13 [7-10]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 3 7 9 4 2 4 7 2 4 7 49 Catherine Shanahan '15
Lauren Schoene '13
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 8 9 6 5 4 8 4 6 2 1 53 Kathleen Hilton '12 [1-10]
Matthew Ricci '15 [1-6]
Sloan Dickey '14 [7-10]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 6 3 3 6 5 5 10 10 9 3 60 Edward Titcomb '13
Nina Synnestvedt '14
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 4 8 8 8 9 16 3 7 8 5 76 Rudy Normann '13
Jamileh Soueidan '15
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 10 5 4 9 16 7 9 15 14 13 102 Kimannee Simon '14 [1-10]
Albert Berk Toledo '15 [1-4]
Cortnae Justice '15 [5-8]
Seneca Matthews '13 [9-10]
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 11 16 12 12 8 6 12 12 6 9 104 Sarah Hamm '13
Carey Goldman '14
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 9 11 14 10 10 10 11 14 12 12 113 Padraig Loughlin '15 [1-10]
Shawn Wehking '15 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Andrew Mueller '15 [3-4, 7-8]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 14 13 11 15 11 12 13 8 11 11 119 Harmen Rockler '13
Meghan Ross '15
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport 13 12 16 11 14 13 8 13 13 10 123 Maggie Gore '13
Faith Swan '15
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Army 15 10 10 13 12 17 17 9 17 17 137 James Peaco '14
Austen Wilcox '13
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 12 14 15 16 15 15 14 11 15 15 142 Andrew Werner '14 [1-2, 7-8]
Dylan Ackermamn '14 [3-6, 9-10]
Ashley Barclift '14 [1-2, 7-8]
Amanda Mitchell '14 [3-6, 9-10]
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 16 15 13 14 17 14 15 16 7 16 143 Peter Bihl '13 [1-8]
Charlie Hinkley '14 [9-10]
Ella Cahill '15 [1-4]
Charlie Hinkley '14 [5-10]
University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Maryland/Baltimore DNF 17 17 17 13 11 16 17 16 14 157 Christopher Ray '14 [1-10]
Christopher Chitterling '15 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Justin Plott '13 [3-4, 7-8]
American University American University Eagles DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 190 Jarrod Anderson '15
Barrett Ponski '13
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (49 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
American UniversityAmerican University Eagles221818161614141212
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Army1133557799
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Christopher Newport335577991111
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams4422181816161414
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials55779911111313
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates66442218181616
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners7799111113131515
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps991111131315151717
University of Maryland/Baltimore CountyUniversity of Maryland/Baltimore County Maryland/Baltimore886644221818
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen101088664422
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers111113131515171711
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs12121010886644
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers161614141212101088
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers1313151517171133
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks1414121210108866
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange15151717113355
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos171711335577
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe18181616141412121010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
American UniversityAmerican University Eagles111717151513131111
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Army224466881010
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Christopher Newport44668810101212
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams3311171715151313
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials6688101012121414
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates55331117171515
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners881010121214141616
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps10101212141416161818
University of Maryland/Baltimore CountyUniversity of Maryland/Baltimore County Maryland/Baltimore775533111717
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen9977553311
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers121214141616181822
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs111199775533
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers1515131311119977
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers1414161618182244
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks13131111997755
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange16161818224466
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos181822446688
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe171715151313111199
School / Team SkipperCrew
American University American University Peter Hays '14 Nicholas Pilipowskyj '14
Eagles Jarrod Anderson '15 Barrett Ponski '13
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Natalie Ross '15 Amy Craven '13
Christopher Newport Maggie Gore '13 Faith Swan '15
Fordham University Fordham University Mia Cooper '14 Chase Webber '15
Rams Edward Titcomb '13 Nina Synnestvedt '14
George Washington University George Washington University Ian Connors '13 Madeline Taggart '15
Colonials Kathleen Hilton '12 [1-10] Matthew Ricci '15 [1-6]
Sloan Dickey '14 [7-10]
Hampton University Hampton University Giuditta Di Laghi '16 [1-10] Seneca Matthews '13 [1-6]
Albert Berk Toledo '15 [7-10]
Pirates Kimannee Simon '14 [1-10] Albert Berk Toledo '15 [1-4]
Cortnae Justice '15 [5-8]
Seneca Matthews '13 [9-10]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Zach Runci '13 [1-6]
Evan Hoffmann '14 [7-10]		 Colin Voigt '15 [1-4]
Rachel Pokorny '12 [5-10]
Monarchs Jacob Spracher '15 Jaclyn Hollander '15
Princeton University Princeton University Anthony Pappenfus '13 Amara Plaza-Jennings '15
Tigers Andrew Werner '14 [1-2, 7-8]
Dylan Ackermamn '14 [3-6, 9-10]		 Ashley Barclift '14 [1-2, 7-8]
Amanda Mitchell '14 [3-6, 9-10]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Julia Paxton '14 Andrew Haggerty '14
Privateers Rudy Normann '13 Jamileh Soueidan '15
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Kayla Mccomb '13 [1-10] Nina-Mercedes Rabin '13 [1-6]
Allison Shane '15 [7-10]
Seahawks Catherine Shanahan '15 Lauren Schoene '13
Syracuse University Syracuse University Andrew Murphy '14 Patrick Stege '14
Orange Harmen Rockler '13 Meghan Ross '15
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Noel Ingalls '15 Timothy Broskus '15
Mariners Padraig Loughlin '15 [1-10] Shawn Wehking '15 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Andrew Mueller '15 [3-4, 7-8]
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy David Geer '13 Victor Ladd '15
Army James Peaco '14 Austen Wilcox '13
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Markus Edegran '16 Julie Miller '15
Midshipmen Alex Ramos '15 Sarah Blake '15
University of Maryland University of Maryland Andrew Rybczynski '12 Abigail Lundahl '15
Terps Sarah Hamm '13 Carey Goldman '14
University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Adam Rybczynski '14 Thomas Carman '15
Maryland/Baltimore Christopher Ray '14 [1-10] Christopher Chitterling '15 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Justin Plott '13 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Michael Russom '13 [1-10] Jose -Maria Barrero '13 [1-6]
Shuchun Wang '13 [7-10]
Quakers Jack Swikart '15 [1-10] Shuchun Wang '13 [1-6]
Jose -Maria Barrero '13 [7-10]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Christopher Stessing '14 [1-10] Madeline Gill '12 [1-2]
Alexandra Brenin '15 [3-10]
Wahoos Gordon Wolcott '13 [1-4]
Madeline Gill '12 [5-10]		 Ellen Hubbard '14 [1-2]
Hannah Varden '15 [3-10]
William and Mary William and Mary Isaac Clark '12 Derrill Hagood '13
Tribe Peter Bihl '13 [1-8]
Charlie Hinkley '14 [9-10]		 Ella Cahill '15 [1-4]
Charlie Hinkley '14 [5-10]

Conditions — 03/03/2012 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 85%  ·  Pressure 1004.0 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 63°F   ↓ 57°F
Feels like 58°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.8 kn
avg  ·  max 12.9 kn
Gusts to 35.8 kn
From WSW (239°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity85% Pressure1004.0 hPa Rain0.56 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 12 kn* · E 10 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Old Dominion: a typical day (+0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.10 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Old Dominion by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (76 labelled days at Old Dominion).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →