Old Dominion University '21
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singlehanded | 1.77 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 25 | Spring 2021 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.74 (fleet 3.76) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.02 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 69–86 (45%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2021 | 3 | 9–11 | — |
| Spring 2020 | 2 | 10–19 | — |
| Spring 2019 | 5 | 34–36 | — |
| Spring 2018 | 3 | 10–5 | — |
| Spring 2017 | 2 | 6–15 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 13 graded regattas (152 matches) the record is 67–85 against 59.1 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+7.9). 4 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 3 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 14 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-04-24 | MAISA South Team Race Championships | skipper | 3.21 | 1.98 | 2–6 | 4.0 | −1.23 | 1.7 | 97% |
| 2021-03-28 | ODU vs Jacksonville Team Race | skipper | 3.06 | 4.78 | 5–1 | 3.2 | +1.72 | 2.0 | 12% |
| 2021-03-27 | Aaron Szambecki Team Race | skipper | 3.13 | 1.73 | 2–4 | 3.9 | −1.40 | 2.0 | 98% |
| 2020-03-07 | St. Mary's Team Race Inter-Conference | skipper | 3.29 | 3.79 | 5–9 | 3.8 | +0.50 | 0.4 | 32% |
| 2020-02-29 | Georgetown Team Race | skipper | 3.33 | 3.54 | 5–10 | 4.4 | +0.21 | 0.1 | 47% |
| 2019-04-06 | Prosser Trophy | skipper | 3.24 | 3.43 | 5–9 | 4.4 | +0.20 | 0.1 | 47% |
| 2019-03-23 | Aaron Szambecki Team Race | skipper | 3.26 | 3.14 | 8–10 | 8.4 | −0.12 | 0.0 | 68% |
| 2019-03-16 | Graham Hall | skipper | 3.11 | 3.61 | 8–7 | 6.8 | +0.50 | 0.4 | 31% |
| 2019-03-09 | John Jackson Memorial Team Race | skipper | 3.09 | 4.26 | 6–5 | 3.7 | +1.16 | 2.0 | 9% |
| 2019-03-02 | Georgetown Team Race | skipper | 3.01 | 3.92 | 7–5 | 5.2 | +0.91 | 1.2 | 16% |
| 2018-04-07 | Capt. Prosser Trophy - MAISA TR Championship | skipper | 2.89 | 4.11 | 8–4 | 4.8 | +1.22 | 2.8 | 5% |
| 2017-03-18 | Graham Hall | skipper | 3.18 | 1.88 | 2–4 | 3.4 | −1.30 | 1.3 | 97% |
| 2017-03-04 | GW Team Race | skipper | 3.13 | 3.55 | 4–11 | 3.0 | +0.42 | 0.3 | 36% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Hinman Trophy (U.S. Team Racing Championship) | Selected | TR | — | — | — |
| Spring 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| ODU vs Jacksonville Team Race | Skipper | TR | 5 | 67% | — |
| ODU vs Jacksonville Fleet Race | Skipper | A | 2 | 3.0 | 4.58 |
| Men's Open Singlehanded National Championship Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 14 | 36.8 | 0.59 |
| MAISA South Team Race Championships | Skipper | TR | 10 | 40% | — |
| Aaron Szambecki Team Race | Skipper | TR | 9 | 56% | — |
| Spring 2020 Team page Season | |||||
| St. Mary's Team Race Inter-Conference | Skipper | TR | 14 | 36% | — |
| Georgetown Team Race | Skipper | TR | 15 | 33% | — |
| Fall 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| War Memorial | Skipper | A | 13 | 7.8 | 3.89 |
| Oyster Bowl | Skipper | A | 7 | 2.9 | 4.96 |
| Danmark Trophy | Skipper | A | 18 | 12.1 | 3.52 |
| Coed Showcase Qualifier B | Skipper | A | 16 | 10.9 | 3.57 |
| Chesapeake Invitational Sat FJ | Skipper | A | 7 | 13.6 | 2.35 |
| Coed Showcase Tournament | Skipper | A | 6 | 7.8 | 3.67 |
| Spring 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| Prosser Trophy | Skipper | TR | 14 | 36% | — |
| Navy Spring | Skipper | B | 14 | 7.6 | 3.42 |
| John Jackson Memorial Team Race | Skipper | TR | 12 | 58% | — |
| Graham Hall | Skipper | TR | 15 | 53% | — |
| Gill College Sailing Coed National Championship | Skipper | B | 16 | 11.5 | 3.57 |
| Gill Coed Western Semifinal | Skipper | B | 14 | 7.2 | 3.95 |
| Georgetown Team Race | Skipper | TR | 15 | 67% | — |
| America Trophy | Skipper | B | 12 | 7.0 | 3.75 |
| Admiral's Cup | Skipper | B | 16 | 8.4 | 3.91 |
| Aaron Szambecki Team Race | Skipper | TR | 18 | 44% | — |
| Fall 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| War Memorial | Skipper | B | 18 | 8.5 | 3.19 |
| Top 9 Regatta Coed | Skipper | B | 14 | 10.6 | 1.19 |
| Oyster Bowl Fleet 1 | Skipper | B | 8 | 8.5 | 2.06 |
| MAISA Match Race Championship | Crew | TR | 7 | 0% | — |
| Laser South Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 11 | 15.5 | 0.98 |
| Harvard Coed Showcase 2 | Skipper | B | 10 | 7.7 | 3.79 |
| Fiske-Harriman-Sleigh Trophy Coed Showcase | Skipper | B | 18 | 11.0 | 3.54 |
| Chesapeake Invitational (Sunday) | Skipper | A | 8 | 14.6 | 2.23 |
| Chesapeake Invitational (Sat) | Skipper | A | 8 | 12.8 | 2.93 |
| Spring 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| Graham Hall Team Race | Skipper | TR | 15 | 53% | — |
| Gill Coed Eastern Semifinal | Skipper | B | 2 | 3.5 | 5.12 |
| Capt. Prosser Trophy - MAISA TR Championship | Skipper | TR | 21 | 38% | — |
| Admirals Cup | Skipper | B | 9 | 10.8 | 2.86 |
| Aaron Szambecki Team Race | Skipper | TR | 14 | 50% | — |
| Fall 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| South Qualifier | Skipper | B | 12 | 4.0 | 3.42 |
| Riley Cup | Skipper | A | 12 | 4.2 | 4.06 |
| David Lee Arnoff Regatta | Skipper | A | 13 | 7.3 | 2.63 |
| Spring 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| Thompson Trophy | Skipper | C | 13 | 10.8 | 2.92 |
| GW Team Race | Skipper | TR | 15 | 27% | — |
| Graham Hall | Skipper | TR | 15 | 40% | — |
| Charleston Spring Coed | Skipper | A | 17 | 12.4 | 2.37 |
| Fall 2016 Team page Season | |||||
| War Memorial Backup | Skipper | B | 11 | 9.5 | 2.94 |
| St. Mary's Fall Interconference | Skipper | B | 14 | 7.6 | 3.35 |
| Sherman Hoyt Trophy | Skipper | B | 13 | 7.9 | 3.69 |
| Riley Cup | Skipper | A | 12 | 5.1 | 3.87 |
| Danmark Trophy | Skipper | B | 2 | 7.5 | 4.18 |
| Atlantic Coast Tournament | Skipper | A | 14 | 9.3 | 3.17 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Dreugh Phillips |  Norfolk Collegiate School |
'16 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
