SUNY Maritime College '19
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singlehanded | 1.90 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 38 | Fall 2018 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.98 (fleet 2.73) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 16–39 (29%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2019 | 3 | 11–14 | — |
| Spring 2016 | 2 | 3–12 | — |
| Fall 2015 | 1 | 2–13 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 6 graded regattas (55 matches) the record is 16–39 against 15.8 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+0.2). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 2 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 5 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-03-30 | Team Race Challenge | skipper | 2.43 | 2.36 | 6–6 | 6.1 | −0.07 | 0.0 | 68% |
| 2019-03-23 | Admiral Moore Team Race | skipper | 2.48 | 2.99 | 5–5 | 4.1 | +0.52 | 0.3 | 38% |
| 2019-03-02 | Georgetown Team Race | skipper | 2.31 | -0.69 | 0–3 | 0.3 | ≤−3.00 | 0.4 | >99% |
| 2016-03-26 | Admiral Moore Team Race | skipper | 2.00 | -1.00 | 0–11 | 1.6 | ≤−3.00 | 2.8 | >99% |
| 2016-03-12 | John Jackson Memorial Team Race | skipper | 2.11 | 3.67 | 3–1 | 1.6 | +1.56 | 1.5 | 17% |
| 2015-11-07 | Hap Moore Team Race | skipper | 2.12 | 2.08 | 2–13 | 2.1 | −0.04 | 0.0 | 65% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| Team Race Challenge | Skipper | TR | 14 | 43% | — |
| Georgetown Team Race | Skipper | TR | 15 | 20% | — |
| America Trophy | Skipper | B | 12 | 7.9 | 3.52 |
| Admiral Moore Team Race | Skipper | TR | 10 | 50% | — |
| Admiral's Cup | Skipper | B | 16 | 14.2 | 2.36 |
| Fall 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| War Memorial | Skipper | B | 18 | 11.2 | 2.44 |
| Truxtun Umsted Coed Showcase | Skipper | B | 6 | 9.8 | 2.87 |
| Oyster Bowl Fleet 2 | Skipper | A | 8 | 11.6 | 0.58 |
| NY Maritime Fall Open | Skipper | A | 12 | 4.6 | 2.92 |
| Laser North Qualifier Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 14 | 13.4 | 0.86 |
| Jesuit Invitational | Skipper | A | 1 | 8.0 | — |
| Spring 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| Greater NY Dinghy Regatta | Skipper | A | 10 | 6.7 | 1.95 |
| Central Spring Open | Skipper | A | 12 | 3.8 | 3.24 |
| Fall 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| NY Maritime Fall Open | Skipper | A | 7 | 9.1 | 2.37 |
| North Fall Qualifier | Skipper | B | 6 | 5.7 | 2.10 |
| Kings Point Dinghy Open | Skipper | A | 4 | 11.8 | 1.59 |
| David Lee Arnoff Regatta | Skipper | A | 12 | 6.9 | 2.71 |
| 43rd Henry H.Anderson Jr. Trophy | Skipper | B | 12 | 11.8 | 2.31 |
| Spring 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| America Trophy - MAISA Conference Championship | Crew | B | 7 | 12.4 | — |
| Fall 2016 Team page Season | |||||
| St. Mary's Fall Interconference | Skipper | B | 14 | 13.9 | 1.43 |
| Nevins Trophy | Skipper | C | 15 | 14.3 | 1.73 |
| Laser North Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 12 | 8.5 | 1.63 |
| David Lee Arnoff | Skipper | B | 12 | 7.6 | 1.69 |
| Danmark Trophy | Skipper | A | 15 | 18.7 | 1.25 |
| Spring 2016 Team page Season | |||||
| ODU Open | Skipper | B | 11 | 5.3 | 2.43 |
| John Jackson Memorial Team Race | Skipper | TR | 14 | 57% | — |
| Greater New York Dinghy Regatta | Skipper | A | 4 | 6.0 | 1.52 |
| Admiral Moore Team Race | Skipper | TR | 15 | 0% | — |
| Fall 2015 Team page Season | |||||
| Truxtun Umsted | Skipper | D | 18 | 11.0 | 2.40 |
| St. Mary's College of MD Fall Interconference | Skipper | B | 2 | 14.0 | 1.53 |
| Laser North Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 12 | 13.9 | 0.51 |
| Hap Moore Team Race | Skipper | TR | 16 | 19% | — |
| David Lee Arnoff Trophy | Skipper | B | 6 | 9.8 | 1.59 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
