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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 88 82 170
2 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 107 74 181
3 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 116 82 198
4 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 82 133 215
5 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 129 122 251
6 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 159 97 256
7 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 124 153 277
8 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 130 160 290
9 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 125 166 291
10 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 145 180 325
11 Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 182 162 344
12 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 187 230 417
13 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 225 201 426
14 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 245 205 450
15 Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 261 203 464
16 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 221 245 466
17 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 273 281 554
18 Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 280 303 583
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 TOT Sailors
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 10 2 1 3 15 2 1 5 11 7 3 1 6 7 1 3 1 3 82 Liam Mccarthy '19 [1-18]
Kate Bjerregaard '19 [1, 5-10]
Kaisey Mccallion '19 [2-4, 11-18]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 7 12 4 6 1 5 5 4 1 3 4 6 1 16 9 1 2 1 88 Hector Guzman '20 [1-18]
Charles Carraway '22 [1, 7-10]
Maya Weber '20 [2-6, 11-18]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 11 5 3 8 2 6 4 7 8 1 5 10 2 10 3 8 5 9 107 Sean Segerblom '20 [1-18]
Jack Hogan '22 [1, 7-10]
Rebecca Fung '19 [2-6, 11-18]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 13 1 2 5 12 10 2 1 2 13 2 11 12 6 2 4 12 6 116 Parker Loftus '20 [1-18]
Brittney Slook '20 [1, 7-10]
Sally Johnson '22 [2-6, 11-18]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 4 3 7 4 7 1 8 8 9 9 16 4 7 1 12 10 7 7 124 Jack Elkin '19 [1-18]
Stephen Guglielmo '19 [1-6, 10-18]
Gavin Burkhart '20 [7-9]
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 5 8 12 11 4 4 18 6 3 4 1 2 15 3 7 11 3 8 125 Clark Uhl '19 [1-18]
Ethan Andersen '20 [1-2, 5-10]
Adeline Sutton '21 [3-4, 11-14]
Becca Jordan '21 [15-18]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 3 6 8 9 3 9 17 2 14 2 11 7 9 8 8 5 6 2 129 Nicholas Floyd '19 [1-18]
Porter Killian '23 [1, 7-9]
Dana Hackett '20 [2-6, 10-18]
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 2 4 6 1 6 11 11 14 6 6 7 3 3 5 11 6 16 12 130 Andrew Sheerin '19 [1-8, 11-18]
Derek Poon Tip '19 [9-10]
Tanner Chapko '21 [1-6, 9-10]
Connor West '19 [7-8]
Zachary Lehan '20 [11-18]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 6 13 9 10 13 7 6 10 5 10 13 5 5 14 4 7 4 4 145 Carrson Pearce '21 [1-18]
Zoe Chang '20 [1-3, 11-14]
Kieran Cullen '21 [4-10, 15-18]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 14 17 DSQ 7 5 3 3 9 10 5 9 15 10 2 10 2 8 11 159 Eduardo Mintzias '21 [1-18]
Matt Cappetta '19 [1, 6-10]
Edward Harrison '22 [2-5]
Jacqueline Tobin '20 [11-18]
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 17 9 17 14 9 15 9 13 4 8 6 8 4 4 14 13 13 5 182 Elisabeth Kuester '19 [1-4]
Luca Taglialegne '20 [5-18]
Khari Parrish '20 [1]
Mercedes Matlock '20 [2-4]
Elisabeth Kuester '19 [5-18]
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 1 15 5 2 10 8 10 12 7 18 10 9 11 15 13 12 11 18 187 Jensen Mctighe '21
Nick Chisari '22
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 12 11 10 17 11 18 13 16 12 15 8 13 16 12 6 9 9 13 221 Colin Suvak '19 [1-18]
Hannah Lothrop '21 [1-16]
Connor Segal '20 [17-18]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 8 10 11 12 16 12 16 3 18 11 15 12 8 9 15 15 18 16 225 John Lawless '19 [1-12]
Hunter Kahler '21 [13-18]
Brian Buckley '21 [1-12]
Kyle Gelderman '21 [13-18]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 9 16 14 13 8 13 12 15 16 17 17 17 17 17 5 14 15 10 245 Spencer Charney '20 [1-12, 15-18]
Daniel Hodges '22 [13-14]
Bailey Hurst '20 [1-4, 7-10, 15-18]
Henry Clune '21 [5-6, 11-14]
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 16 14 13 15 14 16 15 11 13 16 18 14 13 11 16 17 14 15 261 Scott Gittens '20
Marc De Verteuil '20
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 15 7 15 16 17 17 14 17 15 12 12 16 18 18 17 16 17 14 273 Paul Hart '19 [1-18]
Eloise Lienert '20 [1-8, 11-14]
Haber Carlson '21 [9-10, 15-18]
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 18 18 16 18 18 14 7 18 17 14 14 18 14 13 18 18 10 17 280 Andrew O'Brien '19
Jesse Stevenson '19
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 10 7 8 9 1 1 4 10 3 4 2 3 2 1 3 1 3 2 74 Andy Reiter '19 [1-18]
Claire Mohun '19 [1-8]
Caroline Teare '21 [9-10]
Haley Shea '19 [11-18]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 2 1 2 1 6 3 1 7 12 1 8 1 10 4 2 7 7 7 82 Charles Miller '19 [1-18]
Lindsey Kloc '19 [1-5, 10-18]
Kyle Easton '20 [6-9]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 4 2 10 7 3 11 2 2 2 8 5 2 7 5 1 5 1 5 82 Jc Hermus '22 [1-18]
Kent Mathes '20 [1-3, 7-10]
Ana Mier '19 [4-6, 11-18]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 3 3 1 17 9 9 10 3 10 3 1 5 5 2 8 3 2 3 97 Roberto Stevens '19 [1-18]
Jacqueline Tobin '20 [1-4]
Declan Lombard '21 [5-8]
Cortney Rielly '20 [9-18]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 8 9 12 3 8 15 11 5 5 5 7 4 3 8 6 4 8 1 122 Joseph Laforgia '21 [1-18]
Kelly Hanlon '21 [1-2, 7-10]
Emelia Bartusiak '21 [3-6, 11-18]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 5 7 10 2 6 6 13 1 2 10 12 13 9 4 10 11 11 133 Lewis Cooper '21 [1-18]
Lydia Mcpherson-Shambarger '19 [1-6, 9-18]
Thomas Walker '21 [7-8]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 12 14 3 6 7 5 16 8 4 6 9 8 1 7 13 13 12 9 153 Dreugh Phillips '21 [1-18]
Julia Williams-Portland '21 [1-10, 15-18]
Gavin Burkhart '20 [11-14]
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 13 13 15 5 15 7 13 9 7 9 4 6 4 11 11 2 10 6 160 Wade Wagner '19 [1-5]
Matt Logue '22 [6-18]
Sarah Noyes '20 [1-3]
Andreea Rainey-Pace '20 [4-5, 11-12, 17-18]
Michael Houllahan '20 [6-10, 13-16]
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 11 4 4 11 11 2 5 4 RAF 11 16 10 9 3 17 8 4 13 162 Filip Stevanovic '20
Dario Abou Rjeili '20
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 5 10 11 2 16 10 9 11 11 10 3 7 15 12 12 9 5 8 166 Gabby Rizika '20 [1-8, 15-18]
Daisy Holthus '21 [9-14]
Diana Otis '19 [1-4, 15-18]
Becca Jordan '21 [5-8]
Kimberly Wong '19 [9-12]
Ethan Andersen '20 [13-14]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 15 6 14 12 10 4 3 1 17 14 6 15 14 10 14 6 15 4 180 Garrett Lawlor '20 [1-18]
Luke Welker '21 [1-10, 15-18]
Maddie Talecki '20 [11-14]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 6 8 6 13 12 8 15 15 15 17 11 17 8 13 7 11 9 10 201 Juan Lejarraga '19 [1-18]
Christian Neuman '21 [1-6, 9-18]
Hunter Kahler '21 [7-8]
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 16 12 13 14 4 12 8 14 6 16 12 11 6 6 10 12 14 17 203 William Bruce '21
Maggie Macdonald '22
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 9 15 9 4 13 13 12 6 13 7 15 13 11 15 5 16 13 16 205 Javier Gonzalez Rotge '21 [1-18]
Ian O'Connell '20 [1-2, 7-10, 15-18]
Mackenzie Conner '20 [3-6, 11-14]
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 14 11 17 18 5 14 7 16 9 13 17 14 17 14 9 14 6 15 230 Zane Tinnell '20
Matthew Migliozzi '20
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 7 18 5 8 17 17 14 18 16 12 13 9 12 17 15 17 16 14 245 Trent Levy '21 [1-4, 7-10, 15-18]
Katarina Catallo '20 [5-6, 11-14]
Katarina Catallo '20 [1-4, 9-10, 17-18]
Connor Segal '20 [5-8, 11-16]
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 17 17 18 16 18 16 17 17 8 15 14 16 16 16 16 15 17 12 281 Andrew Vernon '20 [1-4]
Henry Proud '21 [5-18]
Haber Carlson '21 [1-4]
Andrew Vernon '20 [5-18]
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 18 16 16 15 14 18 18 12 14 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 303 Alex Wiggins '22
Sean Jahnige '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2018 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A17A18A
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains112233445566778899
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red22111818171716161515141413131212
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams3344556677889910101111
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials4433221118181717161615151414
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas55667788991010111112121313
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates665544332211181817171616
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen778899101011111212131314141515
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners131314141515161617171818112233
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen1414131312121111101099887766
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers10109988776655443322
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs88776655443322111818
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers15151616171718181122334455
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels9910101111121213131414151516161717
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks1111121213131414151516161717181811
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Ducks121211111010998877665544
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos16161515141413131212111110109988
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1717181811223344556677
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers181817171616151514141313121211111010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B16B17B18B
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains112233445566778899
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red22111818171716161515141413131212
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams3344556677889910101111
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials4433221118181717161615151414
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas55667788991010111112121313
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates665544332211181817171616
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen778899101011111212131314141515
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners131314141515161617171818112233
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen1414131312121111101099887766
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers10109988776655443322
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs88776655443322111818
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers15151616171718181122334455
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels9910101111121213131414151516161717
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks1111121213131414151516161717181811
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Ducks121211111010998877665544
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos16161515141413131212111110109988
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1717181811223344556677
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers181817171616151514141313121211111010
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Spencer Charney '20 [1-12, 15-18]
Daniel Hodges '22 [13-14]		 Bailey Hurst '20 [1-4, 7-10, 15-18]
Henry Clune '21 [5-6, 11-14]
Captains Javier Gonzalez Rotge '21 [1-18] Ian O'Connell '20 [1-2, 7-10, 15-18]
Mackenzie Conner '20 [3-6, 11-14]
Cornell University Cornell University Clark Uhl '19 [1-18] Ethan Andersen '20 [1-2, 5-10]
Adeline Sutton '21 [3-4, 11-14]
Becca Jordan '21 [15-18]
Big Red Gabby Rizika '20 [1-8, 15-18]
Daisy Holthus '21 [9-14]		 Diana Otis '19 [1-4, 15-18]
Becca Jordan '21 [5-8]
Kimberly Wong '19 [9-12]
Ethan Andersen '20 [13-14]
Fordham University Fordham University Eduardo Mintzias '21 [1-18] Matt Cappetta '19 [1, 6-10]
Edward Harrison '22 [2-5]
Jacqueline Tobin '20 [11-18]
Rams Roberto Stevens '19 [1-18] Jacqueline Tobin '20 [1-4]
Declan Lombard '21 [5-8]
Cortney Rielly '20 [9-18]
George Washington University George Washington University Andrew Sheerin '19 [1-8, 11-18]
Derek Poon Tip '19 [9-10]		 Tanner Chapko '21 [1-6, 9-10]
Connor West '19 [7-8]
Zachary Lehan '20 [11-18]
Colonials Wade Wagner '19 [1-5]
Matt Logue '22 [6-18]		 Sarah Noyes '20 [1-3]
Andreea Rainey-Pace '20 [4-5, 11-12, 17-18]
Michael Houllahan '20 [6-10, 13-16]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Sean Segerblom '20 [1-18] Jack Hogan '22 [1, 7-10]
Rebecca Fung '19 [2-6, 11-18]
Hoyas Andy Reiter '19 [1-18] Claire Mohun '19 [1-8]
Caroline Teare '21 [9-10]
Haley Shea '19 [11-18]
Hampton University Hampton University Elisabeth Kuester '19 [1-4]
Luca Taglialegne '20 [5-18]		 Khari Parrish '20 [1]
Mercedes Matlock '20 [2-4]
Elisabeth Kuester '19 [5-18]
Pirates Filip Stevanovic '20 Dario Abou Rjeili '20
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hector Guzman '20 [1-18] Charles Carraway '22 [1, 7-10]
Maya Weber '20 [2-6, 11-18]
Statesmen Charles Miller '19 [1-18] Lindsey Kloc '19 [1-5, 10-18]
Kyle Easton '20 [6-9]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Jack Elkin '19 [1-18] Stephen Guglielmo '19 [1-6, 10-18]
Gavin Burkhart '20 [7-9]
Monarchs Dreugh Phillips '21 [1-18] Julia Williams-Portland '21 [1-10, 15-18]
Gavin Burkhart '20 [11-14]
Queen's University Queen's University Scott Gittens '20 Marc De Verteuil '20
Gaels William Bruce '21 Maggie Macdonald '22
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College John Lawless '19 [1-12]
Hunter Kahler '21 [13-18]		 Brian Buckley '21 [1-12]
Kyle Gelderman '21 [13-18]
Privateers Juan Lejarraga '19 [1-18] Christian Neuman '21 [1-6, 9-18]
Hunter Kahler '21 [7-8]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Liam Mccarthy '19 [1-18] Kate Bjerregaard '19 [1, 5-10]
Kaisey Mccallion '19 [2-4, 11-18]
Seahawks Lewis Cooper '21 [1-18] Lydia Mcpherson-Shambarger '19 [1-6, 9-18]
Thomas Walker '21 [7-8]
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Andrew O'Brien '19 Jesse Stevenson '19
Ducks Alex Wiggins '22 Sean Jahnige '22
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Carrson Pearce '21 [1-18] Zoe Chang '20 [1-3, 11-14]
Kieran Cullen '21 [4-10, 15-18]
Mariners Garrett Lawlor '20 [1-18] Luke Welker '21 [1-10, 15-18]
Maddie Talecki '20 [11-14]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Parker Loftus '20 [1-18] Brittney Slook '20 [1, 7-10]
Sally Johnson '22 [2-6, 11-18]
Midshipmen Jc Hermus '22 [1-18] Kent Mathes '20 [1-3, 7-10]
Ana Mier '19 [4-6, 11-18]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Nicholas Floyd '19 [1-18] Porter Killian '23 [1, 7-9]
Dana Hackett '20 [2-6, 10-18]
Quakers Joseph Laforgia '21 [1-18] Kelly Hanlon '21 [1-2, 7-10]
Emelia Bartusiak '21 [3-6, 11-18]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Colin Suvak '19 [1-18] Hannah Lothrop '21 [1-16]
Connor Segal '20 [17-18]
Wahoos Trent Levy '21 [1-4, 7-10, 15-18]
Katarina Catallo '20 [5-6, 11-14]		 Katarina Catallo '20 [1-4, 9-10, 17-18]
Connor Segal '20 [5-8, 11-16]
Washington College Washington College Paul Hart '19 [1-18] Eloise Lienert '20 [1-8, 11-14]
Haber Carlson '21 [9-10, 15-18]
Shoremen Andrew Vernon '20 [1-4]
Henry Proud '21 [5-18]		 Haber Carlson '21 [1-4]
Andrew Vernon '20 [5-18]
Webb Institute Webb Institute Jensen Mctighe '21 Nick Chisari '22
Clippers Zane Tinnell '20 Matthew Migliozzi '20

Conditions — 10/27/2018 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 95%  ·  Pressure 1001.3 hPa

Temperature

50°F
↑ 52°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 45°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.5 kn
avg  ·  max 11.1 kn
Gusts to 25.3 kn
From NW (324°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover90% Sunshine1.0 hrs Humidity95% Pressure1001.3 hPa Rain0.47 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 15 kn · W 11 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Navy: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.13 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.17
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.17 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Navy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (114 labelled days at Navy).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →