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Central Spring Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 1 37 51 88
2 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 45 59 104
3 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 67 47 114
4 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 46 107 153
5 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 104 81 185
6 Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 101 98 199
7 Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 111 MRP 98 MRP 209 MRP
8 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 130 MRP 80 MRP 210 MRP
9 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 80 142 222
10 Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 144 85 229
11 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 2 119 112 231
12 SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 2 123 115 238
13 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 1 117 133 250
14 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 170 152 322
15 Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 162 MRP 178 MRP 340 MRP
16 Catholic University of America Catholic University of America Cardinals 164 189 353
17 American University American University Eagles 201 187 388
18 Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 193 200 393
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 1 3 1 7 10 1 1 1 3 2 4 1 3 37 Vidar Minkovsky '18
Micayla Beyer '19
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 2 2 5 9 3 2 4 7 1 2 3 5 45 Thomas Cooper '19
Jacqueline Tobin '20
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 1 10 2 2 8 5 2 2 5 3 5 1 46 Juan Lejarraga '19
Kyle Gelderman '21
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 7 7 1 11 9 9 6 1 3 7 4 2 67 Adam Devita '18
Bailey Fryer '18
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 9 3 3 4 6 8 8 10 9 6 10 4 80 Madeline Delvescovo '20
Elizabeth Calio '20
Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 13 8 4 1 4 11 12 4 10 8 18 8 101 Curtis Aaron '21 [1-12]
Brooklyn Curtin '20 [1-4, 7-12]
Dylan Crider '19 [5-6]
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 6 6 12 8 7 12 10 8 15 5 2 13 104 Paul Hart '19 [1-12]
Andrew Vernon '20 [1-6]
Haber Carlson '21 [7-12]
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 5 5 8 7 2 7 3 6 14 14 11 9 111 MRP Matthew Roleke '19 [1-6]
Andrew O'Brien '19 [7-12]
Lauren Zelenak '21 [1-6]
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 1 8 12 13 16 5 10 5 9 11 13 8 7 117 Ben Hunt '21
Robert Maes '21
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 2 12 9 11 14 10 4 9 11 8 12 13 6 119 Zane Tinnell '20
Matthew Migliozzi '20
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 2 DNS DNS 14 6 11 3 11 13 4 1 12 10 123 Jeremy Mccauley '20
Jessica Nelson '18
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 4 11 9 5 12 6 7 5 13 11 15 12 130 MRP Javier Gonzalez Rotge '21 [1-12]
Jonathan Eaton '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Alesha Darling '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 10 14 10 12 16 16 13 12 7 9 14 11 144 Nina Van De Vaarst '19
Katherine Foley '19
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 11 13 6 13 13 13 17 18 6 10 7 15 162 MRP Troy Dittenhofer '20 [1-12]
Angelina Graham '19 [1-8]
Ian Walczak '18 [9-12]
Catholic University of America Catholic University of America Cardinals 16 15 15 3 14 14 14 17 17 17 6 16 164 Grace Wagner '19 [1-12]
No Show [1-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Lilianna Osgood '21 [5-6, 9-10]
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 15 4 16 18 15 15 15 15 12 15 16 14 170 George Kevrekidis '18 [1-6]
Zak Dasaro '21 [7-12]
Evan Trauger '19 [1-2]
Todd Gilman '20 [3-6]
Katherine Trout '19 [7-12]
Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 14 16 17 17 18 17 18 14 18 18 9 17 193 Robert Jarrett '17
Kyle Benjamin '21
American University American University Eagles 17 17 18 15 17 18 16 16 16 16 17 18 201 Jordan Manowitz '21 [1-12]
Dylan Speicher '19 [1-6]
Zachary Forrester '20 [7-12]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 6 3 1 1 5 7 4 3 6 4 3 4 47 Liliana Loosbrock '21
Elizabeth Keeney '19
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 1 3 2 6 3 1 1 2 4 9 14 5 1 51 Nicholas Manfredi '19
Julia Chapman '21
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 9 5 4 2 2 2 1 15 4 11 2 2 59 Thomas Capozzi '19
Brigid Murphy '20
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 5 6 2 4 3 5 10 2 3 7 7 6 80 MRP Bailey Hurst '20
Kaitlyn Reilly '18
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 4 7 12 7 13 4 13 5 2 2 4 8 81 William Sunkler '20
Bridgette Hindt '18
Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 1 1 10 11 8 3 7 9 5 9 11 10 85 Kayleigh Godfrey '19 [1-12]
Bronson Gallagher '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Thomas Cahill '18 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 2 8 8 17 15 13 5 10 8 6 1 5 98 Kathryn Miller '21 [1-2, 7-8, 11-12]
Brian Tiernan '21 [3-6, 9-10]
Cameron Hunter '21 [1-8, 11-12]
Dylan Crider '19 [9-10]
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 11 9 3 6 12 15 6 1 1 5 6 3 98 MRP Townsend Morey '21 [1-2, 11-12]
Sean Kennedy '21 [3-4, 7-10]
Jesse Stevenson '19 [5-6]
Jesse Stevenson '19 [1-4, 7-12]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 7 11 7 18 7 11 14 7 7 1 10 7 107 John Wilcenski '21 [1-2, 5-12]
Matthew Daghir '20 [3-4]
Matthew Daghir '20 [1-2, 5-12]
John Wilcenski '21 [3-4]
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 2 8 4 15 8 4 14 9 8 15 8 8 11 112 John Dixon '20 [1-12]
Max Pierce '20 [1-8, 11-12]
Blake Loncharich '19 [9-10]
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 2 DNS DNS 5 5 9 6 3 6 12 10 12 9 115 James Gilmore Iii '19
Gaura Mudgal '18
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 1 15 10 13 10 17 10 8 12 10 3 13 12 133 Declan Gaylo '19 [1-12]
Muriel Weathers '19 [1-6]
Peter Wiley '19 [7-12]
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 14 14 11 9 6 16 11 11 16 12 9 13 142 Haley Clemson '20 [1-6]
Abigail Proko '20 [7-12]
Alexandra Harris '18 [1-6]
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 10 15 9 13 11 9 15 13 13 13 17 14 152 Charlie Flynn '20 [1-6]
Lucy Norton '22 [7-12]
Adam Mcclain '21 [1-6]
Noah Schochet '21 [7-12]
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 12 13 14 16 10 8 12 14 14 16 14 15 178 MRP Sean Boland '18 [1-12]
Megan Parker '19 [1-4, 7-12]
Ian Walczak '18 [5-6]
American University American University Eagles 13 16 16 12 18 12 18 17 18 15 15 17 187 Stephen Anderson '18
Dylan Brady '19
Catholic University of America Catholic University of America Cardinals 16 17 17 14 14 18 17 16 11 17 16 16 189 No Show [1-12]
Lilianna Osgood '21 [1-2]
No Show [3-4]
Erin Schwarz '21 [5-6, 9-12]
Colton Nowakowski '21 [7-8]
Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 17 12 18 15 16 17 16 18 17 18 18 18 200 Emily Pooley '19 [1-12]
Elizabeth Lee '20 [1-6]
Arul Ruthwik Duggimpudi '20 [7-12]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.220+0.22
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
American UniversityAmerican University Eagles11335577991111
Catholic University of AmericaCatholic University of America Cardinals2244668810101212
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains3355779911111313
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions446688101012121414
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons557799111113131515
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams66881010121214141616
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Hawks77991111131315151717
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers11111313151517171133
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings8810101212141416161818
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers99111113131515171711
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Scarlet Knights1010121214141616181822
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Ducks141416161818224466
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 112121414161618182244
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 2131315151717113355
Villanova UniversityVillanova University Wildcats1515171711335577
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1616181822446688
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers 117171133557799
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers 21818224466881010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
American UniversityAmerican University Eagles2244668810101212
Catholic University of AmericaCatholic University of America Cardinals3355779911111313
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains446688101012121414
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions557799111113131515
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons66881010121214141616
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams77991111131315151717
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Hawks8810101212141416161818
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers12121414161618182244
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings99111113131515171711
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers1010121214141616181822
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Scarlet Knights11111313151517171133
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Ducks1515171711335577
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 1131315151717113355
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 2141416161818224466
Villanova UniversityVillanova University Wildcats1616181822446688
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen17171133557799
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers 11818224466881010
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers 211335577991111
School / Team SkipperCrew
American University American University Jordan Manowitz '21 [1-12] Dylan Speicher '19 [1-6]
Zachary Forrester '20 [7-12]
Eagles Stephen Anderson '18 Dylan Brady '19
Catholic University of America Catholic University of America Grace Wagner '19 [1-12] No Show [1-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Lilianna Osgood '21 [5-6, 9-10]
Cardinals No Show [1-12] Lilianna Osgood '21 [1-2]
No Show [3-4]
Erin Schwarz '21 [5-6, 9-12]
Colton Nowakowski '21 [7-8]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Javier Gonzalez Rotge '21 [1-12] Jonathan Eaton '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Alesha Darling '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Captains Bailey Hurst '20 Kaitlyn Reilly '18
Columbia University Columbia University Adam Devita '18 Bailey Fryer '18
Lions Liliana Loosbrock '21 Elizabeth Keeney '19
Drexel University Drexel University Madeline Delvescovo '20 Elizabeth Calio '20
Dragons Haley Clemson '20 [1-6]
Abigail Proko '20 [7-12]		 Alexandra Harris '18 [1-6]
Fordham University Fordham University Thomas Cooper '19 Jacqueline Tobin '20
Rams Thomas Capozzi '19 Brigid Murphy '20
Monmouth University Monmouth University Nina Van De Vaarst '19 Katherine Foley '19
Hawks Kayleigh Godfrey '19 [1-12] Bronson Gallagher '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Thomas Cahill '18 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Ocean County College Ocean County College Troy Dittenhofer '20 [1-12] Angelina Graham '19 [1-8]
Ian Walczak '18 [9-12]
Vikings Sean Boland '18 [1-12] Megan Parker '19 [1-4, 7-12]
Ian Walczak '18 [5-6]
Princeton University Princeton University George Kevrekidis '18 [1-6]
Zak Dasaro '21 [7-12]		 Evan Trauger '19 [1-2]
Todd Gilman '20 [3-6]
Katherine Trout '19 [7-12]
Tigers Charlie Flynn '20 [1-6]
Lucy Norton '22 [7-12]		 Adam Mcclain '21 [1-6]
Noah Schochet '21 [7-12]
Rutgers University Rutgers University Robert Jarrett '17 Kyle Benjamin '21
Scarlet Knights Emily Pooley '19 [1-12] Elizabeth Lee '20 [1-6]
Arul Ruthwik Duggimpudi '20 [7-12]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Juan Lejarraga '19 Kyle Gelderman '21
Privateers John Wilcenski '21 [1-2, 5-12]
Matthew Daghir '20 [3-4]		 Matthew Daghir '20 [1-2, 5-12]
John Wilcenski '21 [3-4]
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Vidar Minkovsky '18 Micayla Beyer '19
Seawolves 1 Nicholas Manfredi '19 Julia Chapman '21
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Jeremy Mccauley '20 Jessica Nelson '18
Seawolves 2 James Gilmore Iii '19 Gaura Mudgal '18
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Matthew Roleke '19 [1-6]
Andrew O'Brien '19 [7-12]		 Lauren Zelenak '21 [1-6]
Ducks Townsend Morey '21 [1-2, 11-12]
Sean Kennedy '21 [3-4, 7-10]
Jesse Stevenson '19 [5-6]		 Jesse Stevenson '19 [1-4, 7-12]
Villanova University Villanova University Curtis Aaron '21 [1-12] Brooklyn Curtin '20 [1-4, 7-12]
Dylan Crider '19 [5-6]
Wildcats Kathryn Miller '21 [1-2, 7-8, 11-12]
Brian Tiernan '21 [3-6, 9-10]		 Cameron Hunter '21 [1-8, 11-12]
Dylan Crider '19 [9-10]
Washington College Washington College Paul Hart '19 [1-12] Andrew Vernon '20 [1-6]
Haber Carlson '21 [7-12]
Shoremen William Sunkler '20 Bridgette Hindt '18
Webb Institute Webb Institute Ben Hunt '21 Robert Maes '21
Clippers 1 Declan Gaylo '19 [1-12] Muriel Weathers '19 [1-6]
Peter Wiley '19 [7-12]
Webb Institute Webb Institute Zane Tinnell '20 Matthew Migliozzi '20
Clippers 2 John Dixon '20 [1-12] Max Pierce '20 [1-8, 11-12]
Blake Loncharich '19 [9-10]

Conditions — 04/07/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 44%  ·  Pressure 1012.3 hPa

Temperature

43°F
↑ 46°F   ↓ 41°F
Feels like 35°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.8 kn
avg  ·  max 10.0 kn
Gusts to 20.8 kn
From N (350°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover98% Sunshine4.2 hrs Humidity44% Pressure1012.3 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 9 kn · NW 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Ocean County: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.11)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.04 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 9% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Ocean County by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (17 labelled days at Ocean County).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →