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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 49 35 84
2 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 36 67 103
3 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 57 50 107
4 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 75 62 137
5 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Big Blue 87 67 154
6 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 113 46 159
7 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains Blue 91 83 174
8 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 72 119 191
9 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 89 129 218
10 SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 164 82 246
11 University of Virginia University of Virginia Hoos 119 139 258
12 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 116 155 271
13 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains Silver 131 151 282
14 William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 136 163 299
15 U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 178 168 346
16 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 211 135 346
17 Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 150 208 358
18 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 166 194 360
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 2 1 2 7 5 7 1 2 2 BKD 2 2 36 Jack Swikart '15
Catie Hopkins '17
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 3 4 6 4 4 1 6 6 6 1 3 5 49 Charles Lomax '18
Patrick Scollard '17
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 1 10 5 1 8 6 2 1 4 11 7 1 57 Catherine Shanahan '15
Kaitlyn Noreen '16
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 7 9 3 3 1 3 12 4 10 7 10 3 72 Christopher Craven '16
Callie Hern '18
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 4 2 1 11 11 9 5 3 5 2 12 10 75 Carolyn Smith '17
Julia Monro '17
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Big Blue 5 8 11 8 6 10 11 5 3 12 4 4 87 Ethan Lounsbury '17
Carter Little '18
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 11 5 4 13 2 2 4 15 15 8 1 9 89 Peter Maes '18 [1-12]
Carly Mayhood '17 [1-8, 11-12]
Brandon Morris '18 [9-10]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains Blue 8 7 8 6 9 4 16 13 1 3 8 8 91 Xander Van Beurden '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Austin Powers '17 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Laura Kilgore '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Kaitlin Welker '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Xander Van Beurden '18 [11-12]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 15 3 13 2 10 RAF 13 12 7 6 6 7 113 Andrew Baird '18
Kira Baffa '17
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 6 11 15 14 3 8 8 7 8 10 14 12 116 Paolo Bertolotti '16
Anna Knight '16
University of Virginia University of Virginia Hoos 13 13 12 10 14 11 3 9 9 14 5 6 119 Rodman Brown '16
Eliza Schuett '17
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains Silver 12 17 7 9 13 15 9 8 11 4 13 13 131 Amanda Attardi '17 [1-12]
Kaitlyn Reilly '18 [1-10]
Shelby Locke '16 [11-12]
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 10 14 14 12 7 5 7 11 14 9 18 15 136 Patrick Mazzeo '18
Daniel Powers '18
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 9 12 9 5 12 16 15 10 16 15 15 16 150 Julian Fraize '18 [1-12]
Meredith Foor '18 [1-6]
Peter Teague '18 [7-12]
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 14 6 17 15 15 13 14 17 17 16 9 11 164 Constantine Spentzos '17
Cailey Treyz '18
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 16 15 10 16 17 14 10 14 13 13 11 17 166 Robert Whitaker '18
Grant Godeke '17
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 17 18 16 17 16 12 17 18 12 5 16 14 178 Michael Danko '17
Michael Wegner '17
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 18 16 18 OCS 18 17 OCS 16 18 17 17 18 211 Frederick Piasecki '20
Angela Coughlin '17
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 4 3 2 1 1 4 6 1 5 3 4 1 35 Andrew Bates '15 [1-12]
Clara Ashton '18 [1-8, 11-12]
Vincent Storino '18 [9-10]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 3 1 6 6 2 6 1 4 2 4 6 5 46 Alec Chicoine '18
Jocelyn Rovniak '17
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 6 4 5 2 10 2 3 5 1 5 5 2 50 Greer Wattson '17
Hannah Chapman '17
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 1 2 3 4 8 12 10 2 4 1 9 6 62 Patrick Tara '17
Kira Allen '18
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Big Blue 2 5 7 7 4 5 5 3 10 2 8 9 67 Jason Bankert '18
Anne Van Der Sangen '18
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 11 11 1 9 3 7 4 6 3 7 2 3 67 Keen Butcher '18
Carolyn Kearney '18
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 5 6 4 3 5 3 13 10 12 8 3 10 82 Vidar Minkovsky '18
Jessica Kurlander '18
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains Blue 10 8 8 8 12 1 2 7 6 6 1 14 83 Anders Hudson '17
Hannah Cantolino '18
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 17 10 9 5 6 14 9 8 9 18 10 4 119 Colleen Roney '18
Julia Gowell '18
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 9 13 15 13 7 10 8 15 7 9 11 12 129 James Keegan '16
Jonathan O'Connell '15
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 7 12 14 12 14 8 12 12 16 14 7 7 135 John M. Joyce '18 [1-2, 5-6, 11-12]
Barrett Adams '17 [3-4, 7-10]
Elizabeth Jarvie '18 [1-2, 5-6, 11-12]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Hoos 12 9 10 10 13 9 17 11 13 12 12 11 139 Casey Firth '15 [1-6, 9-12]
Jordan Cornell '17 [7-8]
Casey Russell '17 [1-6, 11-12]
Casey Firth '15 [7-8]
Jordan Cornell '17 [9-10]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains Silver 15 7 16 11 9 17 11 16 11 10 13 15 151 Benjamin Kempton '18 [1-6, 9-12]
Shelby Locke '16 [7-8]
Hanna Halleck-Pinkleton '18 [1-6]
Benjamin Kempton '18 [7-8]
Julia Davis '16 [9-12]
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 14 14 13 14 15 11 7 14 8 11 16 18 155 Michael Fagundo '18
Shawn Patel '15
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 8 16 11 15 11 16 14 9 14 17 15 17 163 Patrick Firth '17
Abraham Kruger '17
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 16 15 12 17 17 13 15 13 15 13 14 8 168 Albert Biddle '17
Robert Li '18
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 13 17 OCS 16 16 15 16 17 17 15 17 16 194 Bennett Brainard '17
Murad Mahmudov '16
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 18 18 17 18 18 18 18 18 18 16 18 13 208 Ryan Bloomgren '18
Matthew Gomez '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (49 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Black Knights141412121010886644
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains Blue11335577991111
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains Silver2218181616141412121010
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions3355779911111313
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons44221818161614141212
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners131315151717113355
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers8866442218181616
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Big Blue664422181816161414
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs557799111113131515
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers1515171711335577
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers77991111131315151717
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 111111313151517171133
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 21010886644221818
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Ducks1212101088664422
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves99111113131515171711
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Hoos17171133557799
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos16161414121210108866
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe1818161614141212101088

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Black Knights1313111199775533
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains Blue2244668810101212
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains Silver11171715151313111199
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions446688101012121414
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons33111717151513131111
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners141416161818224466
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers7755331117171515
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Big Blue553311171715151313
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs66881010121214141616
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers1616181822446688
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers8810101212141416161818
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 112121414161618182244
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 299775533111717
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Ducks11119977553311
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves1010121214141616181822
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Hoos1818224466881010
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos151513131111997755
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe17171515131311119977
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Xander Van Beurden '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Austin Powers '17 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]		 Laura Kilgore '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Kaitlin Welker '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Xander Van Beurden '18 [11-12]
Captains Blue Anders Hudson '17 Hannah Cantolino '18
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Amanda Attardi '17 [1-12] Kaitlyn Reilly '18 [1-10]
Shelby Locke '16 [11-12]
Captains Silver Benjamin Kempton '18 [1-6, 9-12]
Shelby Locke '16 [7-8]		 Hanna Halleck-Pinkleton '18 [1-6]
Benjamin Kempton '18 [7-8]
Julia Davis '16 [9-12]
Columbia University Columbia University Paolo Bertolotti '16 Anna Knight '16
Lions Michael Fagundo '18 Shawn Patel '15
Drexel University Drexel University Frederick Piasecki '20 Angela Coughlin '17
Dragons John M. Joyce '18 [1-2, 5-6, 11-12]
Barrett Adams '17 [3-4, 7-10]		 Elizabeth Jarvie '18 [1-2, 5-6, 11-12]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Ethan Lounsbury '17 Carter Little '18
Big Blue Jason Bankert '18 Anne Van Der Sangen '18
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Andrew Baird '18 Kira Baffa '17
Monarchs Alec Chicoine '18 Jocelyn Rovniak '17
Princeton University Princeton University Robert Whitaker '18 Grant Godeke '17
Tigers Bennett Brainard '17 Murad Mahmudov '16
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Peter Maes '18 [1-12] Carly Mayhood '17 [1-8, 11-12]
Brandon Morris '18 [9-10]
Privateers James Keegan '16 Jonathan O'Connell '15
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Constantine Spentzos '17 Cailey Treyz '18
Seawolves Vidar Minkovsky '18 Jessica Kurlander '18
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Catherine Shanahan '15 Kaitlyn Noreen '16
Seahawks 1 Greer Wattson '17 Hannah Chapman '17
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Carolyn Smith '17 Julia Monro '17
Seahawks 2 Patrick Tara '17 Kira Allen '18
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Julian Fraize '18 [1-12] Meredith Foor '18 [1-6]
Peter Teague '18 [7-12]
Ducks Ryan Bloomgren '18 Matthew Gomez '18
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Charles Lomax '18 Patrick Scollard '17
Mariners Andrew Bates '15 [1-12] Clara Ashton '18 [1-8, 11-12]
Vincent Storino '18 [9-10]
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Michael Danko '17 Michael Wegner '17
Black Knights Albert Biddle '17 Robert Li '18
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Jack Swikart '15 Catie Hopkins '17
Quakers Keen Butcher '18 Carolyn Kearney '18
University of Virginia University of Virginia Rodman Brown '16 Eliza Schuett '17
Hoos Casey Firth '15 [1-6, 9-12]
Jordan Cornell '17 [7-8]		 Casey Russell '17 [1-6, 11-12]
Casey Firth '15 [7-8]
Jordan Cornell '17 [9-10]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Christopher Craven '16 Callie Hern '18
Wahoos Colleen Roney '18 Julia Gowell '18
William and Mary William and Mary Patrick Mazzeo '18 Daniel Powers '18
Tribe Patrick Firth '17 Abraham Kruger '17

Conditions — 03/07/2015 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 45%  ·  Pressure 1027.8 hPa

Temperature

41°F
↑ 50°F   ↓ 22°F
Feels like 34°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.5 kn
avg  ·  max 7.6 kn
Gusts to 16.5 kn
From SW (233°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.2 hrs Humidity45% Pressure1027.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 6 kn · W 11 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Old Dominion: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.00
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.03 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Old Dominion by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (76 labelled days at Old Dominion).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →