George Washington University '19
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singlehanded | 3.15 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 6 | Fall 2014 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.90 (fleet 3.95) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.04 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 137–113 (55%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2019 | 5 | 43–31 | — |
| Spring 2018 | 5 | 48–35 | — |
| Spring 2017 | 5 | 40–34 | — |
| Spring 2016 | 1 | 6–13 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 16 graded regattas (250 matches) the record is 137–113 against 121.3 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+15.7). 5 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 2 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 18 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-04-06 | Prosser Trophy | skipper | 3.77 | 3.14 | 5–9 | 6.9 | −0.63 | 0.8 | 92% |
| 2019-03-23 | Aaron Szambecki Team Race | skipper | 3.56 | 4.91 | 15–6 | 9.1 | +1.35 | 5.6 | 1% |
| 2019-03-16 | Graham Hall | skipper | 3.63 | 3.48 | 8–8 | 8.4 | −0.15 | 0.0 | 71% |
| 2019-03-09 | St. Mary's Team Race InterConference | skipper | 3.59 | 3.64 | 4–4 | 3.9 | +0.05 | 0.0 | 63% |
| 2019-03-02 | GW Team Race | skipper | 3.51 | 4.03 | 11–4 | 9.8 | +0.51 | 0.4 | 34% |
| 2018-05-26 | LaserPerformance Team Race National Championship | skipper | 3.38 | 3.16 | 10–12 | 10.9 | −0.22 | 0.1 | 75% |
| 2018-04-07 | Capt. Prosser Trophy - MAISA TR Championship | skipper | 3.18 | 4.22 | 15–6 | 10.6 | +1.04 | 3.2 | 3% |
| 2018-03-24 | Aaron Szambecki Team Race | skipper | 3.16 | 3.48 | 8–7 | 7.0 | +0.32 | 0.2 | 38% |
| 2018-03-17 | Graham Hall Team Race | skipper | 3.23 | 3.76 | 11–9 | 9.2 | +0.52 | 0.7 | 24% |
| 2018-03-03 | GW Team Race | skipper | 3.20 | 4.56 | 4–1 | 3.1 | +1.36 | 0.8 | 32% |
| 2017-04-08 | Prosser Trophy | skipper | 3.16 | 2.97 | 8–7 | 8.6 | −0.19 | 0.1 | 73% |
| 2017-03-25 | Admiral Moore Team Race | skipper | 3.37 | 2.15 | 4–7 | 6.4 | −1.23 | 2.1 | 98% |
| 2017-03-18 | Graham Hall | skipper | 3.23 | 4.07 | 9–6 | 6.7 | +0.84 | 1.4 | 13% |
| 2017-03-11 | St. Mary's Team Race Interconference | skipper | 3.26 | 4.07 | 7–5 | 4.9 | +0.81 | 1.2 | 15% |
| 2017-03-04 | Bob Bavier Team Race | skipper | 3.18 | 3.68 | 12–9 | 9.7 | +0.50 | 0.8 | 20% |
| 2016-03-26 | Admiral Moore Team Race | skipper | 2.88 | 2.88 | 6–13 | 6.0 | −0.00 | 0.0 | 60% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| St. Mary's Team Race InterConference | Skipper | TR | 9 | 56% | — |
| Prosser Trophy | Skipper | TR | 14 | 36% | — |
| Navy Spring | Skipper | A | 14 | 6.2 | 4.34 |
| GW Team Race | Skipper | TR | 15 | 73% | — |
| Graham Hall | Skipper | TR | 15 | 47% | — |
| America Trophy | Skipper | A | 6 | 8.0 | 2.82 |
| Aaron Szambecki Team Race | Skipper | TR | 21 | 71% | — |
| Fall 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| War Memorial | Skipper | A | 16 | 7.4 | 3.89 |
| Truxtun Umsted Coed Showcase | Skipper | A | 10 | 6.6 | 3.97 |
| Riley Cup | Skipper | A | 6 | 3.7 | 4.40 |
| MAISA Match Race Championship | Crew | TR | 7 | 29% | — |
| The Coed Showcase A Regatta | Skipper | A | 12 | 11.2 | 3.27 |
| Chesapeake Invitational (Sat) | Skipper | A | 8 | 4.8 | 5.09 |
| Spring 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| Thompson Trophy | Skipper | A | 12 | 11.5 | 3.19 |
| LaserPerformance Team Race National Championship | Skipper | TR | 22 | 46% | — |
| GW Team Race | Skipper | TR | 5 | 80% | — |
| Graham Hall Team Race | Skipper | TR | 20 | 55% | — |
| Gill Coed National Championships | Skipper | B | 14 | 10.1 | 3.93 |
| Gill Coed Eastern Semifinal | Skipper | B | 8 | 5.4 | 4.43 |
| Capt. Prosser Trophy - MAISA TR Championship | Skipper | TR | 21 | 71% | — |
| America Trophy | Skipper | B | 16 | 7.3 | 3.66 |
| Aaron Szambecki Team Race | Skipper | TR | 15 | 53% | — |
| Fall 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| War Memorial | Skipper | B | 12 | 6.0 | 4.08 |
| Truxtun Umsted | Skipper | B | 13 | 10.2 | 3.24 |
| South Qualifier | Skipper | A | 12 | 2.8 | 4.53 |
| Nevins Trophy | Skipper | B | 15 | 8.7 | 3.83 |
| MAISA Match Race Keelboat | Crew | A | 1 | 5.0 | — |
| 43rd Henry H.Anderson Jr. Trophy | Skipper | B | 8 | 10.4 | 2.65 |
| Spring 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| Thompson Trophy | Skipper | B | 13 | 10.6 | 3.26 |
| St. Mary's Team Race Interconference | Skipper | TR | 12 | 58% | — |
| Prosser Trophy | Skipper | TR | 14 | 57% | — |
| Graham Hall | Skipper | TR | 20 | 60% | — |
| Bob Bavier Team Race | Skipper | TR | 21 | 57% | — |
| Admiral Moore Team Race | Skipper | TR | 14 | 50% | — |
| Fall 2016 Team page Season | |||||
| South #1/ Tom Curtis Memorial Regatta | Skipper | B | 12 | 3.3 | 3.88 |
| 43rd Atlantic Coast Dinghy Championship | Skipper | B | 14 | 10.4 | 3.44 |
| Spring 2016 Team page Season | |||||
| Thompson Trophy | Skipper | A | 16 | 10.9 | 3.02 |
| Admiral Moore Team Race | Skipper | TR | 19 | 32% | — |
| Admiral's Cup | Skipper | B | 11 | 10.3 | 3.04 |
| Fall 2015 Team page Season | |||||
| War Memorial | Skipper | B | 3 | 9.3 | 2.82 |
| NY Maritime Fall Open | Skipper | A | 11 | 3.8 | 3.71 |
| Moody Trophy | Skipper | B | 6 | 13.7 | 1.84 |
| Jack Boehringer '52 Memorial Regatta | Skipper | A | 6 | 5.7 | 3.03 |
| Coed Atlantic Coast Championship | Skipper | B | 2 | 16.0 | 1.20 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Andrew Sheerin |  Portsmouth Abbey School |
'15 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
