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Greater NY Dinghy Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 2 27 25 52
2 SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Snailers 29 48 77
3 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 1 43 37 80
4 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 56 41 97
5 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 39 59 98
6 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 51 47 98
7 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 1 67 58 125
8 Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 69 112 181
9 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 103 91 194
10 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 1 100 110 210
11 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 2 116 97 213
12 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 110 MRP 116 MRP 226 MRP
13 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 2 134 96 230
14 SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 126 143 269
15 Black Knights Black Knights Black Knights 162 MRP 160 MRP 322 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 2 2 3 7 1 2 2 5 2 2 1 27 Tucker Hersam '20
Lauren Holderman '18
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Snailers 1 1 6 3 3 6 1 1 1 6 29 Vidar Minkovsky '18
Micayla Beyer '19
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 6 6 4 5 1 5 2 3 5 2 39 Luke Welker '21
Adam Krzeszowski '21
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 1 3 2 2 4 4 3 7 5 8 5 43 Thomas Cooper '19
Paige Hoffman '21
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 9 4 9 2 7 4 6 4 3 3 51 Vincent Yannelli '19
Gabrielle Myers '21
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 8 7 3 7 9 1 4 6 7 4 56 Julien Guiot '18
Jacob Whitney '21
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 1 11 9 5 6 6 8 3 7 4 8 67 Juan Lejarraga '19
Kyle Gelderman '21
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 4 8 1 8 5 9 BKD 9 11 7 69 Lillian Vincens '19
Lilliana Delmonico '20
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 1 5 10 8 14 8 12 11 10 12 10 100 Nicole Edwards '18
Mateo Navarro Goldaraz '20
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 7 11 10 9 12 7 9 12 14 12 103 Zak Dasaro '21
Christina De Soto '20
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 10 5 11 10 10 11 8 8 6 11 110 MRP Ben Hunt '21
Alexander Koziol '21
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 2 12 12 12 11 11 10 12 13 9 14 116 Pierre Casenave-Pere '20
Matt Lawhon '21
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 13 13 13 12 13 15 10 11 13 13 126 Jonathan Gorman '21
Leon Yang '20
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 2 15 14 14 15 15 14 14 14 10 9 134 Matthew Daghir '20
Kimberly Cabrera '18
Black Knights Black Knights Black Knights 14 15 15 13 14 13 13 15 15 15 162 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 2 2 4 5 1 2 1 2 1 2 5 25 Sam Johnsen '21
Emma Archard '18
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 1 5 1 6 5 4 9 1 2 3 1 37 Thomas Capozzi '19
Brigid Murphy '20
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 2 1 2 9 11 4 3 1 7 41 Wells Drayton '21
Marisa Permatteo '19
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 4 3 4 10 1 2 3 5 9 6 47 Peter Schneider '20
Nellie Stidham '21
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Snailers 3 5 2 4 5 6 5 10 4 4 48 Nicholas Manfredi '19 [1-10]
Samantha Zito '18 [1-6, 10]
Julia Chapman '21 [7-9]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 1 6 7 3 8 6 4 7 4 5 8 58 Hunter Kahler '21
John Wilcenski '21
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 10 10 8 3 3 3 6 8 6 2 59 Jackson Webster '21
Maddie Talecki '20
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 9 9 13 7 10 8 10 7 8 10 91 George Kevrekidis '18 [1-9]
Lucy Norton '22 [10]
Devin Sun '21 [1-9]
Natalie Bahrami '21 [10]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 2 7 6 7 12 7 10 12 11 10 14 96 Zoe Clougher '21
Hannah Argiros '21
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 2 14 12 10 6 11 7 9 6 11 11 97 Haley Collins '18
Daniel Yang '18
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 1 8 14 9 14 12 5 8 13 14 13 110 Charles Johnson '19 [1-10]
Zoe Novello '21 [1-9]
Christina Hill '19 [10]
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 12 8 12 11 13 12 13 9 13 9 112 Isaac Bode '20
Allison Krauss '20
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 11 11 11 9 8 13 11 12 7 3 116 MRP Declan Gaylo '19 [1-9]
John Dixon '20 [10]
John Dixon '20 [1-9]
Muriel Weathers '19 [10]
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 13 15 14 15 15 15 14 15 12 15 143 Alisher Khodjaniyazov '20
Siobhan Keeling '19
Black Knights Black Knights Black Knights 15 13 15 13 14 14 15 14 15 12 160 MRP
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Black KnightsBlack Knights Black Knights1313131515152224
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions 11113335557
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions 22224446668
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags3335557779
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams 144466688810
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams 255577799911
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners1212121414141113
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers 177799911111113
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers 288810101012121214
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers66688810101012
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves1010101212121414141
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Snailers99911111113131315
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1111111313131515152
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1414141113335
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers1515152224446

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Black KnightsBlack Knights Black Knights1414141113335
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions 12224446668
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions 23335557779
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags44466688810
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams 155577799911
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams 266688810101012
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners1313131515152224
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers 188810101012121214
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers 299911111113131315
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers77799911111113
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves1111111313131515152
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Snailers1010101212121414141
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1212121414141113
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1515152224446
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers1113335557
School / Team SkipperCrew
Columbia University Columbia University Nicole Edwards '18 Mateo Navarro Goldaraz '20
Lions 1 Charles Johnson '19 [1-10] Zoe Novello '21 [1-9]
Christina Hill '19 [10]
Columbia University Columbia University Pierre Casenave-Pere '20 Matt Lawhon '21
Lions 2 Haley Collins '18 Daniel Yang '18
Fairfield University Fairfield University Lillian Vincens '19 Lilliana Delmonico '20
Stags Isaac Bode '20 Allison Krauss '20
Fordham University Fordham University Thomas Cooper '19 Paige Hoffman '21
Rams 1 Thomas Capozzi '19 Brigid Murphy '20
Fordham University Fordham University Tucker Hersam '20 Lauren Holderman '18
Rams 2 Sam Johnsen '21 Emma Archard '18
Princeton University Princeton University Zak Dasaro '21 Christina De Soto '20
Tigers George Kevrekidis '18 [1-9]
Lucy Norton '22 [10]		 Devin Sun '21 [1-9]
Natalie Bahrami '21 [10]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Juan Lejarraga '19 Kyle Gelderman '21
Privateers 1 Hunter Kahler '21 John Wilcenski '21
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Matthew Daghir '20 Kimberly Cabrera '18
Privateers 2 Zoe Clougher '21 Hannah Argiros '21
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Jonathan Gorman '21 Leon Yang '20
Seawolves Alisher Khodjaniyazov '20 Siobhan Keeling '19
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Vidar Minkovsky '18 Micayla Beyer '19
Snailers Nicholas Manfredi '19 [1-10] Samantha Zito '18 [1-6, 10]
Julia Chapman '21 [7-9]
Tufts University Tufts University Julien Guiot '18 Jacob Whitney '21
Jumbos Wells Drayton '21 Marisa Permatteo '19
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Luke Welker '21 Adam Krzeszowski '21
Mariners Jackson Webster '21 Maddie Talecki '20
University of Vermont University of Vermont Vincent Yannelli '19 Gabrielle Myers '21
Catamounts Peter Schneider '20 Nellie Stidham '21
Webb Institute Webb Institute Ben Hunt '21 Alexander Koziol '21
Clippers Declan Gaylo '19 [1-9]
John Dixon '20 [10]		 John Dixon '20 [1-9]
Muriel Weathers '19 [10]

Conditions — 04/21/2018 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 40%  ·  Pressure 1027.5 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 59°F   ↓ 40°F
Feels like 47°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.1 kn
avg  ·  max 8.7 kn
Gusts to 19.0 kn
From WNW (301°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover19% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity40% Pressure1027.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 10 kn · NW 7 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Fordham: an underdogs’ day (−0.07)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.08 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Fordham by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (25 labelled days at Fordham).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →