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Navy Spring

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 83 41 124
2 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 55 73 128
3 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 92 43 135
4 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 87 111 198
5 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 90 115 205
6 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 96 125 221
7 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 104 132 236
8 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 1 130 106 236
9 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 168 107 275
10 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 180 106 286
11 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 2 170 149 319
12 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 105 214 319
13 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 193 128 321
14 Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 141 187 328
15 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 149 185 334
16 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 173 166 339
17 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 181 197 378
18 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 197 211 408
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 4 3 3 6 1 1 7 4 8 1 3 1 6 7 55 Sean Segerblom '20
Rebecca Fung '19
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 11 5 9 8 18 4 4 2 3 10 1 2 3 3 83 Parker Loftus '20
Sally Johnson '22
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 5 1 2 5 7 2 17 9 4 11 4 7 4 9 87 Andrew Sheerin '19
Zachary Lehan '20
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 6 1 2 11 9 2 14 10 6 9 8 5 6 90 Jacob Rosenberg '20 [1-14]
Kathryn Booker '19 [1-10, 13-14]
Camille White '22 [11-12]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 8 13 16 1 4 3 5 7 9 4 12 3 2 5 92 Augie Dale '19
Katherine Lounsbury '20
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 18 12 8 15 6 5 1 1 2 5 5 4 10 4 96 Carrson Pearce '21
Rachel Beisswenger '22
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 3 10 4 17 13 10 10 6 1 3 10 15 1 1 104 Clark Uhl '19 [1-14]
Adeline Sutton '21 [1-10, 13-14]
Ethan Andersen '20 [11-12]
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 13 9 6 10 3 8 8 12 11 2 8 6 7 2 105 Jensen Mctighe '21
Galen Ng '20
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 1 9 7 7 11 12 6 3 10 5 18 6 17 8 11 130 Matt Cappetta '19
Jacqueline Tobin '20
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 2 4 13 16 14 16 18 8 7 9 2 11 13 8 141 Luca Taglialegne '20 [1-14]
Isobel Finnegan '21 [1-8]
Olivera Stojilovic '19 [9-14]
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 6 2 14 3 17 17 13 5 15 15 14 5 11 12 149 Ciara Rodriguez-Horan '22 [1-14]
Grace Bloomfield '19 [1-10, 12-14]
Stephen Hahn '20 [11]
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 14 16 15 7 10 14 14 11 12 14 13 9 9 10 168 Robert Turigliatto '22
Alex Sidi '21
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 2 12 15 10 13 2 15 9 15 6 13 17 13 17 13 170 Grace Howie '20 [1-14]
Elizabeth Hupp '21 [1-12]
Maggie Costikyan '22 [13-14]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 7 8 11 4 9 11 12 17 13 17 18 18 14 14 173 Connor Ratcliff '21
Jackie Morrison '23
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 15 14 5 18 16 7 16 16 17 7 7 10 15 17 180 Jack Elkin '19
Gavin Burkhart '20
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 17 18 12 9 15 18 11 3 14 8 11 14 16 15 181 Brett Putnam '22 [1-14]
Lexie Foos '22 [1-8]
Carolina Perez Rovira '22 [9-14]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 10 11 18 14 8 13 15 13 16 12 15 12 18 18 193 Pierre Thibodeau '20
Gillian Winn '21
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 16 17 17 12 5 12 6 18 18 16 16 16 12 16 197 Aidan Molesky '20 [1-14]
Kaitlin Brzostek '22 [1-10]
John Wilcenski '21 [11-14]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 1 1 1 8 1 2 4 1 3 4 6 5 3 41 Connor Bayless '21
Ana Mier '19
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 8 2 5 4 1 2 1 1 7 2 2 4 3 1 43 Alie Toppa '20
Annabel Carrington '19
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 6 7 6 2 4 15 8 2 1 6 1 1 12 73 Andrew Person '21 [1-8]
Jack Reiter '22 [9-14]
Lucy Beimfohr '21 [1-8]
Claire Mohun '19 [9-14]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 7 3 2 5 17 12 7 9 3 4 1 9 13 14 106 Dreugh Phillips '21
Makalynne Dyer '22
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 1 9 7 4 2 7 10 11 6 9 13 8 5 7 8 106 Brad Seferian '19
Annika Ekholm '20
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 5 10 14 13 4 6 5 10 6 7 3 13 2 9 107 Richard Mccann '23 [1-14]
Grace Harden '22 [1-10]
Kaitlyn Delisser '20 [11-14]
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 6 4 12 3 12 5 3 13 8 18 5 3 12 7 111 Riley Legault '19 [1-8]
Derek Poon Tip '19 [9-14]
Alexandra Fayer '19 [1-8]
Michael Houllahan '20 [9-14]
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 4 11 10 12 3 8 9 2 12 8 13 8 9 6 115 Stephanie Houck '21 [1-14]
Cassie Obel '19 [1-8]
Ashton Borcherding '22 [9-14]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 3 9 3 11 5 7 12 7 11 6 12 10 14 15 125 Luke Welker '21 [1-14]
Zoe Chang '20 [1-8]
Kieran Cullen '21 [9-14]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 12 5 11 16 15 3 6 11 5 5 16 7 11 5 128 Charles Carraway '22
Tory Mileti '22
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 18 13 6 9 9 13 4 3 15 16 10 2 4 10 132 Phillip Schofield '21
Patricia Corujo '21
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 2 11 14 8 10 6 9 16 15 4 14 11 12 17 2 149 Charlotte Leclue '19
Makena Masterson '19
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 10 8 16 14 13 DSQ 10 16 10 15 7 11 6 11 166 Daniel Vail '21 [1-8]
Cameron Douglas '20 [9-14]
Liam Farese '22 [1-8]
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 15 17 18 8 11 15 17 5 17 9 15 15 10 13 185 Caelan Watts '21 [1-4, 11-14]
Harris Cram '19 [5-10]
Kate Lenhard '21 [1-4, 11-14]
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 13 12 15 7 18 14 13 17 13 10 14 RAF 18 4 187 Filip Stevanovic '20
Maja Petronijevic '21
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 14 15 13 18 10 11 8 12 14 17 18 16 15 16 197 Kyle Runnfeldt '20 [1-14]
Carolina Perez Rovira '22 [1-8]
Lexie Foos '22 [9-14]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 17 16 9 17 16 16 18 18 16 11 9 14 16 18 211 William Sesack '21
Brian Buckley '21
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 16 18 17 15 14 17 14 14 18 12 17 17 8 17 214 Zane Tinnell '20
Robert Maes '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (13 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars11223344556677
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red221118181717161615151414
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons33445566778899
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams 144332211181817171616
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams 2556677889910101111
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials6655443322111818
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas7788991010111112121313
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates88776655443322
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen99101011111212131314141515
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners141413131212111110109988
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes1616151514141313121211111010
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen1515161617171818112233
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers1111121213131414151516161717
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs1010998877665544
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls171718181122334455
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal12121111101099887766
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave13131414151516161717181811
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers1818171716161515141413131212

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars11223344556677
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red221118181717161615151414
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons33445566778899
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams 144332211181817171616
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams 2556677889910101111
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials6655443322111818
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas7788991010111112121313
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates88776655443322
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen99101011111212131314141515
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners141413131212111110109988
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes1616151514141313121211111010
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen1515161617171818112233
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers1111121213131414151516161717
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs1010998877665544
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls171718181122334455
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal12121111101099887766
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave13131414151516161717181811
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers1818171716161515141413131212
School / Team SkipperCrew
College of Charleston College of Charleston Augie Dale '19 Katherine Lounsbury '20
Cougars Alie Toppa '20 Annabel Carrington '19
Cornell University Cornell University Clark Uhl '19 [1-14] Adeline Sutton '21 [1-10, 13-14]
Ethan Andersen '20 [11-12]
Big Red Phillip Schofield '21 Patricia Corujo '21
Eckerd College Eckerd College Connor Ratcliff '21 Jackie Morrison '23
Tritons Daniel Vail '21 [1-8]
Cameron Douglas '20 [9-14]		 Liam Farese '22 [1-8]
Fordham University Fordham University Matt Cappetta '19 Jacqueline Tobin '20
Rams 1 Brad Seferian '19 Annika Ekholm '20
Fordham University Fordham University Grace Howie '20 [1-14] Elizabeth Hupp '21 [1-12]
Maggie Costikyan '22 [13-14]
Rams 2 Charlotte Leclue '19 Makena Masterson '19
George Washington University George Washington University Andrew Sheerin '19 Zachary Lehan '20
Colonials Riley Legault '19 [1-8]
Derek Poon Tip '19 [9-14]		 Alexandra Fayer '19 [1-8]
Michael Houllahan '20 [9-14]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Sean Segerblom '20 Rebecca Fung '19
Hoyas Andrew Person '21 [1-8]
Jack Reiter '22 [9-14]		 Lucy Beimfohr '21 [1-8]
Claire Mohun '19 [9-14]
Hampton University Hampton University Luca Taglialegne '20 [1-14] Isobel Finnegan '21 [1-8]
Olivera Stojilovic '19 [9-14]
Pirates Filip Stevanovic '20 Maja Petronijevic '21
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Pierre Thibodeau '20 Gillian Winn '21
Statesmen Charles Carraway '22 Tory Mileti '22
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Jack Elkin '19 Gavin Burkhart '20
Monarchs Dreugh Phillips '21 Makalynne Dyer '22
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Aidan Molesky '20 [1-14] Kaitlin Brzostek '22 [1-10]
John Wilcenski '21 [11-14]
Privateers William Sesack '21 Brian Buckley '21
Stanford University Stanford University Jacob Rosenberg '20 [1-14] Kathryn Booker '19 [1-10, 13-14]
Camille White '22 [11-12]
Cardinal Stephanie Houck '21 [1-14] Cassie Obel '19 [1-8]
Ashton Borcherding '22 [9-14]
Tulane University Tulane University Ciara Rodriguez-Horan '22 [1-14] Grace Bloomfield '19 [1-10, 12-14]
Stephen Hahn '20 [11]
Green Wave Caelan Watts '21 [1-4, 11-14]
Harris Cram '19 [5-10]		 Kate Lenhard '21 [1-4, 11-14]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Carrson Pearce '21 Rachel Beisswenger '22
Mariners Luke Welker '21 [1-14] Zoe Chang '20 [1-8]
Kieran Cullen '21 [9-14]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Parker Loftus '20 Sally Johnson '22
Midshipmen Connor Bayless '21 Ana Mier '19
University of Miami University of Miami Robert Turigliatto '22 Alex Sidi '21
Hurricanes Richard Mccann '23 [1-14] Grace Harden '22 [1-10]
Kaitlyn Delisser '20 [11-14]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Brett Putnam '22 [1-14] Lexie Foos '22 [1-8]
Carolina Perez Rovira '22 [9-14]
Bulls Kyle Runnfeldt '20 [1-14] Carolina Perez Rovira '22 [1-8]
Lexie Foos '22 [9-14]
Webb Institute Webb Institute Jensen Mctighe '21 Galen Ng '20
Clippers Zane Tinnell '20 Robert Maes '21

Conditions — 04/13/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 80%  ·  Pressure 1018.5 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 73°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 69°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.2 kn
avg  ·  max 6.5 kn
Gusts to 17.5 kn
From S (176°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover86% Sunshine5.7 hrs Humidity80% Pressure1018.5 hPa Rain0.08 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 4 kn · S 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Navy: a favourites’ day (+0.08)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.17 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.12 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Navy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (114 labelled days at Navy).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →