SUNY Stony Brook '18
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.33 (fleet 3.22) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 2–13 (13%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2015 | 1 | 2–13 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 1 graded regattas (15 matches) the record is 2–13 against 0.5 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+1.5). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 2 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-03-21 | C.J. Woollum Team Race | skipper | 1.50 | 3.27 | 2–13 | 0.5 | +1.77 | 2.3 | 7% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| MAISA/SAISA | Skipper | A | 8 | 3.6 | 2.91 |
| Greater NY Dinghy Regatta | Skipper | A | 10 | 2.9 | 3.79 |
| The Grant Trophy | Skipper | A | 8 | 2.4 | 4.21 |
| Central Spring Open | Skipper | A | 12 | 3.1 | 3.53 |
| America Trophy | Skipper | A | 18 | 10.9 | 3.12 |
| Fall 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| War Memorial | Skipper | A | 12 | 11.5 | 2.91 |
| NY Maritime Fall Open | Skipper | A | 7 | 6.1 | 3.20 |
| Central Fall Qualifer | Skipper | A | 10 | 4.4 | 2.94 |
| Captain Hurst Bowl | Skipper | A | 9 | 14.6 | 2.18 |
| Spring 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| The Leroy Grant Trophy | Skipper | A | 10 | 5.7 | 2.25 |
| Eckerd Interconference | Skipper | A | 13 | 7.4 | 2.41 |
| Central Spring Open | Skipper | A | 6 | 1.8 | 4.22 |
| Fall 2016 Team page Season | |||||
| Riley Cup | Skipper | A | 12 | 10.0 | 2.34 |
| NY Maritime Fall Open | Skipper | A | 12 | 5.3 | 2.86 |
| Kings Point Dinghy Open | Skipper | A | 15 | 7.9 | 3.00 |
| Central Fall Qualifier | Skipper | A | 8 | 3.2 | 3.59 |
| Spring 2016 Team page Season | |||||
| Woollum Regatta | Skipper | A | 6 | 3.5 | 2.12 |
| William and Mary Spring Open | Skipper | A | 12 | 1.3 | 4.12 |
| Villanova Spring Open | Skipper | A | 6 | 3.7 | 2.35 |
| Stony Brook Cup | Skipper | A | 6 | 1.2 | 4.33 |
| Nelson Roltsch | Skipper | A | 12 | 2.8 | 2.81 |
| The Leroy Grant | Skipper | A | 10 | 7.1 | 2.25 |
| Gull Gust 2016 | Skipper | A | 11 | 1.7 | 2.22 |
| Greater New York Dinghy Regatta | Skipper | B | 4 | 1.5 | 3.93 |
| Engineer's Cup | Skipper | A | 10 | 1.5 | 3.63 |
| Eckerd Interconference | Skipper | A | 12 | 6.7 | 2.62 |
| Fall 2015 Team page Season | |||||
| MAISA Club Championship | Skipper | A | 9 | 3.0 | 3.76 |
| Jack Boehringer '52 Memorial Regatta | Skipper | A | 6 | 7.5 | 2.42 |
| Henry Luce Trophy | Skipper | A | 11 | 12.5 | 1.08 |
| David Lee Arnoff Trophy | Skipper | A | 6 | 10.3 | 1.97 |
| Coho Memorial | Skipper | A | 12 | 2.8 | 1.09 |
| Central Fall Qualifier | Skipper | A | 12 | 6.2 | 2.50 |
| Spring 2015 Team page Season | |||||
| The Stony Brook Cup | Skipper | B | 6 | 1.3 | 3.39 |
| ODU Open | Skipper | B | 12 | 6.8 | 1.99 |
| North Spring Qualifier | Skipper | B | 5 | 5.0 | 1.80 |
| Eckerd Interconference | Skipper | A | 9 | 11.2 | 0.44 |
| C.J. Woollum Team Race | Skipper | TR | 15 | 13% | — |
| Arrigan Memorial Regatta | Crew | A, B | 12 | 8.9 | — |
| Army Spring Open | Skipper | A | 2 | 1.5 | 3.29 |
| Fall 2014 Team page Season | |||||
| Ocean County Fall Open | Skipper | B | 12 | 7.3 | 1.37 |
| NY Maritime Fall Open | Skipper | B | 4 | 9.5 | 1.33 |
| KP Dinghy Open | Skipper | A | 12 | 16.5 | 0.15 |
| Atlantic Coast Tournament | Skipper | A | 10 | 8.2 | 2.46 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Vidar Minkovsky |  Cold Spring Harbor |
'14 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
